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The end of world population growth

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  1. Grippo, Valeria & Vastola, Antonella, 2018. "Evaluation Of Bran Use Through Multi Criteria Analysis," 2018 Seventh AIEAA Conference, June 14-15, Conegliano, Italy 275646, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
  2. Booth, Heather, 2006. "Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 547-581.
  3. Yuri S. Popkov & Alexey Yu. Popkov & Yuri A. Dubnov & Dimitri Solomatine, 2020. "Entropy-Randomized Forecasting of Stochastic Dynamic Regression Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-20, July.
  4. John Bryant, 2003. "The Ageing of the New Zealand Population, 1881-2051," Treasury Working Paper Series 03/27, New Zealand Treasury.
  5. Sunha Myong & JungJae Park & Junjian Yi, 2021. "Social Norms and Fertility," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 19(5), pages 2429-2466.
  6. Handong Li & Tianmin Zhou & Can Jia, 2019. "The influence of the universal two-child policy on China’s future population and ageing," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 183-203, September.
  7. Chakravorty, Ujjayant & Magne, Bertrand & Moreaux, Michel, 2006. "A Hotelling model with a ceiling on the stock of pollution," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 2875-2904, December.
  8. O'Neill, Brian C. & Desai, Mausami, 2005. "Accuracy of past projections of US energy consumption," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(8), pages 979-993, May.
  9. Han Lin Shang, 2012. "Point and interval forecasts of age-specific life expectancies," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 27(21), pages 593-644.
  10. Klaus Keller & Louise I. Miltich & Alexander Robinson & Richard S.J. Tol, 2007. "How overconfident are current projections of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions?," Working Papers FNU-124, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Jan 2007.
  11. John P DeLong & Oskar Burger & Marcus J Hamilton, 2010. "Current Demographics Suggest Future Energy Supplies Will Be Inadequate to Slow Human Population Growth," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 5(10), pages 1-8, October.
  12. Nico Keilman, 2018. "Probabilistic demographic forecasts," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 16(1), pages 025-035.
  13. Alho, Juha, 2008. "Aggregation across countries in stochastic population forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 343-353.
  14. Warren C Sanderson & Sergei Scherbov & Patrick Gerland, 2017. "Probabilistic population aging," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(6), pages 1-12, June.
  15. Nebojsa Nakicenovic & Peter Kolp & Keywan Riahi & Mikiko Kainuma & Tatsuya Hanaoka, 2006. "Assessment of emissions scenarios revisited," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 7(3), pages 137-173, September.
  16. David Lam, 2011. "How the World Survived the Population Bomb: Lessons From 50 Years of Extraordinary Demographic History," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 48(4), pages 1231-1262, November.
  17. Malte Meinshausen, 2007. "Stylized Emission Path," Human Development Occasional Papers (1992-2007) HDOCPA-2007-51, Human Development Report Office (HDRO), United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).
  18. Cordier, Mateo & Pérez Agúndez, José A. & O'Connor, Martin & Rochette, Sébastien & Hecq, Walter, 2011. "Quantification of interdependencies between economic systems and ecosystem services: An input-output model applied to the Seine estuary," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(9), pages 1660-1671, July.
  19. Benjamin Kromoser & Martin Ritt & Alexandra Spitzer & Rosemarie Stangl & Friedrich Idam, 2020. "Design Concept for a Greened Timber Truss Bridge in City Area," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-21, April.
  20. Cao, Shixiong & Wang, Xiuqing, 2010. "Unsustainably low birth rates: A potential crisis leading to loss of racial and cultural diversity in China," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 159-162, January.
  21. Guerrero, David & Rodrigue, Jean-Paul, 2014. "The waves of containerization: shifts in global maritime transportation," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 151-164.
  22. David P. Baker & William C. Smith & Ismael G. Muñoz & Haram Jeon & Tian Fu & Juan Leon & Daniel Salinas & Renata Horvatek, 2017. "The Population Education Transition Curve: Education Gradients Across Population Exposure to New Health Risks," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 54(5), pages 1873-1895, October.
  23. Wilson, Chris, 2002. "Forecast errors in global population projections: implications for food," 2002 Conference (46th), February 13-15, 2002, Canberra, Australia 125608, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  24. Tom Wilson & Martin Bell, 2004. "Australia's uncertain demographic future," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 11(8), pages 195-234.
  25. Clotilde Grandval & Jean-Christophe Bureau & Herve Guyomard & Laurence Roudart, 2006. "Panorama des analyses prospectives sur l'évolution de la sécurité alimentaire mondiale à l'horizon 2020-2030," Working Papers hal-02819396, HAL.
  26. Mikko Myrskylä & Joshua Goldstein, 2013. "Probabilistic Forecasting Using Stochastic Diffusion Models, With Applications to Cohort Processes of Marriage and Fertility," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 50(1), pages 237-260, February.
  27. Thomas Buettner, 2020. "World Population Prospects – A Long View," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 520-521, pages 9-27.
  28. Michael Chappell & Liliana LaValle, 2011. "Food security and biodiversity: can we have both? An agroecological analysis," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 28(1), pages 3-26, February.
  29. Pretis, Felix & Roser, Max, 2017. "Carbon dioxide emission-intensity in climate projections: Comparing the observational record to socio-economic scenarios," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 718-725.
  30. Mariateresa Ciommi & Gianluca Egidi & Rosanna Salvia & Sirio Cividino & Kostas Rontos & Luca Salvati, 2020. "Population Dynamics and Agglomeration Factors: A Non-Linear Threshold Estimation of Density Effects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-19, March.
  31. Graziani, Carlo & Rosner, Robert & Adams, Jennifer M. & Machete, Reason L., 2021. "Probabilistic recalibration of forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 1-27.
  32. Bailey Fosdick & Adrian E. Raftery, 2014. "Regional probabilistic fertility forecasting by modeling between-country correlations," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 30(35), pages 1011-1034.
  33. Tatsuya Hanaoka & Mikiko Kainuma & Reina Kawase & Yuzuru Matsuoka, 2006. "Emissions scenarios database and regional mitigation analysis: a review of post-TAR mitigation scenarios," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 7(3), pages 367-389, September.
  34. Leiwen Jiang & Karen Hardee, 2011. "How do Recent Population Trends Matter to Climate Change?," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 30(2), pages 287-312, April.
  35. Gulkaiyr Omurakunova & Anming Bao & Wenqiang Xu & Eldiiar Duulatov & Liangliang Jiang & Peng Cai & Farkhod Abdullaev & Vincent Nzabarinda & Khaydar Durdiev & Makhabat Baiseitova, 2020. "Expansion of Impervious Surfaces and Their Driving Forces in Highly Urbanized Cities in Kyrgyzstan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-20, January.
  36. David S. Reher, 2007. "Towards long-term population decline: a discussion of relevant issues," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 23(2), pages 189-207, June.
  37. Tilmann Gneiting, 2008. "Editorial: Probabilistic forecasting," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 171(2), pages 319-321, April.
  38. Gilland, Bernard, 2002. "World population and food supply: can food production keep pace with population growth in the next half-century?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 47-63, February.
  39. Marina Fischer-Kowalski & Daniel Hausknost, 2014. "Large-scale Societal Transitions in the Past. WWWforEurope Working Paper No. 55," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 47187, April.
  40. Sapna Langyan & Zahoor A. Dar & D. P. Chaudhary & J. C. Shekhar & Susila Herlambang & Hesham El Enshasy & R. Z. Sayyed & S. Rakshit, 2021. "Analysis of Nutritional Quality Attributes and Their Inter-Relationship in Maize Inbred Lines for Sustainable Livelihood," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-12, May.
  41. Frenzel, Max & Tolosana-Delgado, Raimon & Gutzmer, Jens, 2015. "Assessing the supply potential of high-tech metals – A general method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(P2), pages 45-58.
  42. Lin Chen & Chunying Ren & Bai Zhang & Zongming Wang & Mingyue Liu, 2018. "Quantifying Urban Land Sprawl and its Driving Forces in Northeast China from 1990 to 2015," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-18, January.
  43. Nico Keilman & Dinh Quang Pham & Arve Hetland, 2002. "Why population forecasts should be probabilistic - illustrated by the case of Norway," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 6(15), pages 409-454.
  44. Maarten Alders & Nico Keilman & Harri Cruijsen, 2007. "Assumptions for long-term stochastic population forecasts in 18 European countries," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 23(1), pages 33-69, March.
  45. Daniel Rozell, 2017. "Using population projections in climate change analysis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 142(3), pages 521-529, June.
  46. Ortega, Jose Antonio & Poncela, Pilar, 2005. "Joint forecasts of Southern European fertility rates with non-stationary dynamic factor models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 539-550.
  47. Shixiong Cao, 2015. "Political Ecology of Nation-States with Examples from Chinese History," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 124(2), pages 445-462, November.
  48. Warren C. Sanderson & Sergei Scherbov, 2009. "A New Perspective on Population Ageing," European Demographic Research Papers 0503, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna.
  49. Heinz Stefan, 2014. "Uncertainty quantification of world population growth: A self-similar PDF model," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 261-277, December.
  50. Martin Groen, 2019. "Zero growth: A grand challenge for the Asia-Pacific region," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 44(4), pages 632-647, November.
  51. Wolfgang Lutz & Sergei Scherbov & Alexander Hanika, 2003. "'Vienna: a city beyond aging' - revisited and revised," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 1(1), pages 181-195.
  52. Leontine Alkema & Adrian Raftery & Patrick Gerland & Samuel Clark & François Pelletier & Thomas Buettner & Gerhard Heilig, 2011. "Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate for All Countries," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 48(3), pages 815-839, August.
  53. Mateo Cordier & Martin O'Connor, 2012. "Comment le système économique intéragit-il avec les services écosystémiques intermédiaires: analyse input-output appliquée aux habitats marins de l'estuaire de la Seine," Working Papers hal-00911659, HAL.
  54. Chakravorty, Ujjayant & Magné, Bertrand & Moreaux, Michel, 2003. "From Coal to Clean Energy : Hotelling with a Limit on the Stock of Externalities," IDEI Working Papers 229, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
  55. Francesco C. Billari & Hans-Peter Kohler, 2002. "Patterns of lowest-low fertility in Europe," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2002-040, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
  56. Yuehong Tian & Xianglian Zhao, 2016. "Stochastic Forecast of the Financial Sustainability of Basic Pension in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-17, January.
  57. Boumans, Roelof & Costanza, Robert & Farley, Joshua & Wilson, Matthew A. & Portela, Rosimeiry & Rotmans, Jan & Villa, Ferdinando & Grasso, Monica, 2002. "Modeling the dynamics of the integrated earth system and the value of global ecosystem services using the GUMBO model," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 529-560, June.
  58. Gianluca Egidi & Giovanni Quaranta & Luca Salvati & Rosanna Salvia & Gimenez Morera Antonio, 2021. "Investigating density-dependent patterns of population growth in Southern Italy, 1861–2019," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 11-30, April.
  59. Meng Xu & Helge Brunborg & Joel E. Cohen, 2017. "Evaluating multi-regional population projections with Taylor’s law of mean–variance scaling and its generalisation," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 34(1), pages 79-99, March.
  60. Vianney Costemalle, 2020. "Bayesian Probabilistic Population Projections for France," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 520-521, pages 29-47.
  61. Nebojsa Nakicenovic & Peter Kolp & Keywan Riahi & Mikiko Kainuma & Tatsuya Hanaoka, 2006. "Assessment of emissions scenarios revisited," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 7(3), pages 137-173, September.
  62. John Bryant, 2003. "Can population projections be used for sensitivity tests on policy models?," Treasury Working Paper Series 03/07, New Zealand Treasury.
  63. Guy Abel & Jakub Bijak & Jonathan J. Forster & James Raymer & Peter W.F. Smith & Jackie S.T. Wong, 2013. "Integrating uncertainty in time series population forecasts: An illustration using a simple projection model," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 29(43), pages 1187-1226.
  64. Muriel Gros-Balthazard & Claire Newton & Sarah Ivorra & Marie-Hélène Pierre & Jean-Christophe Pintaud & Jean-Frédéric Terral, 2016. "The Domestication Syndrome in Phoenix dactylifera Seeds: Toward the Identification of Wild Date Palm Populations," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(3), pages 1-21, March.
  65. Malcolm Potts & Courtney Henderson & Martha Campbell, 2013. "The Sahel: A Malthusian Challenge?," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 55(4), pages 501-512, August.
  66. Cranston, G.R. & Hammond, G.P., 2010. "North and south: Regional footprints on the transition pathway towards a low carbon, global economy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(9), pages 2945-2951, September.
  67. Gonzalo, Julio A. & Muñoz, Félix, 2014. "Prospects of world population decline in the near future: a short note," Working Papers in Economic Theory 2014/01, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid (Spain), Department of Economic Analysis (Economic Theory and Economic History).
  68. Nitsch, Volker, 2006. "Terrorism, Tears and Trade," Conference papers 331485, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
  69. Lam, David, 2006. "The demography of youth in developing countries and its economic implications," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4022, The World Bank.
  70. Tatsuya Hanaoka & Mikiko Kainuma & Reina Kawase & Yuzuru Matsuoka, 2006. "Emissions scenarios database and regional mitigation analysis: a review of post-TAR mitigation scenarios," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 7(3), pages 367-389, September.
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