IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v10y2018i1p188-d126833.html

Quantifying Urban Land Sprawl and its Driving Forces in Northeast China from 1990 to 2015

Author

Listed:
  • Lin Chen

    (Key Laboratory of Wetland Ecology and Environment, Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, China
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Chunying Ren

    (Key Laboratory of Wetland Ecology and Environment, Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, China)

  • Bai Zhang

    (Key Laboratory of Wetland Ecology and Environment, Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, China)

  • Zongming Wang

    (Key Laboratory of Wetland Ecology and Environment, Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, China)

  • Mingyue Liu

    (Key Laboratory of Wetland Ecology and Environment, Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, China
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

Abstract

Drastic urbanization has resulted in numerous problems worldwide, and many studies were devoted to individual cities. There is an urgent need to quantify urbanization patterns and illustrate their driving forces in the regional area on a large scale over a longer time period. This study produced a land cover dataset to characterize sequential urban land expansion in Northeast China from 1990 to 2015 using object-based backdating classification and calculating the expansion index. The drivers were investigated using Pearson correlation analysis and the multiple linear stepwise regression model. The results revealed that the total area of urban land increased by 43.15% from 1990 to 2015, mainly in the middle part of the study area, and especially in the coastal area of Liaoning. Liaoning had the fastest growth rate, while Heilongjiang showed a decrease in growth rate rankings. Urban land expanded northward and southward within Harbin City, towards the west and east within Changchun City, and relatively equally in all directions within Shenyang City. Expansion patterns changed from edge expansion (42%) to outlying expansion (47%). Urban land of Liaoning and the Eastern Inner Mongolia Autonomous region expanded with similar patterns as the entire area, but that of Heilongjiang grew in an opposite pattern, and Jilin maintained outlying major expansion. The influence of factors on urban land sprawl varied temporally. Tertiary industry product, gross domestic product, secondary industry product, total population and urban population were driving factors of urban land sprawl in Northeast China from 1990 to 2015. This research provides quantitative methods for better understanding urban land dynamics and devising feasible strategies for sustainable urban development.

Suggested Citation

  • Lin Chen & Chunying Ren & Bai Zhang & Zongming Wang & Mingyue Liu, 2018. "Quantifying Urban Land Sprawl and its Driving Forces in Northeast China from 1990 to 2015," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-18, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:1:p:188-:d:126833
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/10/1/188/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/10/1/188/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ling Zhang & Yehua Dennis Wei & Ran Meng, 2017. "Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Spatial Determinants of Urban Growth in Suzhou, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-22, March.
    2. Wolfgang Lutz & Warren Sanderson & Sergei Scherbov, 2001. "The end of world population growth," Nature, Nature, vol. 412(6846), pages 543-545, August.
    3. Tian, Guangjin & Qiao, Zhi & Zhang, Yaoqi, 2012. "The investigation of relationship between rural settlement density, size, spatial distribution and its geophysical parameters of China using Landsat TM images," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 25-36.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhipeng Yang & Shijun Wang & Meng Guo & Junfeng Tian & Yingjie Zhang, 2021. "Spatiotemporal Differentiation of Territorial Space Development Intensity and Its Habitat Quality Response in Northeast China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-20, May.
    2. Bao Meng & Xuxi Wang & Zhifeng Zhang & Pei Huang, 2022. "Spatio-Temporal Pattern and Driving Force Evolution of Cultivated Land Occupied by Urban Expansion in the Chengdu Metropolitan Area," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-17, September.
    3. Yang Bai & Wei Zhou & Yanjun Guan & Xue Li & Baohua Huang & Fengchun Lei & Hong Yang & Wenmin Huo, 2020. "Evolution of Policy Concerning the Readjustment of Inefficient Urban Land Use in China Based on a Content Analysis Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-21, January.
    4. Salvador García-Ayllón, 2018. "Predictive Diagnosis of Agricultural Periurban Areas Based on Territorial Indicators: Comparative Landscape Trends of the So-Called “Orchard of Europe”," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-22, May.
    5. Gulkaiyr Omurakunova & Anming Bao & Wenqiang Xu & Eldiiar Duulatov & Liangliang Jiang & Peng Cai & Farkhod Abdullaev & Vincent Nzabarinda & Khaydar Durdiev & Makhabat Baiseitova, 2020. "Expansion of Impervious Surfaces and Their Driving Forces in Highly Urbanized Cities in Kyrgyzstan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-20, January.
    6. Xuesong Sun & Zaisheng Zhang, 2021. "Coupling and Coordination Level of the Population, Land, Economy, Ecology and Society in the Process of Urbanization: Measurement and Spatial Differentiation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-19, March.
    7. Qian Zhang & Huaxing Zhang & Dan Zhao & Baodong Cheng & Chang Yu & Yanli Yang, 2019. "Does Urban Sprawl Inhibit Urban Eco-Efficiency? Empirical Studies of Super-Efficiency and Threshold Regression Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-18, October.
    8. Huafang Huang & Xiaomao Wu & Xianfu Cheng, 2020. "The Analysis of the Urban Sprawl Measurement System of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, Based on Deep Learning and Neural Network Algorithm," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(12), pages 1-13, June.
    9. Eduardo Gomes & Arnaud Banos & Patrícia Abrantes & Jorge Rocha, 2018. "Assessing the Effect of Spatial Proximity on Urban Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-14, April.
    10. Zhanzhong Tang & Zengxiang Zhang & Lijun Zuo & Xiao Wang & Xiaoli Zhao & Fang Liu & Shunguang Hu & Ling Yi & Jinyong Xu, 2021. "Spatial Evolution of Urban Expansion in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Coordinated Development Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-23, February.
    11. Luoman Pu & Jiuchun Yang & Lingxue Yu & Changsheng Xiong & Fengqin Yan & Yubo Zhang & Shuwen Zhang, 2021. "Simulating Land-Use Changes and Predicting Maize Potential Yields in Northeast China for 2050," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(3), pages 1-21, January.
    12. You, Lie & Li, Yurui & Wang, Rui & Pan, Haozhi, 2020. "A benefit evaluation model for build-up land use in megacity suburban districts," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    13. Li, Wenbo & Wang, Dongyan & Li, Hong & Wang, Jianguo & Zhu, Yuanli & Yang, Yuewen, 2019. "Quantifying the spatial arrangement of underutilized land in a rapidly urbanized rust belt city: The case of Changchun City," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 113-123.
    14. Peng Su & Degen Lin & Chen Qian, 2018. "Study on Air Pollution and Control Investment from the Perspective of the Environmental Theory Model: A Case Study in China, 2005–2014," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-16, June.
    15. Yuxiang Zhang & Dongjie Guan & Xiujuan He & Boling Yin, 2022. "Simulation on the Evolution Trend of the Urban Sprawl Spatial Pattern in the Upper Reaches of the Yangtze River, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(15), pages 1-21, July.
    16. Sivan Hisham Al Jarah & Bo Zhou & Rebaz Jalil Abdullah & Yawen Lu & Wenting Yu, 2019. "Urbanization and Urban Sprawl Issues in City Structure: A Case of the Sulaymaniah Iraqi Kurdistan Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-21, January.
    17. Jelena Kilić & Nikša Jajac & Katarina Rogulj & Siniša Mastelić-Ivić, 2019. "Assessing Land Fragmentation in Planning Sustainable Urban Renewal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-24, May.
    18. Zhanzhong Tang & Zengxiang Zhang & Lijun Zuo & Xiao Wang & Shunguang Hu & Zijuan Zhu, 2020. "Spatial Econometric Analysis of the Relationship between Urban Land and Regional Economic Development in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Coordinated Development Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-21, October.
    19. Kyung Wook Seo & Sugie Lee, 2019. "Oxcart Route in the City: Tracking the Urbanization Process of an Agricultural Village in Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-17, April.
    20. Geng, Bo & Tian, Yugang & Zhang, Lihao & Chen, Bo, 2023. "Evolution and its driving forces of rural settlements along the roadsides in the northeast of Jianghan Plain, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    21. Xue Wang, 2022. "Changes in Cultivated Land Loss and Landscape Fragmentation in China from 2000 to 2020," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-16, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. David Lam, 2011. "How the World Survived the Population Bomb: Lessons From 50 Years of Extraordinary Demographic History," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 48(4), pages 1231-1262, November.
    2. Sophie Drogué & Clotilde Grandval & Jean-Christophe Bureau & Hervé Guyomard & Laurence Roudart, 2006. "Panorama des analyses prospectives sur l'évolution de la sécurité alimentaire mondiale à l'horizon 2020-2030," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/54558, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    3. Chakravorty, Ujjayant & Magne, Bertrand & Moreaux, Michel, 2006. "A Hotelling model with a ceiling on the stock of pollution," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 2875-2904, December.
    4. Frenzel, Max & Tolosana-Delgado, Raimon & Gutzmer, Jens, 2015. "Assessing the supply potential of high-tech metals – A general method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(P2), pages 45-58.
    5. Yujing Zhao & Hong Leng & Pingjun Sun & Qing Yuan, 2019. "Application and Validation of a Municipal Administrative Area Spatial Zoning Model in Village-Town System Planning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-25, March.
    6. Gonzalo, Julio A. & Muñoz, Félix, 2014. "Prospects of world population decline in the near future: a short note," Working Papers in Economic Theory 2014/01, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid (Spain), Department of Economic Analysis (Economic Theory and Economic History).
    7. Michael Chappell & Liliana LaValle, 2011. "Food security and biodiversity: can we have both? An agroecological analysis," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 28(1), pages 3-26, February.
    8. Gilland, Bernard, 2002. "World population and food supply: can food production keep pace with population growth in the next half-century?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 47-63, February.
    9. Ortega, Jose Antonio & Poncela, Pilar, 2005. "Joint forecasts of Southern European fertility rates with non-stationary dynamic factor models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 539-550.
    10. Defne Dursun & Doğan Dursun, 2025. "Staying or Leaving a Shrinking City: Migration Intentions of Creative Youth in Erzurum, Eastern Türkiye," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(15), pages 1-22, August.
    11. Wolfgang Lutz & Sergei Scherbov & Alexander Hanika, 2003. "'Vienna: a city beyond aging' - revisited and revised," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 1(1), pages 181-195.
    12. Vianney Costemalle, 2020. "Bayesian Probabilistic Population Projections for France," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 520-521, pages 29-47.
    13. Song, Wei & Li, Huanhuan, 2020. "Spatial pattern evolution of rural settlements from 1961 to 2030 in Tongzhou District, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    14. Guy Abel & Jakub Bijak & Jonathan J. Forster & James Raymer & Peter W F Smith & Jackie S.T. Wong, 2013. "Integrating uncertainty in time series population forecasts: An illustration using a simple projection model," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 29(43), pages 1187-1226.
    15. Keller, Klaus & Miltich, Louise I. & Robinson, Alexander & Tol, Richard S.J., 2007. "How Overconfident are Current Projections of Anthropogenic Carbon Dioxide Emissions?," Climate Change Modelling and Policy Working Papers 9321, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    16. Xiaoyan Li & Huiying Li & Yingnan Zhang & Limin Yang, 2017. "Spatial Patterns and the Regional Differences of Rural Settlements in Jilin Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-16, November.
    17. Shijie Li & Chunshan Zhou & Shaojian Wang & Shuang Gao & Zhitao Liu, 2019. "Spatial Heterogeneity in the Determinants of Urban Form: An Analysis of Chinese Cities with a GWR Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-16, January.
    18. Guanglong Dong & Wenxin Zhang & Xinliang Xu & Kun Jia, 2021. "Multi-Dimensional Feature Recognition and Policy Implications of Rural Human–Land Relationships in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-17, October.
    19. Daniel Rozell, 2017. "Using population projections in climate change analysis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 142(3), pages 521-529, June.
    20. Boumans, Roelof & Costanza, Robert & Farley, Joshua & Wilson, Matthew A. & Portela, Rosimeiry & Rotmans, Jan & Villa, Ferdinando & Grasso, Monica, 2002. "Modeling the dynamics of the integrated earth system and the value of global ecosystem services using the GUMBO model," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 529-560, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:1:p:188-:d:126833. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask MDPI Indexing Manager to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.