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When does investor sentiment predict stock returns?

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Cited by:

  1. Maximo Camacho & Fernando Soto, 2018. "Consumer confidence’s boom and bust in Latin America," Working Papers 18/02, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
  2. Yong Jiang & Zhongbao Zhou, 2018. "Does the time horizon of the return predictive effect of investor sentiment vary with stock characteristics? A Granger causality analysis in the frequency domain," Papers 1803.02962, arXiv.org.
  3. Deeney, Peter & Cummins, Mark & Dowling, Michael & Bermingham, Adam, 2015. "Sentiment in oil markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 179-185.
  4. Chen, Kuan-Hau & Su, Xuan-Qi & Lin, Li-Feng & Shih, Yi-Cheng, 2021. "Profitability of moving-average technical analysis over the firm life cycle: Evidence from Taiwan," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  5. Yen-Ju Hsu & Yang-Cheng Lu & J. Jimmy Yang, 2021. "News sentiment and stock market volatility," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1093-1122, October.
  6. Wang, Wenzhao & Duxbury, Darren, 2021. "Institutional investor sentiment and the mean-variance relationship: Global evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 415-441.
  7. Seok, Sang Ik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Firm-specific investor sentiment and daily stock returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  8. Heshmatollah Asgari & Hamed Najafi, 2020. "The Linkage between Sentiments and Stock Market Dynamics New Evidence from Iran," Journal of Business Administration Research, Journal of Business Administration Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 9(2), pages 1-29, October.
  9. Wang, Wenzhao & Su, Chen & Duxbury, Darren, 2021. "Investor sentiment and stock returns: Global evidence," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 365-391.
  10. Junzhou Zhang & Lei Huang, 2018. "Loss or gain? The impact of Chinese local celebrity endorser scandal on the global market value of the endorsed brands," Journal of Marketing Analytics, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 6(1), pages 27-39, March.
  11. Stambaugh, Robert F. & Yu, Jianfeng & Yuan, Yu, 2012. "The short of it: Investor sentiment and anomalies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 288-302.
  12. Golam Sarwar & Cesario Mateus & Natasa Todorovic, 2017. "A tale of two states: asymmetries in the UK small, value and momentum premiums," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(5), pages 456-476, January.
  13. Eleni Zafeiriou & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Chrysanthi Pegiou, 2019. "Consumer Confidence on Heating Oil Prices: An Empirical Study of their Relationship for European Union in a Nonlinear Framework," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 63-90.
  14. Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2022. "Scheduled macroeconomic news announcements and intraday market sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  15. Ding, Wenjie & Mazouz, Khelifa & Wang, Qingwei, 2021. "Volatility timing, sentiment, and the short-term profitability of VIX-based cross-sectional trading strategies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 42-56.
  16. Hela Namouri & Fredj Jawadi & Zied Ftiti & Néjib Hachicha, 2018. "Threshold effect in the relationship between investor sentiment and stock market returns: a PSTR specification," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(5), pages 559-573, January.
  17. Basheer Ahmad & Usman Ali Warraich & Sidra Saeed, 2014. "Impact Of Investor Sentiments On Future Trading," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 10(2), pages 16-32.
  18. Ahmed Salhin & Mo Sherif & Edward Jones, 2016. "Investor Sentiment and Sector Returns," CFI Discussion Papers 1602, Centre for Finance and Investment, Heriot Watt University.
  19. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Sensoy, Ahmet & Eraslan, Veysel & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Sensitivity of US equity returns to economic policy uncertainty and investor sentiments," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  20. Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Time-varying impact of monetary policy shocks on US stock returns: The role of investor sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  21. Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2019. "The relationship between emerging and developed market sentiment: A wavelet-based time-frequency analysis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 135-150.
  22. Apergis, Nicholas, 2022. "Overconfidence and US stock market returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
  23. Reis, Pedro Manuel Nogueira & Pinho, Carlos, 2020. "A new European investor sentiment index (EURsent) and its return and volatility predictability," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
  24. Khuu, Joyce & Durand, Robert B. & Smales, Lee A., 2016. "Melancholia and Japanese stock returns – 2003 to 2012," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 40(PB), pages 424-437.
  25. Yung-Ching Tseng & Wo-Chiang Lee, 2016. "Investor Sentiment and ETF Liquidity - Evidence from Asia Markets," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 6(1), pages 1-5.
  26. Zheng, Yao & Osmer, Eric, 2021. "Housing price dynamics: The impact of stock market sentiment and the spillover effect," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 854-867.
  27. Eachempati, Prajwal & Srivastava, Praveen Ranjan & Kumar, Ajay & Muñoz de Prat, Javier & Delen, Dursun, 2022. "Can customer sentiment impact firm value? An integrated text mining approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
  28. Wang, Wenzhao, 2018. "Investor sentiment and the mean-variance relationship: European evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 227-239.
  29. D. Schneller & S. Heiden & M. Heiden & A. Hamid, 2018. "Home is Where You Know Your Volatility – Local Investor Sentiment and Stock Market Volatility," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 19(2), pages 209-236, May.
  30. Basheer Ahmad & Usman Ali Warraich & Sidra Saeed, 2014. "Impact Of Investor Sentiments On Future Trading," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 10(2), pages 10-12.
  31. Yuancheng Si & Saralees Nadarajah, 2023. "A Statistical Analysis of Chinese Stock Indices Returns From Approach of Parametric Distributions Fitting," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 73-88, February.
  32. Hsu, Ching-Chi & Chen, Miao-Ling, 2018. "Timing of advertising and the MAX effect," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 105-114.
  33. Zhi Su & Danni Wu & Zhenkun Zhou & Junran Wu & Libo Yin, 2023. "The Impact of Customer Online Satisfaction on Stock Returns: Evidence from the E-commerce Reviews in China," Papers 2306.12119, arXiv.org.
  34. Shen, Junyan & Yu, Jianfeng & Zhao, Shen, 2017. "Investor sentiment and economic forces," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1-21.
  35. Chin‐Ho Chen, 2021. "Investor sentiment, misreaction, and the skewness‐return relationship," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(9), pages 1427-1455, September.
  36. Ni, Zhongxin & Wang, Linyu, 2023. "The predictability of skewness risk premium on stock returns: Evidence from Chinese market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 576-594.
  37. Chiara Limongi Concetto & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2019. "Optimism in Financial Markets: Stock Market Returns and Investor Sentiments," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-14, May.
  38. Liang, Woan-lih, 2016. "Sensitivity to investor sentiment and stock performance of open market share repurchases," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 75-94.
  39. Turkmen Muldur Gozde & Kandir Serkan Yılmaz & Onal Yıldırım Beyazıt, 2019. "Investor Sentiment and Speculative Bond Yield Spreads," Foundations of Management, Sciendo, vol. 11(1), pages 177-186, January.
  40. Economou, Fotini & Katsikas, Epameinondas & Vickers, Gregory, 2016. "Testing for herding in the Athens Stock Exchange during the crisis period," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 334-341.
  41. Gaies, Brahim & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi & Ayadi, Rim & Sahut, Jean-Michel, 2022. "Exploring the causal links between investor sentiment and financial instability: A dynamic macro-financial analysis," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 290-303.
  42. Vincenzo Merella & Stephen E. Satchell, 2019. "Asset pricing with utility from external anticipation," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 589, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
  43. Chen Weiguo & Zhang Yin & Zhou Shufen & Sun Yi, 2021. "A Study of Multi-Scale Relationship Between Investor Sentiment and Stock Index Fluctuation Based on the Analysis of BEMD Spillover Index," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 9(4), pages 399-420, August.
  44. Aissia, Dorsaf Ben, 2016. "Home and foreign investor sentiment and the stock returns," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 71-77.
  45. Mariano González-Sánchez & M. Encina Morales de Vega, 2021. "Influence of Bloomberg’s Investor Sentiment Index: Evidence from European Union Financial Sector," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-21, February.
  46. Rilwan Sakariyahu & Mohamed Sherif & Audrey Paterson & Eleni Chatzivgeri, 2021. "Sentiment‐Apt investors and UK sector returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3321-3351, July.
  47. Ralph Yang-Cheng Lu & Hsiu-Chuan Lee & Peter Chiu, 2014. "Institutional Investor Sentiment and Market Returns: Evidence from the Taiwan Futures Market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 140-167, December.
  48. Al-Nasseri, Alya & Menla Ali, Faek, 2018. "What does investors' online divergence of opinion tell us about stock returns and trading volume?," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 166-178.
  49. Dias, Ishanka K. & Fernando, J.M. Ruwani & Fernando, P. Narada D., 2022. "Does investor sentiment predict bitcoin return and volatility? A quantile regression approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  50. Azilawati Banchit & Sazali Abidin & Sophyafadeth Lim & Fareiny Morni, 2020. "Investor Sentiment, Portfolio Returns, and Macroeconomic Variables," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-14, October.
  51. A. Fronzetti Colladon & S. Grassi & F. Ravazzolo & F. Violante, 2020. "Forecasting financial markets with semantic network analysis in the COVID-19 crisis," Papers 2009.04975, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
  52. Hassan, Kamrul & Hoque, Ariful & Gasbarro, Dominic & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2023. "Are Islamic stocks immune from financial crises? Evidence from contagion tests," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 919-948.
  53. Ahmed, Bouteska, 2020. "Understanding the impact of investor sentiment on the price formation process: A review of the conduct of American stock markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
  54. Møller, Stig V. & Nørholm, Henrik & Rangvid, Jesper, 2014. "Consumer confidence or the business cycle: What matters more for European expected returns?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 230-248.
  55. Chen, Chen & Lee, Hsiu-Chuan & Liao, Tzu-Hsiang, 2016. "Risk-neutral skewness and market returns: The role of institutional investor sentiment in the futures market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 203-225.
  56. Deng, Shangkun & Huang, Xiaoru & Zhu, Yingke & Su, Zhihao & Fu, Zhe & Shimada, Tatsuro, 2023. "Stock index direction forecasting using an explainable eXtreme Gradient Boosting and investor sentiments," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  57. Zachary McGurk & Adam Nowak & Joshua C. Hall, 2020. "Stock returns and investor sentiment: textual analysis and social media," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 44(3), pages 458-485, July.
  58. Jessica Paule-Vianez & Júlio Lobão & Raúl Gómez-Martínez & Camilo Prado-Román, 2021. "Momentum strategies in times of economic policy uncertainty," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(3), pages 285-300, April.
  59. Hsu, Ching-Chi & Wei, An-Pin & Chen, Miao-Ling, 2020. "Funding liquidity risk and the low-volatility anomaly: Evidence from the Taiwan stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
  60. Karam KIM & Doojin RYU, 2020. "Predictive ability of investor sentiment for the stock market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 33-46, December.
  61. Alexander F. Wolff, 2013. "Investor sentiment and stock prices in the subprime mortgage crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(16), pages 1301-1309, August.
  62. Le, Thai Hong & Luong, Anh Tram, 2022. "Dynamic spillovers between oil price, stock market, and investor sentiment: Evidence from the United States and Vietnam," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  63. Zheng, Yao, 2015. "The linkage between aggregate investor sentiment and metal futures returns: A nonlinear approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 128-142.
  64. Gianluca Anese & Marco Corazza & Michele Costola & Loriana Pelizzon, 2023. "Impact of public news sentiment on stock market index return and volatility," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-36, December.
  65. Chen, Haojun & Maher, Daniela, 2013. "On the predictive role of large futures trades for S&P500 index returns: An analysis of COT data as an informative trading signal," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 177-201.
  66. Merella, Vincenzo & Satchell, Stephen E., 2022. "By force of confidence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  67. Szymon Lis, 2022. "Investor Sentiment in Asset Pricing Models: A Review," Working Papers 2022-14, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
  68. Andrea Fronzetti Colladon & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Francesco Violante, 2023. "Forecasting financial markets with semantic network analysis in the COVID‐19 crisis," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(5), pages 1187-1204, August.
  69. Yao, Can-Zhong & Li, Hong-Yu, 2020. "Time-varying lead–lag structure between investor sentiment and stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  70. John A. Doukas & Xiao Han, 2021. "Sentiment‐scaled CAPM and market mispricing," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 27(2), pages 208-243, March.
  71. Cathy Chen & I-Doun Kuo, 2014. "Investor sentiment and interest rate volatility smile: evidence from Eurodollar options markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 43(2), pages 367-391, August.
  72. Salhin, Ahmed & Sherif, Mohamed & Jones, Edward, 2016. "Managerial sentiment, consumer confidence and sector returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 24-38.
  73. Wang, Wenzhao & Su, Chen & Duxbury, Darren, 2022. "The conditional impact of investor sentiment in global stock markets: A two-channel examination," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  74. Guo, Haifeng & Hung, Chi-Hsiou D. & Kontonikas, Alexandros, 2022. "The Fed and the stock market: A tale of sentiment states," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
  75. Chen, Zhongdong & Schmidt, Adam & Wang, Jin’ai, 2021. "Retail investor risk-seeking, attention, and the January effect," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
  76. Seok, Sang Ik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2021. "Stock Market’s responses to intraday investor sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  77. Massimo Guidolin & Erwin Hansen & Gabriel Cabrera, 2023. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and International Stock Returns," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 23203, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
  78. Diego Escobari & Mohammad Jafarinejad, 2019. "Investors’ Uncertainty and Stock Market Risk," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 304-315, July.
  79. Marwane El Alaoui & Elie Bouri & Nehme Azoury, 2020. "The Determinants of the U.S. Consumer Sentiment: Linear and Nonlinear Models," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-13, July.
  80. Robert F. Stambaugh & Jianfeng Yu & Yu Yuan, 2015. "Arbitrage Asymmetry and the Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 70(5), pages 1903-1948, October.
  81. Lutz, Chandler, 2015. "The impact of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on investor sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 89-105.
  82. Felix Chan & Robert B. Durand & Joyce Khuu & Lee A. Smales, 2017. "The Validity of Investor Sentiment Proxies," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 17(3), pages 473-477, September.
  83. Chandana Gunathilaka & Mohamad Jais & Sophee Sulong Balia, 2017. "Illiquidity, Investor Sentiment and Stock Returns: Evidence from Malaysia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 478-487.
  84. Mehwish Aziz Khan & Eatzaz Ahmad, 2018. "Measurement of Investor Sentiment and Its Bi-Directional Contemporaneous and Lead–Lag Relationship with Returns: Evidence from Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-20, December.
  85. Wu-Yueh Hu & Heng-Yu Chang, 2018. "Investor Sentiment, Corporate Transparency and Market Returns: Evidence from Taiwan Intraday Data," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 8(6), pages 1-4.
  86. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2023. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 365-381, July.
  87. Virk, Nader Shahzad & Butt, Hilal Anwar, 2022. "Asset pricing anomalies: Liquidity risk hedgers or liquidity risk spreaders?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  88. Irshad Hira & Taib Hasniza Mohd & Hussain Haroon & Hussain Rana Yassir, 2023. "Conventional and Islamic Equity Market Reaction Towards Terrorism: Evidence Based on Target Types, Location and Islamic Calendar Months," Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series, Sciendo, vol. 33(4), pages 70-116, December.
  89. Niall O’Sullivan & Sheng Zhu & Jason Foran, 2019. "Sentiment versus liquidity pricing effects in the cross-section of UK stock returns," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(4), pages 317-329, July.
  90. Nawaf Almaskati & Ron Bird & Yue Lu & Danny Leung, 2019. "Corporate Governance, Information Uncertainty and Market Reaction to Information Signals," Working Papers in Economics 19/15, University of Waikato.
  91. Yamini Yadav & Pramod Kumar Naik, 2024. "Investors’ Irrational Sentiment and Stock Market Returns: A Quantile Regression Approach Using Indian Data," Business Perspectives and Research, , vol. 12(1), pages 45-64, January.
  92. Jawadi, Fredj & Namouri, Hela & Ftiti, Zied, 2018. "An analysis of the effect of investor sentiment in a heterogeneous switching transition model for G7 stock markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 469-484.
  93. Ravi Kashyap, 2019. "Imitation in the Imitation Game," Papers 1911.06893, arXiv.org.
  94. Eachempati, Prajwal & Srivastava, Praveen Ranjan & Panigrahi, Prabin Kumar, 2021. "Sentiment Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Stock Market," American Business Review, Pompea College of Business, University of New Haven, vol. 24(1), pages 141-165, May.
  95. Yawen Hudson & Christopher J. Green, 2013. "Born in the USA? Contagious investor sentiment and UK equity returns," Discussion Paper Series 2013_13, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Nov 2013.
  96. Tzomakas, Christos & Anastasiou, Dimitrios & Katsafados, Apostolos & Krokida, Styliani Iris, 2023. "Crisis sentiment and banks’ stock price crash risk: A missing piece of the puzzle?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
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