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A befektetési alapok tőkeáramlásai és a befektetői hangulat kapcsolata a magyar részvénypiacon
[The relationship between mutual fund flows and investor sentiment in the Hungarian stock market]

Author

Listed:
  • Nagy, Attila Zoltán

Abstract

A tanulmány célja, hogy vizsgálja a magyar befektetési alapok tőkeáramlása, nettó eszközértékük változása és a magyar részvénypiac közötti kapcsolatot. A kutatás három fő kérdésre fókuszál: 1. Van-e kapcsolat a befektetési alapok tőkeáramlása és a részvénypiaci hozamok között? 2. Ezek az adatok nyújtanak-e többletinformációt? 3. Rendelkeznek-e előrejelző erővel a magyar részvénypiaci hozamok tekintetében? Az eredmények azt mutatják, hogy a részvényalapok tőkeáramlása, a nettó eszközérték változása, a kockázatmentes és kockázatos eszközök nettó eszközértékének aránya statisztikailag szignifikáns kapcsolatban áll a BUX index havi hozamával. A változókból főkomponens-elemzés segítségével létrehozott indikátor szintén szignifikáns kapcsolatot mutat a részvénypiaci hozamokkal (BUX és BUMIX), és növeli a magyarázó erőt még a kontrollváltozók (az amerikai részvénypiac hozama, a 10 éves lejáratú államkötvények hozama) és a befektetői hangulatot mérő indikátorok (VIX index, üzleti bizalmi index) figyelembevétele mellett is.

Suggested Citation

  • Nagy, Attila Zoltán, 2025. "A befektetési alapok tőkeáramlásai és a befektetői hangulat kapcsolata a magyar részvénypiacon [The relationship between mutual fund flows and investor sentiment in the Hungarian stock market]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(5), pages 465-487.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:2250
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2025.5.465
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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