IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/jfr/jbar11/v9y2020i2p29.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Linkage between Sentiments and Stock Market Dynamics New Evidence from Iran

Author

Listed:
  • Heshmatollah Asgari
  • Hamed Najafi

Abstract

In recent years, the issue of financial behaviour and the impact of investors’ sentiments on their decision making have become such a popular issue. The sentiments of financial activists affect the market price of financial assets and particularly stocks, and therefore it is included in the new pricing models of capital assets. In this article, we seek the effect of investors’ sentiments on the dynamics of the Iranian stock market (TSE). To do this, among the companies accepted in the stock market we select 120, considering the research criteria and screening method, we examined TSE specifics throughout 2010-2018 using regression analysis and causality test. Our results show that firstly investors’ sentiments have a direct effect on the stock returns and there is a bilateral relationship between them. Secondly, inflation has the opposite effect and economic growth has a direct and positive effect on the relationship between investor sentiment and stock returns. Finally, government spending has no significant effect on the relationship between investor sentiment and stock returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Heshmatollah Asgari & Hamed Najafi, 2020. "The Linkage between Sentiments and Stock Market Dynamics New Evidence from Iran," Journal of Business Administration Research, Journal of Business Administration Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 9(2), pages 1-29, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:jfr:jbar11:v:9:y:2020:i:2:p:29
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciedupress.com/journal/index.php/jbar/article/download/19359/11860
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://www.sciedupress.com/journal/index.php/jbar/article/view/19359
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhifang He & Linjie He & Fenghua Wen, 2019. "Risk Compensation and Market Returns: The Role of Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(3), pages 704-718, February.
    2. Ebenezer Asem & Jessica Chung & Xin Cui & Gloria Y Tian, 2016. "Liquidity, investor sentiment and price discount of SEOs in Australia," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 12(1), pages 25-51, February.
    3. Chung, San-Lin & Hung, Chi-Hsiou & Yeh, Chung-Ying, 2012. "When does investor sentiment predict stock returns?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 217-240.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Reis, Pedro Manuel Nogueira & Pinho, Carlos, 2020. "A new European investor sentiment index (EURsent) and its return and volatility predictability," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    2. Lutz, Chandler, 2015. "The impact of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on investor sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 89-105.
    3. Junzhou Zhang & Lei Huang, 2018. "Loss or gain? The impact of Chinese local celebrity endorser scandal on the global market value of the endorsed brands," Journal of Marketing Analytics, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 6(1), pages 27-39, March.
    4. Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2022. "Scheduled macroeconomic news announcements and intraday market sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    5. Yang, Xin & Wen, Shigang & Zhao, Xian & Huang, Chuangxia, 2020. "Systemic importance of financial institutions: A complex network perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    6. Aissia, Dorsaf Ben, 2016. "Home and foreign investor sentiment and the stock returns," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 71-77.
    7. A. Fronzetti Colladon & S. Grassi & F. Ravazzolo & F. Violante, 2020. "Forecasting financial markets with semantic network analysis in the COVID-19 crisis," Papers 2009.04975, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    8. Chen, Zhongdong & Schmidt, Adam & Wang, Jin’ai, 2021. "Retail investor risk-seeking, attention, and the January effect," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    9. Wu-Yueh Hu & Heng-Yu Chang, 2018. "Investor Sentiment, Corporate Transparency and Market Returns: Evidence from Taiwan Intraday Data," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 8(6), pages 1-4.
    10. Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2019. "The relationship between emerging and developed market sentiment: A wavelet-based time-frequency analysis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 135-150.
    11. Yang Gao & Chengjie Zhao & Bianxia Sun & Wandi Zhao, 2022. "Effects of investor sentiment on stock volatility: new evidences from multi-source data in China’s green stock markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-30, December.
    12. Hsu, Ching-Chi & Wei, An-Pin & Chen, Miao-Ling, 2020. "Funding liquidity risk and the low-volatility anomaly: Evidence from the Taiwan stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    13. Li, Wenlan & Cheng, Yuxiang & Fang, Qiang, 2020. "Forecast on silver futures linked with structural breaks and day-of-the-week effect," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    14. He, Zhifang, 2020. "Dynamic impacts of crude oil price on Chinese investor sentiment: Nonlinear causality and time-varying effect," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 131-153.
    15. Liu, Zhifeng & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Dai, Peng-Fei, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on the stock market crash risk in China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    16. Eachempati, Prajwal & Srivastava, Praveen Ranjan & Kumar, Ajay & Muñoz de Prat, Javier & Delen, Dursun, 2022. "Can customer sentiment impact firm value? An integrated text mining approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    17. D. Schneller & S. Heiden & M. Heiden & A. Hamid, 2018. "Home is Where You Know Your Volatility – Local Investor Sentiment and Stock Market Volatility," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 19(2), pages 209-236, May.
    18. Seok, Sang Ik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2021. "Stock Market’s responses to intraday investor sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    19. Eachempati, Prajwal & Srivastava, Praveen Ranjan & Panigrahi, Prabin Kumar, 2021. "Sentiment Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Stock Market," American Business Review, Pompea College of Business, University of New Haven, vol. 24(1), pages 141-165, May.
    20. Chen Weiguo & Zhang Yin & Zhou Shufen & Sun Yi, 2021. "A Study of Multi-Scale Relationship Between Investor Sentiment and Stock Index Fluctuation Based on the Analysis of BEMD Spillover Index," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 9(4), pages 399-420, August.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jfr:jbar11:v:9:y:2020:i:2:p:29. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Grace Lee (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://jbar.sciedupress.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.