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Option Valuation with Long-run and Short-run Volatility Components

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Cited by:

  1. Cheng, Hung-Wen & Chang, Li-Han & Lo, Chien-Ling & Tsai, Jeffrey Tzuhao, 2023. "Empirical performance of component GARCH models in pricing VIX term structure and VIX futures," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 122-142.
  2. Paraskevi Katsiampa & Kyriaki Begiazi, 2019. "An empirical analysis of the Scottish housing market by property type," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(4), pages 559-583, September.
  3. Alexander David & Pietro Veronesi, 2014. "Investors' and Central Bank's Uncertainty Embedded in Index Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(6), pages 1661-1716.
  4. H. Bertholon & A. Monfort & F. Pegoraro, 2008. "Econometric Asset Pricing Modelling," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 6(4), pages 407-458, Fall.
  5. Wang, Xingchun, 2021. "Valuation of options on the maximum of two prices with default risk under GARCH models," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  6. Kanniainen, Juho & Piché, Robert, 2013. "Stock price dynamics and option valuations under volatility feedback effect," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(4), pages 722-740.
  7. Shackleton, Mark B. & Taylor, Stephen J. & Yu, Peng, 2010. "A multi-horizon comparison of density forecasts for the S&P 500 using index returns and option prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 2678-2693, November.
  8. Henri Bertholon & Alain Monfort & Fulvio Pegoraro, 2006. "Pricing and Inference with Mixtures of Conditionally Normal Processes," Working Papers 2006-28, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  9. Asai, Manabu & Caporin, Massimiliano & McAleer, Michael, 2015. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk using block structure multivariate stochastic volatility models," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 40-50.
  10. Wenjun Zhang & Jin E. Zhang, 2020. "GARCH Option Pricing Models and the Variance Risk Premium," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-21, March.
  11. Morales-Zumaquero, Amalia & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2018. "Volatility spillovers between foreign exchange and stock markets in industrialized countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 121-136.
  12. Chen, Ying & Han, Qian & Niu, Linlin, 2018. "Forecasting the term structure of option implied volatility: The power of an adaptive method," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 157-177.
  13. Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs & Chayawat Ornthanalai, 2012. "GARCH Option Valuation: Theory and Evidence," CREATES Research Papers 2012-50, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  14. Bu, Ruijun & Hizmeri, Rodrigo & Izzeldin, Marwan & Murphy, Anthony & Tsionas, Mike, 2023. "The contribution of jump signs and activity to forecasting stock price volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 144-164.
  15. Seo, Sung Won & Kim, Jun Sik, 2015. "The information content of option-implied information for volatility forecasting with investor sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 106-120.
  16. Stanislav Khrapov, 2011. "Pricing Central Tendency in Volatility," Working Papers w0168, New Economic School (NES).
  17. Colacito, Riccardo & Engle, Robert F. & Ghysels, Eric, 2011. "A component model for dynamic correlations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 45-59, September.
  18. Xingchun Wang, 2022. "Valuing fade-in options with default risk in Heston–Nandi GARCH models," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 1-22, April.
  19. Corsi, Fulvio & Fusari, Nicola & La Vecchia, Davide, 2013. "Realizing smiles: Options pricing with realized volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(2), pages 284-304.
  20. Wang, XiaoTian & Yang, ZiJian & Cao, PiYao & Wang, ShiLin, 2021. "The closed-form option pricing formulas under the sub-fractional Poisson volatility models," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
  21. Wang, Guanying & Wang, Xingchun & Zhou, Ke, 2017. "Pricing vulnerable options with stochastic volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 485(C), pages 91-103.
  22. Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Stentoft, Lars, 2014. "Bayesian option pricing using mixed normal heteroskedasticity models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 588-605.
  23. Barone-Adesi, Giovanni & Fusari, Nicola & Mira, Antonietta & Sala, Carlo, 2020. "Option market trading activity and the estimation of the pricing kernel: A Bayesian approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 216(2), pages 430-449.
  24. Christoffersen, Peter & Dorion, Christian & Jacobs, Kris & Wang, Yintian, 2010. "Volatility Components, Affine Restrictions, and Nonnormal Innovations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 28(4), pages 483-502.
  25. Thuy Thi Thu Truong & Jungmu Kim, 2019. "Premiums for Non-Sustainable and Sustainable Components of Market Volatility: Evidence from the Korean Stock Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-15, September.
  26. Rombouts, Jeroen & Stentoft, Lars & Violante, Franceso, 2014. "The value of multivariate model sophistication: An application to pricing Dow Jones Industrial Average options," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 78-98.
  27. Noguera, José, 2013. "Oil prices: Breaks and trends," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 60-67.
  28. Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Stentoft, Lars, 2015. "Option pricing with asymmetric heteroskedastic normal mixture models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 635-650.
  29. Samit Paul & Madhusudan Karmakar, 2017. "Relative Efficiency of Component GARCH-EVT Approach in Managing Intraday Market Risk," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 21(4), pages 247-283, December.
  30. Yu-Hua Zeng & Shou-Lei Wang & Yu-Fei Yang, 2014. "Calibration of the Volatility in Option Pricing Using the Total Variation Regularization," Journal of Applied Mathematics, Hindawi, vol. 2014, pages 1-9, March.
  31. Olesya V. Grishchenko & Zhaogang Song & Hao Zhou, 2015. "Term Structure of Interest Rates with Short-run and Long-run Risks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-95, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  32. Bruno Feunou & Roméo Tédongap, 2012. "A Stochastic Volatility Model With Conditional Skewness," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 576-591, July.
  33. Hasan A. Fallahgoul & Young S. Kim & Frank J. Fabozzi & Jiho Park, 2019. "Quanto Option Pricing with Lévy Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(3), pages 1279-1308, March.
  34. Alexander David & Pietro Veronesi, 2011. "Investors' and Central Bank's Uncertainty Embedded in Index Options," NBER Working Papers 16764, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  35. Christoffersen, Peter & Heston, Steven & Jacobs, Kris, 2010. "Option Anomalies and the Pricing Kernel," Working Papers 11-17, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
  36. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2007. "Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management," NBER Chapters, in: The Risks of Financial Institutions, pages 513-544, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  37. Peter Christoffersen & Steven Heston & Kris Jacobs, 2009. "The Shape and Term Structure of the Index Option Smirk: Why Multifactor Stochastic Volatility Models Work So Well," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(12), pages 1914-1932, December.
  38. Rui Zhou & Johnny Siu-Hang Li & Jeffrey Pai, 2019. "Pricing temperature derivatives with a filtered historical simulation approach," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(15), pages 1462-1484, October.
  39. Choi, Jaewon & Richardson, Matthew, 2016. "The volatility of a firm's assets and the leverage effect," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 254-277.
  40. Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2010. "Realising the future: forecasting with high-frequency-based volatility (HEAVY) models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(2), pages 197-231.
  41. Ngozi G. Emenogu & Monday Osagie Adenomon & Nwaze Obini Nweze, 2020. "On the volatility of daily stock returns of Total Nigeria Plc: evidence from GARCH models, value-at-risk and backtesting," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-25, December.
  42. Ahmed, Shamim & Valente, Giorgio, 2015. "Understanding the price of volatility risk in carry trades," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 118-129.
  43. Naomi Boyd & Bingxin Li & Rui Liu, 2022. "Risk premia in the term structure of crude oil futures: long-run and short-run volatility components," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1505-1533, May.
  44. Gurdip Bakshi & Liuren Wu, 2010. "The Behavior of Risk and Market Prices of Risk Over the Nasdaq Bubble Period," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 56(12), pages 2251-2264, December.
  45. Li, Bingxin, 2019. "Pricing dynamics of natural gas futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 91-108.
  46. Oh, Dong Hwan & Park, Yang-Ho, 2023. "GARCH option pricing with volatility derivatives," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
  47. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2013. "Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1127-1220, Elsevier.
  48. Harris, Richard D.F. & Stoja, Evarist & Yilmaz, Fatih, 2011. "A cyclical model of exchange rate volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 3055-3064, November.
  49. Guo, Hui & Neely, Christopher J., 2008. "Investigating the intertemporal risk-return relation in international stock markets with the component GARCH model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 99(2), pages 371-374, May.
  50. Bingxin Li, 2020. "Option-implied filtering: evidence from the GARCH option pricing model," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 1037-1057, April.
  51. Liu, Hailong & Li, Rui & Yuan, Jinjian, 2018. "Deposit insurance pricing under GARCH," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 242-249.
  52. Majewski, A. A. & Bormetti, G. & Corsi, F., 2013. "Smile from the Past: A general option pricing framework with multiple volatility and leverage components," Working Papers 13/11, Department of Economics, City University London.
  53. Matt P. Dziubinski, 2012. "Conditionally-uniform Feasible Grid Search Algorithm," CREATES Research Papers 2012-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  54. Papantonis, Ioannis, 2016. "Volatility risk premium implications of GARCH option pricing models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 104-115.
  55. Wu, Xinyu & Zhao, An & Liu, Li, 2023. "Forecasting VIX using two-component realized EGARCH model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
  56. Christian Brownlees & Giuseppe Cavaliere & Alice Monti, 2018. "Evaluating The Accuracy Of Tail Risk Forecasts For Systemic Risk Measurement," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(02), pages 1-25, June.
  57. Radovan Parrák, 2013. "The Economic Valuation of Variance Forecasts: An Artificial Option Market Approach," Working Papers IES 2013/09, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Aug 2013.
  58. Francesca Lilla, 2021. "Volatility Bursts: A discrete-time option model with multiple volatility components," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1336, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  59. Dew-Becker, Ian & Giglio, Stefano & Le, Anh & Rodriguez, Marius, 2017. "The price of variance risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(2), pages 225-250.
  60. Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Ornthanalai, Chayawat, 2012. "Dynamic jump intensities and risk premiums: Evidence from S&P500 returns and options," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(3), pages 447-472.
  61. Kiesel, Rüdiger & Rahe, Florentin, 2017. "Option pricing under time-varying risk-aversion with applications to risk forecasting," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 120-138.
  62. Ra l De Jes s Guti rrez & Lidia E. Carvajal Guti rrez & Oswaldo Garcia Salgado, 2023. "Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall Estimation for Mexico s Isthmus Crude Oil Using Long-Memory GARCH-EVT Combined Approaches," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 467-480, July.
  63. Cipollini, Fabrizio & Gallo, Giampiero M., 2019. "Modeling Euro STOXX 50 volatility with common and market-specific components," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 11(C), pages 22-42.
  64. Wang, Xingchun & Zhang, Han, 2022. "Pricing basket spread options with default risk under Heston–Nandi GARCH models," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  65. Song, Zhaogang & Xiu, Dacheng, 2016. "A tale of two option markets: Pricing kernels and volatility risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 190(1), pages 176-196.
  66. Christoffersen, Peter & Feunou, Bruno & Jacobs, Kris & Meddahi, Nour, 2014. "The Economic Value of Realized Volatility: Using High-Frequency Returns for Option Valuation," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 49(3), pages 663-697, June.
  67. Carol Alexander & Emese Lazar & Silvia Stanescu, 2010. "Analytic Moments for GARCH Processes," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2011-07, Henley Business School, University of Reading, revised Apr 2011.
  68. Gang Li & Chu Zhang, 2010. "On the Number of State Variables in Options Pricing," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 56(11), pages 2058-2075, November.
  69. Raúl de Jesús Gutiérrez & Edgar Ortiz & Oswaldo García Salgado, 2017. "Long-term effects of the asymmetry and persistence of the prediction of volatility: Evidence for the equity markets of Latin America," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 62(4), pages 1081-1099, Octubre-D.
  70. Sohel Azad, A.S.M. & Batten, Jonathan A. & Fang, Victor & Wickramanayake, Jayasinghe, 2015. "International swap market contagion and volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 355-371.
  71. Adam Aleksander Majewski & Giacomo Bormetti & Fulvio Corsi, 2014. "Smile from the Past: A general option pricing framework with multiple volatility and leverage components," Papers 1404.3555, arXiv.org.
  72. Alexander, Carol & Lazar, Emese & Stanescu, Silvia, 2021. "Analytic moments for GJR-GARCH (1, 1) processes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 105-124.
  73. Majewski, Adam A. & Bormetti, Giacomo & Corsi, Fulvio, 2015. "Smile from the past: A general option pricing framework with multiple volatility and leverage components," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 521-531.
  74. Díaz-Hernández, Adán & Constantinou, Nick, 2019. "A multiple regime extension to the Heston–Nandi GARCH(1,1) model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 162-180.
  75. Raúl de Jesús Gutiérrez & Edgar Ortiz & Oswaldo García Salgado, 2017. "Los efectos de largo plazo de la asimetría y persistencia en la predicción de la volatilidad: evidencia para mercados accionarios de América Latina," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 62(4), pages 1063-1080, Octubre-D.
  76. Yunting Liu, 2022. "The Short-Run and Long-Run Components of Idiosyncratic Volatility and Stock Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(2), pages 1573-1589, February.
  77. Juho Kanniainen & Robert Pich'e, 2012. "Stock Price Dynamics and Option Valuations under Volatility Feedback Effect," Papers 1209.4718, arXiv.org.
  78. Awaworyi-Churchill, Sefa & Inekwe, John & Ivanovski, Kris & Smyth, Russell, 2022. "Breaks, trends and correlations in commodity prices in the very long-run," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  79. Wang, Xingchun, 2018. "Valuing executive stock options under correlated employment shocks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 38-45.
  80. Dario Alitab & Giacomo Bormetti & Fulvio Corsi & Adam A. Majewski, 2019. "A realized volatility approach to option pricing with continuous and jump variance components," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 42(2), pages 639-664, December.
  81. Dong Hwan Oh & Andrew J. Patton, 2021. "Better the Devil You Know: Improved Forecasts from Imperfect Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-071, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  82. Bakshi, Gurdip & Madan, Dilip & Panayotov, George, 2010. "Returns of claims on the upside and the viability of U-shaped pricing kernels," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 130-154, July.
  83. Li, Gang & Zhang, Chu, 2013. "Diagnosing affine models of options pricing: Evidence from VIX," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(1), pages 199-219.
  84. Kadir G. Babaoglou & Peter Christoffersen & Steven L. Heston & Kris Jacobs, 2014. "Option Valuation with Volatility Components, Fat Tails, and Nonlinear Pricing Kernels," CREATES Research Papers 2015-55, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  85. Hickey, Emily & Loomis, David G. & Mohammadi, Hassan, 2012. "Forecasting hourly electricity prices using ARMAX–GARCH models: An application to MISO hubs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 307-315.
  86. Len, Angel & Vaello-Sebasti, Antoni, 2009. "American GARCH employee stock option valuation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1129-1143, June.
  87. Wang, Xingchun, 2020. "Valuation of Asian options with default risk under GARCH models," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 27-40.
  88. Hsiang-Hsi Liu & Robin K Chou, 2016. "A Comparative Study of the Taiwan and Japan Equity and Foreign Exchange Markets: Modeling, Estimation and Application of the Component Garch-in-Mean Model," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(5), pages 277-297, May.
  89. Lo, Chien-Ling & Shih, Pai-Ta & Wang, Yaw-Huei & Yu, Min-Teh, 2019. "VIX derivatives: Valuation models and empirical evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1-21.
  90. Monday Osagie Adenomon & Richard Adekola Idowu, 2022. "Modelling the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Some Nigerian Sectorial Stocks: Evidence from GARCH Models with Structural Breaks," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-20, December.
  91. Yow-Jen Jou & Chih-Wei Wang & Wan-Chien Chiu, 2013. "Is the realized volatility good for option pricing during the recent financial crisis?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 171-188, January.
  92. Augustyniak, Maciej & Badescu, Alexandru & Bégin, Jean-François, 2023. "A discrete-time hedging framework with multiple factors and fat tails: On what matters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 416-444.
  93. Chen, Wei-Peng & Choudhry, Taufiq & Wu, Chih-Chiang, 2013. "The extreme value in crude oil and US dollar markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 191-210.
  94. Karmakar, Madhusudan & Paul, Samit, 2019. "Intraday portfolio risk management using VaR and CVaR:A CGARCH-EVT-Copula approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 699-709.
  95. Gurdip Bakshi & Charles Cao & Zhaodong (Ken) Zhong, 2021. "Assessing models of individual equity option prices," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 1-28, July.
  96. Guofu Zhou & Yingzi Zhu, 2015. "Macroeconomic Volatilities and Long-Run Risks of Asset Prices," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(2), pages 413-430, February.
  97. Wang, Qi & Wang, Zerong, 2020. "VIX valuation and its futures pricing through a generalized affine realized volatility model with hidden components and jump," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
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