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Are Points in Tennis Independent and Identically Distributed? Evidence From a Dynamic Binary Panel Data Model

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Alex Krumer, 2017. "On Winning Probabilities, Weight Categories, and Home Advantage in Professional Judo," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 18(1), pages 77-96, January.
  2. Axel Anderson & Jeremy Rosen & John Rust & Kin-Ping Wong, 2025. "Disequilibrium Play in Tennis," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 133(1), pages 190-251.
  3. Evans, Andrew E. & Crosby, Paul, 2021. "Does a cool head beat a hot hand? Evidence from professional golf," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 272-284.
  4. Ruud Koning, 2009. "Sport and Measurement of Competition," De Economist, Springer, vol. 157(2), pages 229-249, June.
  5. Brett Green & Jeffrey Zwiebel, 2018. "The Hot-Hand Fallacy: Cognitive Mistakes or Equilibrium Adjustments? Evidence from Major League Baseball," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(11), pages 5315-5348, November.
  6. Thierry Lallemand & Robert Plasman & François Rycx, 2008. "Women and Competition in Elimination Tournaments," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 9(1), pages 3-19, February.
  7. Klaassen, Franc J. G. M. & Magnus, Jan R., 2003. "Forecasting the winner of a tennis match," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 148(2), pages 257-267, July.
  8. Gimenez-Egido, José María & Ortega-Toro, Enrique & Palao, José M & Torres-Luque, Gema, 2020. "Effect of scaling equipment on U-10 players tennis serve during match-play: A nonlinear pedagogical approach," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  9. González-Díaz, Julio & Gossner, Olivier & Rogers, Brian W., 2012. "Performing best when it matters most: Evidence from professional tennis," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 84(3), pages 767-781.
  10. Picchio, Matteo & van Ours, Jan C., 2024. "The impact of high temperatures on performance in work-related activities," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  11. Franc J.G.M. Klaasen & Jan R. Magnus, 2006. "Are Economic Agents Successful Optimizers? An Analysis through Service Strategy in Tennis," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-048/2, Tinbergen Institute.
  12. Pierpaolo D’Urso & Livia Giovanni & Lorenzo Federico & Vincenzina Vitale, 2025. "Network and attribute-based clustering of tennis players and tournaments," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 40(4), pages 1689-1712, April.
  13. Finn Spilker & Christian Deutscher & Marius Ötting & Hendrik Sonnabend, 2025. "Favouritism, social pressure, and gender," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 77(3), pages 754-770.
  14. John Lynham, 2017. "Identifying Peer Effects Using Gold Rushers," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 93(3), pages 527-548.
  15. Paserman, M. Daniele, 2023. "Gender Differences in Performance in Competitive Environments? Evidence from Professional Tennis Players," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 590-609.
  16. Michael Jetter & Jay K. Walker, 2017. "Good Girl, Bad Boy? Evidence Consistent with Collusion in Professional Tennis," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 84(1), pages 155-180, July.
  17. Romain Gauriot & Lionel Page & John Wooders, 2016. "Nash at Wimbledon: Evidence from Half a Million Serves," QuBE Working Papers 046, QUT Business School.
  18. Legge, Stefan & Schmid, Lukas, 2013. "Rankings, Random Successes, and Individual Performance," Economics Working Paper Series 1340, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
  19. Isabel Abinzano & Harold Bonilla & Luis Muga, 2025. "Suspense and Surprise: The Role of Bookmakers’ Spreads," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 26(3), pages 240-267, April.
  20. Joxe Maria Barrutiabengoa & Pilar Corredor & Luis Muga, 2022. "Does The Betting Industry Price Gender? Evidence from Professional Tennis," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 23(7), pages 881-906, October.
  21. Klaassen, F.J.G.M. & Magnus, J.R., 2006. "Are Economic Agents Successful Optimizers? An Analysis Through Strategy in Tennis," Discussion Paper 2006-52, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  22. Uwe Sunde, 2009. "Heterogeneity and performance in tournaments: a test for incentive effects using professional tennis data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(25), pages 3199-3208.
  23. Alex Krumer & Mosi Rosenboim & Offer Moshe Shapir, 2016. "Gender, Competitiveness, and Physical Characteristics," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 17(3), pages 234-259, April.
  24. Romain Gauriot & Lionel Page & John Wooders, 2023. "Expertise, gender, and equilibrium play," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(3), pages 981-1020, July.
  25. Dupuy, Arnaud, 2025. "Who Does What to Whom in Tennis? A Threshold-Crossing Stochastic Model of Tennis Rallies," IZA Discussion Papers 17804, IZA Network @ LISER.
  26. Kovalchik, Stephanie & Reid, Machar, 2019. "A calibration method with dynamic updates for within-match forecasting of wins in tennis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 756-766.
  27. Robert Lantis & Erik Nesson, 2024. "The Hot Hand in the NBA 3-Point Contest: The Importance of Location, Location, Location," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 283-321, April.
  28. Chan Timothy C. Y. & Singal Raghav, 2016. "A Markov Decision Process-based handicap system for tennis," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 12(4), pages 179-188, December.
  29. Todd A. McFall & Charles R. Knoeber & Walter N. Thurman, 2009. "Contests, Grand Prizes, and the Hot Hand," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 10(3), pages 236-255, June.
  30. Cohen-Zada, Danny & Krumer, Alex & Rosenboim, Mosi & Shapir, Offer Moshe, 2017. "Choking under pressure and gender: Evidence from professional tennis," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 176-190.
  31. Joshua B. Miller & Adam Sanjurjo, 2014. "A Cold Shower for the Hot Hand Fallacy," Working Papers 518, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
  32. Noubary Reza D. & Coles Drue, 2011. "Rule of Tangent for Win-By-Two Games," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 7(4), pages 1-18, October.
  33. Robert Lantis & Erik Nesson, 2021. "Hot Shots: An Analysis of the “Hot Hand†in NBA Field Goal and Free Throw Shooting," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 22(6), pages 639-677, August.
  34. Cotton, Christopher & McIntyre, Frank & Price, Joseph, 2016. "Correcting for bias in hot hand analysis: Analyzing performance streaks in youth golf," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers 274692, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
  35. Ran Abramitzky & Liran Einav & Shimon Kolkowitz & Roy Mill, 2012. "On The Optimality Of Line Call Challenges In Professional Tennis," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 53(3), pages 939-964, August.
  36. Romain Gauriot & Lionel Page, 2019. "Does Success Breed Success? a Quasi-Experiment on Strategic Momentum in Dynamic Contests," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 129(624), pages 3107-3136.
  37. Gil Aharoni & Oded H. Sarig, 2012. "Hot hands and equilibrium," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(18), pages 2309-2320, June.
  38. Guy Elaad & Alex Krumer & Jeffrey Kantor, 2018. "Corruption and Sensitive Soccer Games: Cross-Country Evidence," The Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, Oxford University Press, vol. 34(3), pages 364-394.
  39. Collingwood, James A.P. & Wright, Michael & Brooks, Roger J., 2023. "Simulating the progression of a professional snooker frame," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 309(3), pages 1286-1299.
  40. Ruud H. Koning & Ian G. McHale, 2012. "Estimating Match and World Cup Winning Probabilities," Chapters, in: Wolfgang Maennig & Andrew Zimbalist (ed.), International Handbook on the Economics of Mega Sporting Events, chapter 11, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  41. Stephanie Parsons & Nicholas Rohde, 2015. "The hot hand fallacy re-examined: new evidence from the English Premier League," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(4), pages 346-357, January.
  42. Maria De Paola & Vincenzo Scoppa, 2015. "Gender Differences In Reaction To Psychological Pressure: Evidence From Tennis Players," Working Papers 201506, Università della Calabria, Dipartimento di Economia, Statistica e Finanza "Giovanni Anania" - DESF.
  43. Holmes, Benjamin & McHale, Ian G. & Żychaluk, Kamila, 2023. "A Markov chain model for forecasting results of mixed martial arts contests," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 623-640.
  44. Cohen-Zada, Danny & Krumer, Alex & Shtudiner, Ze'ev, 2017. "Psychological momentum and gender," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 66-81.
  45. Cohen-Zada, Danny & Krumer, Alex & Shapir, Offer Moshe, 2018. "Testing the effect of serve order in tennis tiebreak," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 106-115.
  46. Christophe Ley & Yves Dominicy, 2017. "Mutual Point-winning Probabilities (MPW): a New Performance Measure for Table Tennis," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2017-23, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  47. Elaad, Guy & Kantor, Jeffrey & Krumer, Alex, 2017. "Corruption and Contests: Cross-Country Evidence from Sensitive Soccer Matches," Economics Working Paper Series 1708, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
  48. Tomi Ovaska & Albert J. Sumell, 2014. "Who Has The Advantage? An Economic Exploration of Winning in Men's Professional Tennis," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 59(1), pages 34-51, May.
  49. Emmanuel Skoufias & Sushenjit Bandyopadhyay & Sergio Olivieri, 2017. "Occupational diversification as an adaptation to rainfall variability in rural India," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 48(1), pages 77-89, January.
  50. Gábor Rappai & Diána Ivett Fűrész, 2024. "Domestic Competitive Imbalance as the “Price†of Surprise in the Champions League," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 25(2), pages 231-256, February.
  51. Horrace, William C. & Oaxaca, Ronald L., 2006. "Results on the bias and inconsistency of ordinary least squares for the linear probability model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 90(3), pages 321-327, March.
  52. Gery Geenens & Thomas Cuddihy, 2018. "Non‐parametric evidence of second‐leg home advantage in European football," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 181(4), pages 1009-1031, October.
  53. Sunde, Uwe, 2003. "Potential, Prizes and Performance: Testing Tournament Theory with Professional Tennis Data," IZA Discussion Papers 947, IZA Network @ LISER.
  54. Singh, Aaditya & Scarf, Phil & Baker, Rose, 2023. "A unified theory for bivariate scores in possessive ball-sports: The case of handball," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(3), pages 1099-1112.
  55. Rossignac-Milon, Maya & Pillemer, Julianna & Bailey, Erica R. & Blaine Horton Jr., C. & Iyengar, Sheena S., 2024. "Just be real with me: Perceived partner authenticity promotes relationship initiation via shared reality," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
  56. Julio del Corral, 2009. "Competitive Balance and Match Uncertainty in Grand-Slam Tennis," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 10(6), pages 563-581, December.
  57. Fry Michael J. & Shukairy F. Alan, 2012. "Searching for Momentum in the NFL," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-20, March.
  58. Zaveri, Esha D. & Wrenn, Douglas H. & Fisher-Vanden, Karen, . "The impact of water access on short-term migration in rural India," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(2).
  59. Paul Williams & Andrew Heathcote & Keith Nesbitt & Ami Eidels, 2016. "Post-error recklessness and the hot hand," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 11(2), pages 174-184, March.
  60. Iqbal, Hamzah & Krumer, Alex, 2017. "Discouragement Effect and Intermediate Prizes in Multi-Stage Contests: Evidence from Tennis’s Davis Cup," Economics Working Paper Series 1719, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
  61. Deutscher, Christian & Neuberg, Lena & Thiem, Stefan, 2023. "Who’s afraid of the GOATs? - Shadow effects of tennis superstars," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
  62. Romain Gauriot & Lionel Page & John Wooders, 2016. "Nash at Wimbledon: Evidence from Half a Million Serves," QuBE Working Papers 046, QUT Business School.
  63. Robert M. Lantis & Erik T. Nesson, 2019. "Hot Shots: An Analysis of the ‘Hot Hand’ in NBA Field Goal and Free Throw Shooting," NBER Working Papers 26510, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  64. Livingston, Jeffrey A., 2012. "The hot hand and the cold hand in professional golf," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 172-184.
  65. Anthony Glass & Karligash Kenjegalieva & Jason Taylor, 2015. "Game, set and match: evaluating the efficiency of male professional tennis players," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 43(2), pages 119-131, April.
  66. Bergerhoff, Jan & Vosen, Agnes, 2015. "Can being behind get you ahead? Reference Dependence and Asymmetric Equilibria in an Unfair Tournament," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers 03/2015, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE).
  67. Krumer, Alex & Lechner, Michael, 2016. "First In First Win: Evidence on Unfairness of Round-Robin Tournaments in Mega-Events," Economics Working Paper Series 1611, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
  68. Montezuma Dumangane & Nicoletta Rosati & Anna Volossovitch, 2009. "Departure from independence and stationarity in a handball match," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(7), pages 723-741.
  69. Cotton, Christopher & Price, Joseph, 2006. "The Hot Hand, Competitive Experience, and Performance Differences by Gender," MPRA Paper 1843, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  70. del Corral, Julio & Prieto-Rodríguez, Juan, 2010. "Are differences in ranks good predictors for Grand Slam tennis matches?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 551-563, July.
  71. Kovalchik Stephanie Ann, 2016. "Is there a Pythagorean theorem for winning in tennis?," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 43-49, March.
  72. Cotton, Christopher S. & McIntyre, Frank & Nordstrom, Ardyn & Price, Joseph, 2019. "Correcting for bias in hot hand analysis: An application to youth golf," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 75(PB).
  73. Albert Jim, 2013. "Looking at spacings to assess streakiness," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 9(2), pages 151-163, June.
  74. Klaassen, Franc J.G.M. & Magnus, Jan R., 2009. "The efficiency of top agents: An analysis through service strategy in tennis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 148(1), pages 72-85, January.
  75. Bakkenbüll, Linn-Brit & Kiefer, Stephanie, 2014. "Are attractive female tennis players more successful? An empirical analysis," Discussion Papers of the Institute for Organisational Economics 12/2014, University of Münster, Institute for Organisational Economics.
  76. Linn-Brit Bakkenbüll & Stephanie Kiefer, 2015. "Are Attractive Female Tennis Players More Successful? An Empirical Analysis," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(4), pages 443-458, November.
  77. David Romer, 2006. "Do Firms Maximize? Evidence from Professional Football," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 114(2), pages 340-365, April.
  78. Rod Falvey & Gulasekaran Rajaguru & Robert Wrathall, 2025. "Do Jockeys “Look to†or “Rest on†Their Laurels After a Sequence of Winning Rides?," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 26(1), pages 78-114, January.
  79. Iqbal, Hamzah & Krumer, Alex, 2019. "Discouragement effect and intermediate prizes in multi-stage contests: Evidence from Davis Cup," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 364-381.
  80. Chan Timothy C.Y. & Singal Raghav, 2018. "A Bayesian regression approach to handicapping tennis players based on a rating system," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 14(3), pages 131-141, September.
  81. Matthieu Llorca & Eric Barget & Thierry Teste, 2017. "The Effects of Financial Incentives on Women's Performance: The Tournament Theory Applied to Female Tennis Players," Post-Print hal-04704537, HAL.
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