Mutual Point-winning Probabilities (MPW): a New Performance Measure for Table Tennis
We propose a new performance measure for table tennis players: the mutual point-winning probabilities (MPW) as server and receiver. The MPWs quantify a player's chances to win a point against a given opponent, and hence nicely complement the classical match statistics history between two players. We shall describe the MPWs, explain the statistics underpinning their calculation, and show via a Monte Carlo simulation study that our estimation procedure works well. As an illustration of the MPWs' versatile use, we use it as an alternative ranking method in two round-robin tournaments of ten respectively eleven table tennis players that we have ourselves organized.
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- Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit, 2015.
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