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The impact of oil shocks on the Spanish economy

Author

Listed:
  • Ana Gómez-Loscos
  • Antonio Montañes
  • Maria Dolores Gadea

Abstract

This paper analyses the impact of oil both price shocks on the GDP and prices in the Spanish economy and its seventeen NUTS-2 regions. The Qu and Perron (2007) and the Bai and Perron (1998, 2003a and 2003b) methods identify different periods across the sample. Evidence in favour of a diminishing effect of oil price shocks on the output and inflation is found from the 1970s until the mid 1990s. For Spain, the influence of oil shocks recovers some of its initial importance for the GDP in the last part of the 1990s and, especially, for the CPI inflation in the 2000s. The most outstanding result is that the oil price movements could explain at least some of the recent inflation, the main difference between these outcomes and those obtained for the 1970s being the lower value of the impact found in the last part of the sample. For the above mentioned regions, the influence of oil price shocks on the GDP progressively disappears; while the impact on CPI decreases from 1985 on, ten years later it becomes significant again, as in Spain.

Suggested Citation

  • Ana Gómez-Loscos & Antonio Montañes & Maria Dolores Gadea, 2011. "The impact of oil shocks on the Spanish economy," ERSA conference papers ersa10p835, European Regional Science Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa10p835
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Moya-Martínez, Pablo & Ferrer-Lapeña, Román & Escribano-Sotos, Francisco, 2014. "Oil price risk in the Spanish stock market: An industry perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 280-290.
    2. María Dolores Gadea & Ana Gómez-Loscos & Antonio Montañés, 2016. "Oil Price and Economic Growth: A Long Story?," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 4(4), pages 1-28, October.
    3. Behrouzi, Fatemeh & Nakisa, Mehdi & Maimun, Adi & Ahmed, Yasser M., 2016. "Global renewable energy and its potential in Malaysia: A review of Hydrokinetic turbine technology," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1270-1281.
    4. Solaymani, Saeed & Kari, Fatimah, 2013. "Environmental and economic effects of high petroleum prices on transport sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 435-441.
    5. Maria Dolores Gadea & Ana Gomez-Loscos, 2014. "Oil price shocks and the US economy: What makes the latest oil price episode different," International Economics Letters, Transnational Press London, UK, vol. 3(2), pages 36-44, October.
    6. Chong, Heap-Yih & Lam, Wei-Haur, 2013. "Ocean renewable energy in Malaysia: The potential of the Straits of Malacca," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 169-178.
    7. Ana Gómez-Loscos & Antonio Montañes & Maria Dolores Gadea, 2011. "The impact of oil shocks on the Spanish economy," ERSA conference papers ersa10p835, European Regional Science Association.
    8. repec:eco:journ1:2017-03-2 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Gómez-Loscos, Ana & Montañés, Antonio & Gadea, M. Dolores, 2011. "The impact of oil shocks on the Spanish economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1070-1081.
    10. Katircioglu, Salih Turan & Sertoglu, Kamil & Candemir, Mehmet & Mercan, Mehmet, 2015. "Oil price movements and macroeconomic performance: Evidence from twenty-six OECD countries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 257-270.
    11. Raghavan, Mala, 2015. "The macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks on ASEAN-5 economies," Working Papers 2015-10, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
    12. Solaymani, Saeed & Kari, Fatimah, 2014. "Impacts of energy subsidy reform on the Malaysian economy and transportation sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 115-125.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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