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Capital Flows, Maturity Mismatches and Profitability in Emerging Markets: Evidence from Bank Level Data

  • Uluc Aysun

    (University of Connecticut)

Despite the extensive work on currency mismatches, research on the significance of maturity mismatches in emerging market countries is scarce. In this paper, I show that emerging market banks' maturity mismatches increase during periods of high capital inflows, and that banks with high maturity mismatches are less profitable during crisis periods but more profitable otherwise. Hence, banks face a tradeoff between higher returns and risk. These results follow from a panel regression on a data set I constructed by merging bank level data with aggregate data. A simple Diamond-Dybvig (1983) partial equilibrium framework motivates the empirical analysis.

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Paper provided by University of Connecticut, Department of Economics in its series Working papers with number 2006-29.

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Length: 52 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2006
Date of revision: Oct 2007
Handle: RePEc:uct:uconnp:2006-29
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Web page: http://www.econ.uconn.edu/
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  1. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Miguel A. Savastano, 2003. "Debt Intolerance," NBER Working Papers 9908, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Reinhart, Carmen & Rogoff, Kenneth & Savastano, Miguel, 2003. "Debt intolerance," MPRA Paper 13932, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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  3. Neumeyer, Pablo Andrés & Perri, Fabrizio, 2004. "Business Cycles in Emerging Economies: The Role of Interest Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 4482, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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  6. Sartoris, William L., 1993. "The term structure of interest rates and the asset and liability decisions of a financial intermediary," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 129-142, May.
  7. SinkeyJr., Joseph F. & Carter, David A., 2000. "Evidence on the financial characteristics of banks that do and do not use derivatives," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 431-449.
  8. Buch, Claudia M. & Lusinyan, Lusine, 2003. "Determinants of short-term debt: a note," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 157-170, April.
  9. Bussière, Matthieu & Fratzscher, Marcel & Koeniger, Winfried, 2004. "Currency mismatch, uncertainty and debt maturity structure," Working Paper Series 0409, European Central Bank.
  10. Sergio L. Schmukler & Graciela Laura Kaminsky, 2003. "Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain; The Effects of Financial Liberalization," IMF Working Papers 03/34, International Monetary Fund.
  11. Chang, R. & Velasco, A., 1998. "Financial Crises in Emerging Markets: A Canonical Model," Working Papers 98-21, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University.
  12. Dani Rodrik & Andres Velasco, 1999. "Short-Term Capital Flows," NBER Working Papers 7364, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  13. Hoyt Bleakley & Kevin Cowan, 2005. "Maturity Mismatch and Financial Crises: Evidence from Emerging Market Corporations," Research Department Publications 4433, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
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  17. Jean Tirole, 2003. "Inefficient Foreign Borrowing: A Dual-and Common-Agency Perspective," Levine's Working Paper Archive 506439000000000136, David K. Levine.
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  21. repec:rus:hseeco:123922 is not listed on IDEAS
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  23. Diamond, Douglas W & Dybvig, Philip H, 1983. "Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(3), pages 401-19, June.
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