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Interest Rates, Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Performance

Author

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  • Erdoğan, Seyfettin
  • Karacan, Rıdvan
  • Alpaslan, Barış

Abstract

In recent years, there has been a renewed interest in the fact that a change in exchange rates has an impact on main economic indicators and therefore on macroeconomic performance. The aim of this paper is to study the implications of the relationship between exchange rates and changes in short-term interest rates on macroeconomic performance in the Turkish economy. The results of this study show that monetary policy shocks may affect financial sector and real sector through exchange rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Erdoğan, Seyfettin & Karacan, Rıdvan & Alpaslan, Barış, 2013. "Interest Rates, Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Performance," MPRA Paper 50838, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:50838
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/50838/1/MPRA_paper_50838.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Cipollini, Andrea & Demetriades, Panicos O., 2005. "Monetary policy and the exchange rate during the Asian crisis: identification through heteroscedasticity," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 39-53, February.
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    3. Zettelmeyer, Jeromin, 2004. "The impact of monetary policy on the exchange rate: evidence from three small open economies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 635-652, April.
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    5. Dongchul Cho & Kenneth D. West, 2003. "Interest Rates and Exchange Rates in the Korean, Philippine, and Thai Exchange Rate Crises," NBER Chapters, in: Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets, pages 11-35, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Kim, Jung-Kwan & Ratti, Ronald A., 2006. "Economic activity, foreign exchange rate, and the interest rate during the Asian crisis," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 387-402, May.
    7. Robert Dekle & Cheng Hsiao & Siyan Wang, 2001. "Do High Interest Rates Appreciate Exchange Rates During Crisis? The Korean Evidence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 63(3), pages 359-380, July.
    8. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    9. Dekle, Robert & Hsiao, Cheng & Wang, Siyan, 2001. "Do High Interest Rates Appreciate Exchange Rates during Crisis? The Korean Evidence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 63(3), pages 359-380, July.
    10. Peersman, Gert & Smets, Frank, 2001. "The monetary transmission mechanism in the euro area: more evidence from VAR analysis," Working Paper Series 91, European Central Bank.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Interest Rate; Exchange Rate; VAR Analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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