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Financial Deepening, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean

  • Thomas Gries

    ()

    (University of Paderborn)

  • Manfred Kraft

    ()

    (University of Paderborn)

  • Daniel Meierrieks

    (University of Paderborn)

This contribution investigates the direct and indirect causal interactions between financial deepening, trade openness and economic growth for 13 Latin American and Caribbean countries. Using a rather general approach to identify indicators for financial deepening and to detect Granger causality within a VAR/VECM framework, we find almost no evidence for the popular hypothesis of finance-led growth. Evidence of bidirectional finance-growth causality is stronger but mostly unstable in the long run. Most results indicate a demand-following or insignificant relationship between finance and growth in Latin America. This finding seems to be consistent with regard to the weakness and deficiencies of the region's financial systems. Further, there is no evidence that finance indirectly and unilaterally induces growth via the channel of trade openness. Thus, policies that prioritize financial and trade liberalization cannot be supported by this study. Instead, a holistic policy approach seems to be preferable that promotes the determinants of both real sector growth and financial development. As a result, financial factors may positively and significantly contribute to economic development in the region.

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File URL: http://groups.uni-paderborn.de/wp-wiwi/RePEc/pdf/ciepap/WP17.pdf
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Paper provided by University of Paderborn, CIE Center for International Economics in its series Working Papers CIE with number 17.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:pdn:ciepap:17
Contact details of provider: Postal: 05251/05251/60-2108
Phone: 05251/05251/60-2108
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Web page: http://wiwi.uni-paderborn.de/center/cie/
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