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Does financial development precede growth? Robinson and Lucas might be right

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  • Hyoungsoo Zang
  • Young Chul Kim

Abstract

This paper studies whether there is any causal link between financial development indicators and economic growth, using Sims-Geweke causality tests performed in the large panel data set provided by Levine, Loayza and Beck. In sharp contrast to their findings, no evidence was found of any positive unidirectional causal link from financial development indicators to economic growth. On the contrary, a substantial indication that economic growth precedes subsequent financial development was found. As argued by Robinson, financial development might primarily follow economic growth, as a result of increased demand for financial services. Although the present result does not quite imply that the role of financial development in the development process is not important, the bottom line is that a more balanced approach to studying the relationship between growth and finance needs to be adopted. As termed by Lucas, the importance of financial development in economic growth might be very badly 'over-stressed'. Robinson and Lucas might be right.

Suggested Citation

  • Hyoungsoo Zang & Young Chul Kim, 2007. "Does financial development precede growth? Robinson and Lucas might be right," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 15-19.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:15-19
    DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425469
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tsangyao Chang, 2002. "Financial development and economic growth in Mainland China: a note on testing demand-following or supply-leading hypothesis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(13), pages 869-873.
    2. Ross Levine & Norman Loayza & Thorsten Beck, 2002. "Financial Intermediation and Growth: Causality and Causes," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series,in: Leonardo Hernández & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Se (ed.), Banking, Financial Integration, and International Crises, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 2, pages 031-084 Central Bank of Chile.
    3. Magnus Blomström & Robert E. Lipsey & Mario Zejan, 1996. "Is Fixed Investment the Key to Economic Growth?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 111(1), pages 269-276.
    4. Emilia Mazur & W. Robert & J. Alexander, 2001. "Financial sector development and economic growth in New Zealand," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(8), pages 545-549.
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Adusei, 2016. "Does Entrepreneurship Promote Economic Growth in Africa?," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 28(2), pages 201-214, June.
    2. repec:agr:journl:v:2(602):y:2015:i:2(602):p:103-112 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Sheilla Nyasha & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2017. "Are Banks and Stock Markets Complements Or Substitutes? Empirical Evidence from Three Countries," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 15(1 (Spring), pages 81-101.
    4. Verhoef, Grietjie & Greyling, Lorraine & Mwamba, John, 2013. "SAVINGS and economic growth: a historical analysis of the relationship between savings and economic growth in the CAPE Colony economy, 1850-1909," MPRA Paper 47819, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Jun 2013.
    5. Marques, Luís Miguel & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Marques, António Cardoso, 2012. "Interação entre o mercado acionista e o crescimento económico: Uma apreciação do caso português (1993-2010)
      [Interaction between the stock market and economic growth: An assessment of the Portugues
      ," MPRA Paper 39808, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Henryk Gurgul & £ukasz Lach, 2012. "Financial Development and Economic Growth in Poland in Transition: Causality Analysis," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 62(4), pages 347-367, August.
    7. repec:rss:jnljef:v1i1p3 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Milena Lipovina-Bozovic & Julija Cerovic Smolovic, 2016. "Evidence on Economic Growth and Financial Development in Montenegro," Management, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 11(4), pages 349-365.
    9. Oludele Akinloye Akinboade & Emilie Chanceline Kinfack, 2013. "Interest rate reforms, financial deepening and economic growth in Cameroon: an empirical investigation," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(25), pages 3574-3586, September.
    10. repec:hur:ijarbs:v:7:y:2017:i:10:p:457-466 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. repec:gam:jsusta:v:9:y:2017:i:6:p:933-:d:100350 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Abdulkadir Abdulrashid Rafindadi & Almustapha A Aliyu, 2017. "Growing the Growth of the Ghanaian Economy: Is the Function of the Countrys Financial Development of Any Significance?," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 7(2), pages 206-221, February.
    13. Ho, Sin-Yu & Njindan Iyke, Bernard, 2017. "Empirical Reassessment of Bank-based Financial Development and Economic Growth in Hong Kong," MPRA Paper 78920, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Marques, Luís Miguel & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Marques, António Cardoso, 2013. "Does the stock market cause economic growth? Portuguese evidence of economic regime change," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 316-324.
    15. Claude Berthomieu & Anastasia Ri, 2009. "Process and Effects of Financial Liberalization in Transition Countries: A Selective Literature Survey," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 56(4), pages 453-473, December.
    16. Nyasha, Sheilla & Gwenhure, Yvonne & Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2017. "The Dynamic Causal Linkage Between Financial Development And Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence From Ethiopia," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 70(1), pages 73-102.
    17. Vernikov, Andrei, 2017. "Структурные Или Институциональные Сдвиги? Попытка Измерения На Примере Банковского Сектора
      [Structural change, institutional change and their measurement: The case of banking]
      ," MPRA Paper 79978, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Nicholas Odhiambo, 2010. "Finance-investment-growth nexus in South Africa: an ARDL-bounds testing procedure," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 205-219, August.
    19. N M Odhiambo, 2008. "Financial Development in Kenya: a Dynamic Test of the Finance-led Growth Hypothesis," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 13(2), pages 21-36, September.
    20. Delia-Elena DIACONAŞU, 2015. "Stock market – economy growth nexus in an emerging country. The case of Romania," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(2(603), S), pages 103-112, Summer.
    21. Oludele Akinboade & Emilie Kinfack, 2014. "An Econometric Analysis of the Relationship Between Millennium Development Goals, Economic Growth and Financial Development in South Africa," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 118(2), pages 775-795, September.
    22. repec:eee:quaeco:v:64:y:2017:i:c:p:44-56 is not listed on IDEAS

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