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Exchange Rates and the Swiss Economy

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  • Willem THORBECKE
  • KATO Atsuyuki

Abstract

Safe haven capital inflows, central bank policies, and other factors have produced large changes in the Swiss franc. We find that these exchange rate changes do not affect the volume of exports from Switzerland’s most advanced sectors such as pharmaceuticals and watches, but matter for exports of medium-high-technology products such as capital goods and machinery. We also report that appreciations do not affect stock prices and goods prices for the pharmaceutical and watch industries, but cause both stock and goods prices to tumble for the capital and machinery goods sectors. We conclude with policy lessons for Switzerland, for other countries facing safe haven inflows, and for the rest of the world.

Suggested Citation

  • Willem THORBECKE & KATO Atsuyuki, 2017. "Exchange Rates and the Swiss Economy," Discussion papers 17064, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    • Handle: RePEc:eti:dpaper:17064
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    Cited by:

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    2. Willem Thorbecke & Nimesh Salike, 2020. "Export Sophistication and Trade Elasticities," Journal of Asian Economic Integration, , vol. 2(1), pages 7-26, April.
    3. Petr Wawrosz & Semen Traksel, 2023. "Negative Interest Rates and Its Impact on GDP, FDI and Banks’ Financial Performance: The Cases of Switzerland and Sweden," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-23, May.
    4. Willem THORBECKE & Nimesh SALIKE & CHEN Chen, 2020. "Product Complexity, Exports, and Exchange Rates: Evidence from the Japanese Chemical Industry," Discussion papers 20085, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    5. Willem Thorbecke, 2021. "The Exposure of French and South Korean Firm Stock Returns to Exchange Rates and the COVID-19 Pandemic," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-29, April.
    6. Thorbecke, Willem & Salike, Nimesh & Chen, Chen, 2022. "The impact of exchange rate changes on the Japanese chemical industry," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    7. Atsuyuki Kato, 2022. "Trade Competition Between ASEAN, China, and India: The Post-trade War and COVID-19 Scenario," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 14(2), pages 163-184, May.
    8. Johannes Eugster & Giovanni Donato, 2022. "The exchange rate elasticity of the Swiss current account," Working Papers 2022-14, Swiss National Bank.
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    10. Thorbecke, Willem & Kato, Atsuyuki, 2018. "Exchange rates and the Swiss economy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1182-1199.
    11. Chen Chen & Nimesh Salike & Willem Thorbecke, 2023. "Exchange rate effects on China's exports: Product sophistication and exchange rate elasticity," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 37(3), pages 371-400, September.

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    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General

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