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Evaluation of macroeconomic models for financial stability analysis

  • Gunnar Bårdsen


    (NTNU, Department of Economics and Norges Bank (Central Bank of Norway))

  • Kjersti-Gro Lindquist


    (Norges Bank (Central Bank of Norway))

  • Dimitrios P. Tsomocos


    (Saïd Business School and St. Edmund Hall, Oxford University)

As financial stability has gained focus in economic policymaking, the demand for analyses of financial stability and the consequences of economic policy has increased. Alternative macroeconomic models are available for policy analyses, and this paper evaluates the usefulness of some models from the perspective of financial stability. Financial stability analyses are complicated by the lack of a clear and consensus definition of ‘financial stability’, and the paper concludes that operational definitions of this term must be expected to vary across alternative models. Furthermore, since assessment of financial stability in general is based on a wide range of risk factors, one can not expect one single model to satisfactorily capture all the risk factors. Rather, a suite of models is needed. This is in particular true for the evaluation of risk factors originating and developing inside and outside the financial system respectively.

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Paper provided by Norges Bank in its series Working Paper with number 2006/01.

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Length: 41 pages
Date of creation: 15 Feb 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bno:worpap:2006_01
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