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Econometric inflation targeting


  • Gunnar Bardsen
  • Eilev S. Jansen
  • Ragnar Nymoen


Models in the literature on inflation targeting are mostly theoretical or calibrated, even though inflation targeting requires inflation forecasts. The motivation for this paper is therefore threefold: foremost we want to build an econometric model for forecasting inflation in Norway--one economy recently opting for formal inflation targeting rather than a managed nominal exchange rate. Next, we want to quantify the relative importance of the different transmission mechanisms--with basis in empirical estimates rather than calibrated values. Finally, we want to focus on and exploit econometric issues required in the design and estimation of econometric models used for inflation forecasting and policy analysis. Copyright Royal Economic Society, 2003

Suggested Citation

  • Gunnar Bardsen & Eilev S. Jansen & Ragnar Nymoen, 2003. "Econometric inflation targeting," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 6(2), pages 430-461, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ect:emjrnl:v:6:y:2003:i:2:p:430-461

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • J3 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs


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