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Inflación Básica.Una Estimación Basada en Modelos VAR Estructurales

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  • Luis Fernando Melo

    ()

  • Franz A.Hamann

    ()

Abstract

En este trabajo se presenta y se aplica para Colombia una técnica desarrollada por Quah y Vahey (1995) para medir la inflación básica a partir de la hipótesis de neutralidad del dinero en el largo plazo. Así, la inflación básica se define como aquella parte de la inflación observada que no tiene efectos sobre el producto real en el mediano y largo plazo. Esta definición es consistente con la idea de la existencia de una curva de Phillips vertical en el largo plazo. Dichas hipótesis se pueden incorporar como restricciones dinámicas impuestas sobre un sistema de vectores autorregresivos (VAR) y de esta forma obtener una medida de inflación básica que elimina la ambiguedad de escoger entre diferentes medidas alternativas.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Fernando Melo & Franz A.Hamann, 1998. "Inflación Básica.Una Estimación Basada en Modelos VAR Estructurales," Borradores de Economia 093, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:093
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Juan José Echavarría Soto & Enrique López Enciso & Martha Misas Arango, 2008. "El tipo de cambio real de equilibrio en Colombia y su desalineamiento: estimación a través de un modelo SVEC," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research,in: Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos (CEMLA) (ed.), Estimación y Uso de Variables no Observables en la Región, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 12, pages 365-395 Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    2. Juan José Echavarría Soto & Enrique López Enciso & Martha Misas Arango, 2008. "La Tasa De Cambio Real De Equilibrio En Colombia Y Su Desalineamiento: Estimación A Través De Un Modelo Svec," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE, vol. 26(57), pages 282-319, December.
    3. Martha Misas & Enrique López, 2000. "La Utilización De La Capacidad Instalada De La Industria En Colombia: Un Nuevo Enfoque," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE, vol. 18(38), pages 5-44, December.
    4. Martha Misas A & Enrique López E, 2001. "Desequilibrios Reales En Colombia," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE, vol. 19(40), pages 5-45, December.
    5. Luis Arango & Andres Gonzalez, 2001. "Some evidence of smooth transition nonlinearity in Colombian inflation," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 155-162.
    6. Martha Misas A>rango & Enrique López Enciso & Juana Téllez Corredor & José Fernando Escobar Restrepo, 2005. "La Inflación Subyacente En Colombia: Un Enfoque De Tendencias Estocásticas Comunes Asociadas A Un Vec Estructural," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003026, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.

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    Keywords

    Inflación; inflación básica; neutralidad; VAR estructural;

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