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Spillovers of the ECB's non-standard monetary policy into CESEE economies

Author

Listed:
  • Alessio Ciarlone

    (Banca d'Italia)

  • Andrea Colabella

    (Banca d'Italia)

Abstract

In this paper we provide evidence that the effects of the ECB�s asset purchase programmes spill over into CESEE countries, contributing to easing their financial conditions both in the short and in the long term through different transmission channels. In the short term, a number of variables in CESEE financial markets appear to respond to news related to the ECB�s non-standard policies by moving in the expected direction. Over a longer-term horizon, we found that cross-border portfolio and banking capital flows towards CESEE economies have been ffected by both the announcement and the actual implementation of the ECB�s asset purchase programmes, pointing to the existence of a portfolio rebalancing and a banking liquidity channel.

Suggested Citation

  • Alessio Ciarlone & Andrea Colabella, 2016. "Spillovers of the ECB's non-standard monetary policy into CESEE economies," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 351, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_351_16
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    Cited by:

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    2. Antonio Bianco & Claudio Sardoni, 2018. "Banking theories and macroeconomics," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(2), pages 165-184, April.
    3. Deskar-Škrbić, Milan & Kotarac, Karlo & Kunovac, Davor, 2020. "The third round of euro area enlargement: Are the candidates ready?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    4. Alessio Ciarlone & Andrea Colabella, 2018. "Asset price volatility in EU-6 economies: how large is the role played by the ECB?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1175, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. Ledóchowski, Michał & Żuk, Piotr, 2022. "What drives portfolio capital inflows into emerging market economies? The role of the Fed's and ECB's balance sheet policies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PB).
    6. Isabella Moder, 2019. "Spillovers from the ECB's Non-standard Monetary Policy Measures on Southeastern Europe," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(4), pages 127-163, October.
    7. Stephanos Papadamou & Nikolaos A. Kyriazis & Panayiotis G. Tzeremes, 2019. "Spillover Effects of US QE and QE Tapering on African and Middle Eastern Stock Indices," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-20, April.
    8. Wojciech Grabowski & Ewa Stawasz-Grabowska, 2021. "How have the European central bank’s monetary policies been affecting financial markets in CEE-3 countries?," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(1), pages 43-83, March.
    9. El-Shagi, Makram & Tochkov, Kiril, 2022. "Shadow of the colossus: Euro area spillovers and monetary policy in Central and Eastern Europe," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    10. Ouerk, Salima, 2023. "ECB unconventional monetary policy and volatile bank flows: Spillover effects on emerging market economies," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 175-211.
    11. Demetrio Lacava & Giampiero M. Gallo & Edoardo Otranto, 2022. "Unconventional policies effects on stock market volatility: The MAP approach," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(5), pages 1245-1265, November.
    12. Ouerk, Salima & Boucher, Christophe & Lubochinsky, Catherine, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policy in the Euro Area: Shadow rate and light effets," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    13. Mr. Richard Varghese & Ms. Yuanyan S Zhang, 2018. "A New Wave of ECB’s Unconventional Monetary Policies: Domestic Impact and Spillovers," IMF Working Papers 2018/011, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Alessio Ciarlone & Andrea Colabella, 2021. "ECB'S non‐standard monetary policy and asset price volatility: Evidence from EU‐6 economies," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1503-1530, January.
    15. Andrea Colabella, 2019. "Do the ECB’s monetary policies benefit emerging market economies? A GVAR analysis on the crisis and post-crisis period," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1207, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    16. G.M. Gallo & D. Lacava & E. Otranto, 2020. "Measuring the Effects of Unconventional Policies on Stock Market Volatility," Working Paper CRENoS 202006, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    17. Glocker, Christian & Url, Thomas, 2022. "Financial sector rescue programs: Domestic and cross border effects," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    18. Michał Ledóchowski & Piotr Żuk, 2020. "What drives portfolio capital inflows into emerging market economies? The role of the Fed’s and ECB’s balance sheet policies," NBP Working Papers 333, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    19. Andrea Colabella, 2021. "Do ECB's Monetary Policies Benefit EMEs? A GVAR Analysis on the Global Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises and Postcrises Period," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(2), pages 472-494, April.
    20. Feldkircher, Martin & Gruber, Thomas & Huber, Florian, 2020. "International effects of a compression of euro area yield curves," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    21. Anita Angelovska–Bezhoska & Ana Mitreska & Sultanija Bojcheva-Terzijan, 2018. "The Impact of the ECB’s Quantitative Easing Policy on Capital Flows in the CESEE Region," Working Papers 2018-04, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia.
    22. Geis, André & Moder, Isabella & Schuler, Tobias, 2020. "Who’s afraid of euro area monetary tightening? CESEE shouldn’t," Working Paper Series 2416, European Central Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    unconventional monetary policy; ECB; Central and Eastern Europe; international spillovers; event study;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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