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Spillovers of the ECB's non-standard monetary policy into CESEE economies

Author

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  • Alessio Ciarlone

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  • Andrea Colabella

Abstract

In this paper we provide evidence that ECB's asset purchase programmes spill over into CESEE countries contributing to easing their financial conditions, both in the short- and in the long-term through different transmission channels. In the short run, a selected number of financial variables in CESEE markets appear to respond to the news related to ECB non-standard policies, moving in the expected direction. On a longer-term horizon, we found that that portfolio and banking capital inflows towards CESEE economies were affected by announcements of ECB's asset purchase programmes and actual asset purchases, pointing to the existence of a portfolio rebalancing and a (banking) liquidity channels in the latter case.******En este estudio se encuentra evidencia de que los programas de compra de activos del BCE repercuten en los países de la región de Europa Central, Oriental y Sudoriental (CESEE), de manera que contribuyen a facilitar su situación financiera tanto a corto como a largo plazo por medio de distintos canales de transmisión. A corto plazo, un número reducido de variables financieras en estos mercados CESEE parecen reaccionar a las noticias relacionadas con las políticas no convencionales del BCE y en la dirección esperada. En el horizonte a largo plazo hallamos que los flujos de portafolio y de capitales bancarios hacia las economías CESEE se vieron afectados por los anuncios de los programas de compra de activos y por las compras efectivas de activos del BCE, lo que señala la existencia de un canal de recomposición del portafolio y de un canal de liquidez (bancario) en el segundo caso.

Suggested Citation

  • Alessio Ciarlone & Andrea Colabella, 2016. "Spillovers of the ECB's non-standard monetary policy into CESEE economies," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República - ESPE, vol. 34(81), pages 175-190, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000107:015219
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Martin Feldkircher & Thomas Gruber & Florian Huber, 2017. "Spreading the word or reducing the term spread? Assessing spillovers from euro area monetary policy," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp248, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    2. Andrea Colabella, 2019. "Do the ECB’s monetary policies benefit emerging market economies? A GVAR analysis on the crisis and post-crisis period," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1207, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. Moder, Isabella, 2017. "Spillovers from the ECB's non-standard monetary policy measures on south-eastern Europe," Working Paper Series 2095, European Central Bank.
    4. Antonio Bianco & Claudio Sardoni, 2018. "Banking theories and macroeconomics," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(2), pages 165-184, April.
    5. repec:gam:jjrfmx:v:12:y:2019:i:2:p:57-:d:220488 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Alessio Ciarlone & Andrea Colabella, 2018. "Asset price volatility in EU-6 economies: how large is the role played by the ECB?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1175, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    7. Anita Angelovska–Bezhoska & Ana Mitreska & Sultanija Bojcheva-Terzijan, 2018. "The Impact of the ECB’s Quantitative Easing Policy on Capital Flows in the CESEE Region," Working Papers 2018-04, National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Unconventional monetary policy; ECB; Central and Eastern Europe; International spillovers; Event study;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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