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Trade Agreements and Latin American trade (creation and diversion) and welfare

Author

Listed:
  • Ayman El Dahrawy Sánchez-Albornoz

    (CEMFI)

  • Jacopo Timini

    (Banco de España)

Abstract

This study analyses the process of economic integration in Latin America. Making use of a structural gravity model, this paper provides an ex-post assessment of the effect of the trade agreements (TAs) signed by Latin American countries on international trade. We account for the last wave of TAs proliferation and estimate treaty level effects. On average, TAs had a positive effect on Latin American trade. This holds true for both intra-Latin American agreements and agreements between Latin American countries and the rest of the world. However, we unveil that these average estimates cover a substantial degree of heterogeneity across TAs. Additionally, we quantify ex-ante general equilibrium effects on the trade volumes and welfare of Latin American countries under different scenarios of deeper integration.

Suggested Citation

  • Ayman El Dahrawy Sánchez-Albornoz & Jacopo Timini, 2020. "Trade Agreements and Latin American trade (creation and diversion) and welfare," Working Papers 2009, Banco de España.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:wpaper:2009
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    Cited by:

    1. Jacopo Timini & Francesca Viani, 2022. "A highway across the Atlantic? Trade and welfare effects of the EU-Mercosur agreement," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 169, pages 291-308.
    2. Jacopo Timini & Francesca Viani, 2020. "The EU-MERCOSUR free trade agreement: main features and economic impact," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 1/2020.
    3. Yoto V. Yotov, 2022. "On the role of domestic trade flows for estimating the gravity model of trade," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 40(3), pages 526-540, July.
    4. Campos, Rodolfo G. & Timini, Jacopo & Vidal, Elena, 2021. "Structural gravity and trade agreements: Does the measurement of domestic trade matter?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    5. Timini, Jacopo, 2023. "Revisiting the ‘Cobden-Chevalier network’ trade and welfare effects," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    6. Jacopo Timini & Nicola Cortinovis & Fernando López Vicente, 2020. "The heterogeneous effects of trade agreements with labor provisions (Updated March 2021)," Working Papers 2017, Banco de España, revised Mar 2021.
    7. Rodolfo G. Campos & Jacopo Timini, 2022. "Unequal trade, unequal gains: the heterogeneous impact of MERCOSUR," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(49), pages 5655-5669, October.
    8. Mao Takongmo, Charles-O. & Touré, Adam, 2023. "Trade openness and connectedness of national productions: Do financial openness, economic specialization, and the size of the country matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    9. Jacopo Timini & Francesca Viani, 2020. "El tratado de libre comercio entre la UE y el MERCOSUR: principales elementos e impacto económico," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 1/2020.
    10. Ficarra, Giovanni Maria & Millemaci, Emanuele, 2024. "CETA, an ex post analysis," MPRA Paper 119696, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Juan René Rojas Rodríguez & Xenia Matschke, 2023. "The CAFTA-DR Free Trade Agreement — Analyzing its effects in a modern gravity framework," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 27-93, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    international trade; trade agreements; Latin America; welfare effects;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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