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A fractional integration analysis of the population in some OECD countries


  • L. A. Gil-Alana


In this article we examine the degree of persistence of the population series in 19 OECD countries during the period 1948-2000 by means of using fractionally integrated techniques. We use a parametric procedure due to Robinson (1994) that permits us to test I(d) statistical models. The results show that the order of integration of the series substantially varies across countries and also depending on how we specify the I(0) disturbances. Overall, Germany and Portugal present the smallest degrees of integration while population in Japan appears as the most non-stationary series.

Suggested Citation

  • L. A. Gil-Alana, 2003. "A fractional integration analysis of the population in some OECD countries," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(10), pages 1147-1159.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:30:y:2003:i:10:p:1147-1159 DOI: 10.1080/0266476032000107169

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Azomahou, Theophile & Mishra, Tapas, 2009. "Stochastic environmental effects, demographic variation, and economic growth," MERIT Working Papers 016, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    2. Azomahou, Théophile & Diebolt, Claude & Mishra, Tapas, 2009. "Spatial persistence of demographic shocks and economic growth," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 98-127, March.
    3. Claude Diebolt & Tapas K. Mishra, 2006. "Cliometrics of the Abiding Nexus Between Demographic Components and Economic Development," Working Papers 06-06, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
    4. Tapas Mishra & Claude Diebolt & Mamata Parhi, 2010. "Stochasticity in Population and Economic Growth with Past Dependence," Working Papers 10-10, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
    5. Tapas Mishra & Claude Diebolt, 2010. "Demographic volatility and economic growth: convention and beyond," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 44(1), pages 25-45, January.
    6. Tapas K. Mishra, 2006. "A Further Look into the Demography-based GDP Forecasting Method," Working Papers of BETA 2006-17, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    7. Tapas K., MISHRA, 2004. "The Role of Components of Demographic Change in Economic Development : Whither the Trend ?," Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales) 2004023, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    8. Tapas Mishra & Alexia Prskawetz & Mamata Parhi & Claude Diebolt, 2010. "Shock persistence in output and the role of stochastic population growth," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(3), pages 2437-2449.
    9. Mishra Tapas & Prskawetz Alexia & Parhi Mamata & Diebolt Claude, 2009. "A Note on Long-Memory in Population and Economic Growth," Working Papers 09-06, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).

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