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Tariff protection elimination and Common Agricultural Policy reform: implications of changes in methods of import demand modelling

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  • Alexandre Gohin
  • Herve Guyomard
  • Chantal Le Mouël

Abstract

The study proposes a way for accommodating the traditional Armington assumption to capture the possibility for a country to import imperfect substitutes as well as perfect substitutes for domestically produced goods. When this possibility is incorporated into a modelling framework, then a Common Agricultural Policy elimination scenario, including the setting to zero of import tariffs, would have starker implications than many studies suggest. To illustrate this point, a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of the French economy is used, highlighting agricultural and food sectors. The study analyses the consequences for the French economy of a complete liberalization scenario in the European sector of cereals.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexandre Gohin & Herve Guyomard & Chantal Le Mouël, 2006. "Tariff protection elimination and Common Agricultural Policy reform: implications of changes in methods of import demand modelling," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(13), pages 1527-1539.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:13:p:1527-1539
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840500414609
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Harrison, Glenn W. & Rutherford, Thomas F. & Wooton, Ian, 1995. "Liberalizing agriculture in the European union," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 223-255, June.
    2. Morris Morkre & David Tarr, 2014. "Reforming Hungarian Agricultural Trade Policy: A Quantitative Evaluation," World Scientific Book Chapters,in: APPLIED TRADE POLICY MODELING IN 16 COUNTRIES Insights and Impacts from World Bank CGE Based Projects, chapter 3, pages 49-74 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Shoven, John B & Whalley, John, 1984. "Applied General-Equilibrium Models of Taxation and International Trade: An Introduction and Survey," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 22(3), pages 1007-1051, September.
    4. Rutherford, Thomas F., 1995. "Extension of GAMS for complementarity problems arising in applied economic analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 19(8), pages 1299-1324, November.
    5. Hertel, Thomas W & Tsigas, Marinos E, 1991. "General Equilibrium Analysis of Supply Control in U.S. Agriculture," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Foundation for the European Review of Agricultural Economics, vol. 18(2), pages 167-191.
    6. Swinbank, Alan, 1999. "CAP Reform and the WTO: Compatibility and Developments," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Foundation for the European Review of Agricultural Economics, vol. 26(3), pages 389-407, August.
    7. Hertel, Thomas W., 2002. "Applied general equilibrium analysis of agricultural and resource policies," Handbook of Agricultural Economics,in: B. L. Gardner & G. C. Rausser (ed.), Handbook of Agricultural Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 26, pages 1373-1419 Elsevier.
    8. Lofgren, Hans & Robinson, Sherman, 1997. "The mixed-complementary approach to specifying agricultural supply in computable general equilibrium models:," TMD discussion papers 20, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    9. Anderson, Kym & Hoekman, Bernard & Strutt, Anna, 2001. "Agriculture and the WTO: Next Steps," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(2), pages 192-214, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Banse, Martin & Grethe, Harald, 2006. "Using the Logistic Functional Form for Modelling International Price Transmission in Net Trade Simulation Models," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25344, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Agneta Forslund & Alexandre Gohin & Chantal Le Mouël & Fabrice Levert, 2014. "Biodiesel vs. ethanol, UE vs. US biofuels: So different in terms of LUC impact?," Working Papers SMART - LERECO 14-04, INRA UMR SMART-LERECO.
    3. Antonella Finizia & Riccardo Magnani & Federico Perali & Paolo Polinori, 2005. "The Meg-Ismea Model for Analysis of Italy’s Agricultural Policies," QA - Rivista dell'Associazione Rossi-Doria, Associazione Rossi Doria, issue 4, November.

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