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Tariff protection elimination and Common Agricultural Policy reform : implications of changes in methods of import demand modelling

Author

Listed:
  • Alexandre Gohin

    (ESR - Unité de recherche d'Économie et Sociologie Rurales - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique)

  • Herve Guyomard

    (ESR - Unité de recherche d'Économie et Sociologie Rurales - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique)

  • Chantal Le Mouël

    (ESR - Unité de recherche d'Économie et Sociologie Rurales - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique)

Abstract

Le document propose une adaptation de la modélisation Armington usuelle, dont l'objet est de représenter la possibilité pour un pays d'importer des biens imparfaitement et/ou parfaitement substituables aux biens produits sur le territoire national. On montre que les conséquences d'un scénario d'abandon de la politique agricole commune (y compris l'élimination de la protection tarifaire) seraient beaucoup plus importantes que ce que suggèrent nombre d'études existantes si cette possibilité était introduite dans les modèles de simulation utilisés. Pour illustrer ce point, on utilise un modèle d'équilibre général calculable (EGC) de l'économie française, centré sur les secteurs agricole et agro-alimentaire. Les conséquences pour l'économie française d'une libéralisation totale des secteurs européens des céréales sont simulées et analysées.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexandre Gohin & Herve Guyomard & Chantal Le Mouël, 2002. "Tariff protection elimination and Common Agricultural Policy reform : implications of changes in methods of import demand modelling," Working Papers hal-01931584, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-01931584
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-01931584
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Agneta Forslund & Alexandre Gohin & Chantal Le Mouël & Fabrice Levert, 2014. "Biodiesel vs. ethanol, UE vs. US biofuels: So different in terms of LUC impact?," Working Papers SMART 14-04, INRAE UMR SMART.
    3. Cranfield, John & Preckel, Paul & Hertel, Thomas, 2006. "Poverty Analysis Using an International Cross-Country Demand System," GTAP Working Papers 2211, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
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    5. Alexandre Gohin, 2008. "Impacts of the European Biofuel Policy on the Farm Sector: A General Equilibrium Assessment," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 30(4), pages 623-641.
    6. Antonella Finizia & Riccardo Magnani & Federico Perali & Paolo Polinori, 2005. "The Meg-Ismea Model for Analysis of Italy’s Agricultural Policies," QA - Rivista dell'Associazione Rossi-Doria, Associazione Rossi Doria, issue 4, November.

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