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Young and out: An application of a prospects-based concept of social exclusion

  • Raaum, Oddbjørn
  • Rogstad, Jon
  • Røed, Knut
  • Westlie, Lars

We develop a forward-looking empirical concept of social exclusion based on the estimated transition probabilities from a random effects multinominal Logit-model. Youths are considered socially excluded if they are currently outside school/work and have a low predicted probability of re-entering in the near future. Implemented on extraordinary rich event-history data of compulsory school graduates, we estimate social exclusion among Norwegian youths and find that social exclusion propensity is (i) non-cyclical; (ii) much more prevalent among young adults in their early twenties than among teenagers; (iii) strongly dependent on family background; and (iv) independent of gender.

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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics).

Volume (Year): 38 (2009)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 173-187

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Handle: RePEc:eee:soceco:v:38:y:2009:i:1:p:173-187
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620175

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