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Economic policy uncertainty: Global energy security with diversification

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  • Dagar, Vishal
  • Dagher, Leila
  • Rao, Amar
  • Doytch, Nadia
  • Kagzi, Muneza

Abstract

Global energy security is a growing worldwide concern in the presence of high economic policy uncertainty (EPU) that can be addressed by advancing sustainable energy diversification (ED) practices. Energy security can be estimated by combining ED and EPU indices; hence, this study uses a dataset covering three continents and 26 countries from 1995 to 2023 to measure energy security employing this approach. The study employs quantile regression and panel data analysis, finding a positive relationship between EPU and ED. The results reveal that when EPU increases, the spectrum of energy sources declines, negatively impacting energy security. Other factors of globalization, Gross Domestic Product, gross capital formation, and the labor force also have an impact on the spectrum of energy sources. To obtain a sustainable level of ED, policymakers should increase investment in gross capital formation because economic growth and openness via pro-global policies have less impact on ED. This study also demonstrates that labor capital shifts have a significant effect on ED. The quantitative results reveal the importance of clear and precise economic policies for increasing investment in carbon-free energy security.

Suggested Citation

  • Dagar, Vishal & Dagher, Leila & Rao, Amar & Doytch, Nadia & Kagzi, Muneza, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty: Global energy security with diversification," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 248-263.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:82:y:2024:i:c:p:248-263
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2024.03.008
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic policy uncertainty; Energy security; Energy diversification; Carbon neutrality; Risk mitigation; Sustainability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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