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Weather shocks, recall error and health

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  • Herr, Annika
  • Karimi, Soschia
  • Wichert, Julian

Abstract

A growing body of literature indicates that heat stress and precipitation deficiencies can pose a critical threat to human health, particularly in less developed countries with low coping capacities and high exposure. The aims of this study are twofold. First, we shed light on the recall of drought events in rural Thailand by linking longitudinal survey data with objective meteorological data. Here, an anomaly in the survey design serves as a natural experiment. We find that a shorter time interval between surveys has a large positive effect on households correctly reporting a drought event. Second, we examine the health effects of droughts comparing two drought measures. In our panel over seven waves, we find a strong effect on diseases, which is slightly stronger for the objective measure than when using the reported drought measure.

Suggested Citation

  • Herr, Annika & Karimi, Soschia & Wichert, Julian, 2026. "Weather shocks, recall error and health," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:deveco:v:179:y:2026:i:c:s0304387825001956
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103644
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • I15 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health and Economic Development
    • C83 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Survey Methods; Sampling Methods

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