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Equity Premia as Low as Three Percent? Evidence from Analysts' Earnings Forecasts for Domestic and International Stock Markets

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Cited by:

  1. Sandeep Kapur & Allan Timmermann, 2005. "Relative Performance Evaluation Contracts and Asset Market Equilibrium," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 115(506), pages 1077-1102, October.
  2. Gordon Richardson & Surjit Tinaikar, 2004. "Accounting based valuation models: what have we learned?," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 44(2), pages 223-255, July.
  3. Jäckel, Christoph, 2013. "Model uncertainty and expected return proxies," MPRA Paper 51978, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Mousa, Gehan A. & Elamir, Elsayed A.H. & Hussainey, Khaled, 2022. "The effect of annual report narratives on the cost of capital in the Middle East and North Africa: A machine learning approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  5. Fernandez, Pablo & Aguirreamalloa, Javier & Liechtenstein, Heinrich, 2009. "The equity premium puzzle: High required equity premium, undervaluation and self fulfilling prophecy," IESE Research Papers D/821, IESE Business School.
  6. Kaustia, Markku & Lehtoranta, Antti & Puttonen, Vesa, 2013. "Does sophistication affect long-term return expectations? Evidence from financial advisers' exam scores," SAFE Working Paper Series 3, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
  7. Najah Attig & Sean Cleary & Sadok El Ghoul & Omrane Guedhami, 2013. "Institutional Investment Horizons and the Cost of Equity Capital," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 42(2), pages 441-477, June.
  8. Mike Qinghao Mao & K. C. John Wei, 2016. "Cash-Flow News and the Investment Effect in the Cross Section of Stock Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(9), pages 2504-2519, September.
  9. Söderlind, Paul, 2009. "The C-CAPM without ex post data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 721-729, December.
  10. Yiannis Karavias & Stella Spilioti & Elias Tzavalis, 2021. "Investor sentiment effects on share price deviations from their intrinsic values based on accounting fundamentals," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1593-1621, May.
  11. Pengguo Wang & Wei Huang, 2015. "The implied growth rates and country risk premium: evidence from Chinese stock markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 45(3), pages 641-663, October.
  12. Terry Shevlin, 2013. "Some personal observations on the debate on the link between financial reporting quality and the cost of equity capital," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 38(3), pages 447-473, December.
  13. Christian Bach & Peter O. Christensen, 2016. "Consumption-based equity valuation," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 1149-1202, December.
  14. Kempkes Jan A. & Wömpener Andreas, 2019. "Resolving the Reliance on Fixed Estimation Dates in the Implied Cost of Equity Capital Approach," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 14(1), pages 1-23, February.
  15. German Gutierrez, 2018. "Investigating Global Labor and Pro t Shares," 2018 Meeting Papers 165, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  16. Wu, Jin (Ginger) & Zhang, Lu, 2010. "Does Risk Explain Anomalies? Evidence from Expected Return Estimates," Working Paper Series 2010-18, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
  17. Deng, Xin & Li, Qian Cher & Mateut, Simona, 2022. "Participation in setting technology standards and the implied cost of equity," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(5).
  18. Magni, Carlo Alberto, 2009. "Splitting up value: A critical review of residual income theories," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 198(1), pages 1-22, October.
  19. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2020_016 is not listed on IDEAS
  20. Brushwood, James & Dhaliwal, Dan & Fairhurst, Douglas & Serfling, Matthew, 2016. "Property crime, earnings variability, and the cost of capital," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 142-173.
  21. Mohanram, Partha & Rajgopal, Shiva, 2009. "Is PIN priced risk?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 226-243, June.
  22. Shan Xu & Duchi Liu & Jianbai Huang, 2015. "Corporate social responsibility, the cost of equity capital and ownership structure: An analysis of Chinese listed firms," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 40(2), pages 245-276, May.
  23. Jeffrey L. Callen, 2016. "Accounting Valuation and Cost of Equity Capital Dynamics," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 52(1), pages 5-25, March.
  24. Chen, Long & Petkova, Ralitsa & Zhang, Lu, 2008. "The expected value premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 269-280, February.
  25. Syed Zulfiqar Ali Shah & Safdar Ali Butt, 2009. "The Impact of Corporate Governance on the Cost of Equity: Empirical Evidence from Pakistani Listed Companies," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 14(1), pages 139-171, Jan-Jun.
  26. Ali Meftah Gerged & Lane Matthews & Mohamed Elheddad, 2021. "Mandatory disclosure, greenhouse gas emissions and the cost of equity capital: UK evidence of a U‐shaped relationship," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(2), pages 908-930, February.
  27. Andrew Vivian, 2007. "The UK Equity Premium: 1901-2004," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(9-10), pages 1496-1527.
  28. John Goodell & Richard Bodey, 2012. "Price-earnings changes during US presidential election cycles: voter uncertainty and other determinants," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 150(3), pages 633-650, March.
  29. Ferreira, Miguel A. & Santa-Clara, Pedro, 2011. "Forecasting stock market returns: The sum of the parts is more than the whole," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(3), pages 514-537, June.
  30. Kryzanowski, Lawrence & Mohsni, Sana, 2015. "Earnings forecasts and idiosyncratic volatilities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 107-123.
  31. Kryzanowski, Lawrence & Rahman, Abdul H., 2009. "Degrees-of-freedom problem and implied cost of equity capital," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 171-178, September.
  32. Laine, Olli-Matti, 2022. "Evidence about the transmission of monetary policy," Bank of Finland Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, volume 0, number e53.
  33. Mishra, Dev R., 2014. "The dark side of CEO ability: CEO general managerial skills and cost of equity capital," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 390-409.
  34. Fernández, Pablo & Aguirreamalloa, Javier & Corres, Luis, 2013. "Market Risk Premium Used in 82 Countries in 2012: A Survey with 7,192 Answers," IESE Research Papers D/1059, IESE Business School.
  35. Moshirian, Fariborz & Qian, Xiaolin & Wee, Claudia Koon Ghee & Zhang, Bohui, 2017. "The determinants and pricing of liquidity commonality around the world," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 22-41.
  36. Alan Meng Li & Dharmendra Naidu & Farshid Navissi & Kumari Ranjeeni, 2018. "Net stock issuance anomaly and cash flow explanation: A research note," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 43(2), pages 286-304, May.
  37. Elmawazini, Khaled & Chkir, Imed & Mrad, Fatma & Rjiba, Hatem, 2022. "Does green technology innovation matter to the cost of equity capital?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  38. Hwang, Lee-Seok & Lee, Woo-Jong & Lim, Seung-Yeon & Park, Kyung-Ho, 2013. "Does information risk affect the implied cost of equity capital? An analysis of PIN and adjusted PIN," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(2), pages 148-167.
  39. Cao Thi Mien Thuy & Nguyen Vinh Khuong & Nguyen Thi Canh & Nguyen Thanh Liem, 2022. "The mediating effect of stock price crash risk on the relationship between corporate social responsibility and cost of equity moderated by state ownership: Moderated‐mediation analysis," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(5), pages 1384-1395, September.
  40. Hossain, Ashrafee & Masum, Abdullah-Al & Saadi, Samir & Benkraiem, Ramzi, 2023. "Generalist CEO and carbon emissions," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 68-86.
  41. Cahan, Steven F. & Chen, Chen & Chen, Li & Nguyen, Nhut H., 2015. "Corporate social responsibility and media coverage," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 409-422.
  42. Viswanathan Nagarajan & Prateek Sharma, 2021. "Firm internationalization and long‐term impact of the Covid‐19 pandemic," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(6), pages 1477-1491, September.
  43. Chun, Hong-min, 2019. "CEO pay disparity, chaebol affiliations, and implied cost of equity capital," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
  44. van Ewijk, Casper & de Groot, Henri L.F. & Santing, A.J. (Coos), 2012. "A meta-analysis of the equity premium," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 819-830.
  45. Dittmann, I. & Maug, E.G., 2006. "Valuation Biases, Error Measures, and the Conglomerate Discount," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2006-011-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
  46. Fernandez, Pablo, 2009. "Prima de Riesgo del Mercado: Histórica, Esperada, Exigida e Implícita [Equity Risk Premium: Historic, Expected, Required and Implied]," MPRA Paper 14221, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  47. Chen, Jie & Liu, Xicheng & Song, Wei & Zhou, Si, 2020. "General managerial skills and corporate social responsibility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 43-59.
  48. Eugene F. Fama & Kenneth R. French, 2002. "The Equity Premium," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(2), pages 637-659, April.
  49. Vitor Azevedo & Patrick Bielstein & Manuel Gerhart, 2021. "Earnings forecasts: the case for combining analysts’ estimates with a cross-sectional model," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 545-579, February.
  50. Agnieszka Markiewicz & Rafal Raciborski, 2022. "Income Inequality and Stock Market Returns," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 43, pages 286-307, January.
  51. Raj Aggarwal & Dev Mishra & Craig Wilson, 2018. "Analyst recommendations and the implied cost of equity," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 717-743, April.
  52. Ľuboš Pástor & Meenakshi Sinha & Bhaskaran Swaminathan, 2008. "Estimating the Intertemporal Risk–Return Tradeoff Using the Implied Cost of Capital," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 63(6), pages 2859-2897, December.
  53. George M. Constantinides, 2002. "Rational Asset Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(4), pages 1567-1591, August.
  54. Smith, Simon C., 2017. "Equity premium estimates from economic fundamentals under structural breaks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 49-61.
  55. Sidney John Gray & Tony Kang & Yong Keun Yoo, 2013. "National Culture and International Differences in the Cost of Equity Capital," Management International Review, Springer, vol. 53(6), pages 899-916, December.
  56. Palea Vera, 2013. "The Effect of the European Regulation 1606/2002 on Market Efficiency: Early Empirical Evidence and Some Suggestions for Future Research and Policy-Making Discussion," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 201310, University of Turin.
  57. Huang, Yuan & Li, Xiao & Wei, K.C. John, 2021. "Investor protection and resource allocation: International evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 625-645.
  58. Andrew S. Hilton & Patricia C. O'Brien, 2009. "Inco Ltd.: Market Value, Fair Value, and Management Discretion," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(1), pages 179-211, March.
  59. Fabrizio Mattesini & Leonardo Becchetti, 2008. "The stock market and the Fed," CEIS Research Paper 113, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 14 Jul 2008.
  60. Chen, Kevin C.W. & Chen, Zhihong & Wei, K.C. John, 2009. "Legal protection of investors, corporate governance, and the cost of equity capital," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 273-289, June.
  61. Laura Xiaolei Liu & Ann E. Sherman & Yong Zhang, 2014. "The Long-Run Role of the Media: Evidence from Initial Public Offerings," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(8), pages 1945-1964, August.
  62. Yuan Huang & Steven Wei, 2012. "Advertising intensity, investor recognition, and implied cost of capital," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 275-298, April.
  63. John L. Campbell & Hye Seung “Grace” Lee & Hsin‐Min Lu & Logan B. Steele, 2020. "Express Yourself: Why Managers' Disclosure Tone Varies Across Time and What Investors Learn From It," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(2), pages 1140-1171, June.
  64. Burkhard Pedell, 2007. "Kapitalmarktbasierte Ermittlung des Kapitalkostensatzes für Zwecke der Entgeltregulierung," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 35-60, April.
  65. Qin, Jiaqi & Yang, Xue & He, Qing & Sun, Lingxia, 2021. "Litigation risk and cost of capital: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  66. Schröder, David, 2005. "The Implied Equity Risk Premium: An Evaluation of Empirical Methods," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers 13/2005, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE).
  67. Nicola Cetorelli & James Traina, 2021. "Resolving “Too Big to Fail”," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 60(1), pages 1-23, August.
  68. Hamdi Ben‐Nasr & Narjess Boubakri & Jean‐Claude Cosset, 2012. "The Political Determinants of the Cost of Equity: Evidence from Newly Privatized Firms," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(3), pages 605-646, June.
  69. Phillip T. Lamoreaux & Landon M. Mauler & Nathan J. Newton, 2020. "Audit Regulation and Cost of Equity Capital: Evidence from the PCAOB's International Inspection Regime," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(4), pages 2438-2471, December.
  70. Foerster, Stephen R. & Sapp, Stephen G., 2011. "Back to fundamentals: The role of expected cash flows in equity valuation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 320-343.
  71. Ruffing-Straube, Patricia, 2015. "Implizite Eigenkapitalkosten und der Fehler in den Analystenprognosen in der Schweiz," Die Unternehmung - Swiss Journal of Business Research and Practice, Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft mbH & Co. KG, vol. 69(4), pages 418-439.
  72. Yamina Chouaibi & Matteo Rossi & Ghazi Zouari, 2021. "The Effect of Corporate Social Responsibility and the Executive Compensation on Implicit Cost of Equity: Evidence from French ESG Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-17, October.
  73. Oksana Kim & Matt Pinnuck, 2014. "Competition among exchanges through simplified disclosure requirements: evidence from the American and Global Depositary Receipts," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(1), pages 1-40, February.
  74. Hoshik Shim, 2020. "Disclosure Frequency, Information Environment, and Cost of Capital under Regulation Fair Disclosure in the Korean Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-28, July.
  75. Yashu Dong & Danqing Young & Yinglei Zhang, 2021. "Familiarity bias and earnings-based equity valuation," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 795-818, August.
  76. Anne Michaels & Michael Grüning, 2017. "Relationship of corporate social responsibility disclosure on information asymmetry and the cost of capital," Journal of Management Control: Zeitschrift für Planung und Unternehmenssteuerung, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 251-274, October.
  77. Hamdi Ben-Nasr & Abdullah Mohammed Al-Dakheel, 2015. "The Impact of Earnings Quality on the Cost of Equity: Evidence from Privatized Firms," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(1), pages 68-78, January.
  78. Hoang, Khoa & Cannavan, Damien & Huang, Ronghong & Peng, Xiaowen, 2021. "Predicting stock returns with implied cost of capital: A partial least squares approach," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
  79. Tan, Huan & Wang, Zhi, 2023. "The impact of confucian culture on the cost of equity capital: The moderating role of marketization process," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 112-126.
  80. Luzi Hail, 2002. "The impact of voluntary corporate disclosures on the ex-ante cost of capital for Swiss firms," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 741-773.
  81. Christoph Kaserer, 2022. "Estimating the market risk premium for valuations: arithmetic or geometric mean or something in between?," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 92(8), pages 1373-1415, October.
  82. de Moura, André Aroldo Freitas & Altuwaijri, Aljaohra & Gupta, Jairaj, 2020. "Did mandatory IFRS adoption affect the cost of capital in Latin American countries?," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
  83. Leonardo Becchetti & Roberto Rocci & Giovanni Trovato, 2007. "Industry and time specific deviations from fundamental values in a random coefficient model," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 257-276, March.
  84. Hua-Wei Huang & Mai Dao & James M. Fornaro, 2016. "Corporate governance, SFAS 157 and cost of equity capital: evidence from US financial institutions," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 141-177, January.
  85. Drobetz, Wolfgang & El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Janzen, Malte, 2018. "Policy uncertainty, investment, and the cost of capital," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 28-45.
  86. Stephen Gray & Jason Hall, 2006. "Relationship between franking credits and the market risk premium," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 46(3), pages 405-428, September.
  87. Tran, Duc Hung, 2014. "Multiple corporate governance attributes and the cost of capital – Evidence from Germany," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 179-197.
  88. Fernandez, Pablo, 2009. "Market risk premium used in 2008: A survey of more than a 1,000 professors," IESE Research Papers D/784, IESE Business School.
  89. Dmitry Bazhutov & André Betzer & Francois Brochet & Markus Doumet & Peter Limbach, 2023. "The Supply and Effectiveness of Investor Relations in Insider- vs. Outsider-Oriented Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(1), pages 660-683, January.
  90. Holger Daske & Luzi Hail & Christian Leuz & Rodrigo Verdi, 2008. "Mandatory IFRS Reporting around the World: Early Evidence on the Economic Consequences," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 1085-1142, December.
  91. Norio Kitagawa & Hyonok Kim & Masatoshi Goto, 2011. "The effect of non-financial risk information on the evaluation of implied cost of capitals," Discussion Papers 2011-07, Kobe University, Graduate School of Business Administration, revised Feb 2011.
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  93. Hanlon, Michelle & Heitzman, Shane, 2010. "A review of tax research," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2-3), pages 127-178, December.
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  96. Belen Blanco & Juan M. Garcia Lara & Josep A. Tribo, 2015. "Segment Disclosure and Cost of Capital," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3-4), pages 367-411, April.
  97. Michalis Makrominas, 2015. "The impact of analyst-investor disagreement on the cross-section of implied cost of capital," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 40(2), pages 224-244, May.
  98. Kartick Gupta, 2018. "Environmental Sustainability and Implied Cost of Equity: International Evidence," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 147(2), pages 343-365, January.
  99. Acosta-Smith, Jonathan & Barunik, Jozef & Gerba, Eddie & Katsoulis, Petros, 2024. "Moderation or indulgence? Effects of bank distribution restrictions during stress," Bank of England working papers 1053, Bank of England.
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  125. Abdullah Mamun & Dev Mishra, 2012. "Industry Merger Intensity and Cost of Capital," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 12(4), pages 469-490, December.
  126. Magni, Carlo Alberto, 2010. "Residual income and value creation: An investigation into the lost-capital paradigm," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 505-519, March.
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  128. Elshandidy, Tamer & Acheampong, Albert, 2021. "Does hedge disclosure influence cost of capital for European banks?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  129. Abdelmajid Hmaittane & Kais Bouslah & Bouchra M’Zali & Imane Ibariouen, 2022. "Corporate Sustainability and Cost of Equity Capital: Do Managerial Abilities Matter?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-17, September.
  130. Olli-Matti Laine, 2023. "Monetary Policy and Stock Market Valuation," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(1), pages 365-416, March.
  131. Adrian, Christofer & Garg, Mukesh & Viet Pham, Anh & Phang, Soon-Yeow & Truong, Cameron, 2022. "Policy and oversight of corporate political activities and the cost of equity capital," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2).
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