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The stock market and the Fed

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Author Info
Fabrizio Mattesini () (Faculty of Economics, University of Rome "Tor Vergata")
Leonardo Becchetti () (Faculty of Economics, University of Rome "Tor Vergata")

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Abstract

The paper investigates the reaction of the Federal Reserve to developments in the stock market. The issue is analyzed by first constructing an Index of Stock Price Misalignement in which the fundamental value of the stocks is computed on the basis of the discounted cash flow approach and by then including this index, among the regressors, into a forward looking Taylor rule. In accordance with the descriptive evidence, based mainly on the analysis of the FOMC meetings and public statements, our findings show that the Fed tends to lower the Fed funds rate when stock prices fall below their fundamental value, while there is no evidence of monetary stringency during episodes of exuberance in the stock market.

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File URL: ftp://www.ceistorvergata.it/repec/rpaper/RP113.pdf
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Paper provided by Tor Vergata University, CEIS in its series CEIS Research Paper with number 113.

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Length: 31 pages
Date of creation: 14 Jul 2008
Date of revision: 14 Jul 2008
Handle: RePEc:rtv:ceisrp:113

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Postal: CEIS - Centre for Economic and International Studies - Faculty of Economics - University of Rome "Tor Vergata" - Via Columbia, 2 00133 Roma
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  5. Leonardo Becchetti & Fabrizio Adriani, 2004. "Do high-tech stock prices revert to their 'fundamental' value?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(7), pages 461-476, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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