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Optimal life cycle portfolio choice with housing market cycles

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  • Marekwica, Marcel
  • Stamos, Michael Z.
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    Abstract

    During the last decades households in the U.S. have experienced that residential house prices move in a persistent manner, i.e. that returns are positively serially correlated. Since an owner-occupied home is usually the largest investment of a household it is important to understand how households act when they base their consumption and investment decisions on this experience. We show in a setting with housing market cycles and households who can decide whether they rent or own the home, that - besides the consumption and the precautionary savings motive - serial correlation in house prices generates a new speculative motive for homeownership. In particular, we show how good and bad housing market cycles affect homeownership rates, leverage, stock investments and consumption and can explain empirically observed household behavior during housing market boom and bust periods. --

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Center for Financial Studies (CFS) in its series CFS Working Paper Series with number 2010/21.

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    Date of creation: 2010
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    Handle: RePEc:zbw:cfswop:201021

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    Related research

    Keywords: Asset Allocation; Portfolio Choice; Housing Market Cycles; Real Estate;

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