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On the harm that ignoring pretesting can cause

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Cited by:

  1. Matei Demetrescu & Uwe Hassler & Vladimir Kuzin, 2011. "Pitfalls of post-model-selection testing: experimental quantification," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 359-372, April.
  2. Einmahl, J.H.J. & Magnus, J.R. & Kumar, K., 2011. "On the Choice of Prior in Bayesian Model Averaging," Discussion Paper 2011-003, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  3. Clarke, Judith A., 2008. "On weighted estimation in linear regression in the presence of parameter uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 1-3, July.
  4. Wan, Alan T.K. & Zhang, Xinyu & Wang, Shouyang, 2014. "Frequentist model averaging for multinomial and ordered logit models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 118-128.
  5. Jan R. Magnus & Wendun Wang & Xinyu Zhang, 2016. "Weighted-Average Least Squares Prediction," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(6), pages 1040-1074, June.
  6. Leeb, Hannes & Pötscher, Benedikt M., 2008. "Can One Estimate The Unconditional Distribution Of Post-Model-Selection Estimators?," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(2), pages 338-376, April.
  7. Karen Poghosyan & Jan R. Magnus, 2012. "WALS Estimation and Forecasting in Factor-based Dynamic Models with an Application to Armenia," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 4(1), pages 40-58, April.
  8. Magnus, Jan & Peresetsky, Anatoly, 2010. "The price of Moscow apartments," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 17(1), pages 89-105.
  9. Phillips, Peter C.B., 2005. "Automated Discovery In Econometrics," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 3-20, February.
  10. Chen, Le-Yu & Lee, Sokbae, 2018. "Best subset binary prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 206(1), pages 39-56.
  11. Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Momferatou, Daphne & Onorante, Luca, 2014. "Short-term inflation projections: A Bayesian vector autoregressive approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 635-644.
  12. Jan R. Magnus & Wendun Wang, 2014. "Concept-Based Bayesian Model Averaging and Growth Empirics," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(6), pages 874-897, December.
  13. Srdelić, Leonarda & Dávila-Fernández, Marwil J., 2024. "International trade and economic growth in Croatia," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 240-258.
  14. Claeskens, Gerda & Magnus, Jan R. & Vasnev, Andrey L. & Wang, Wendun, 2016. "The forecast combination puzzle: A simple theoretical explanation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 754-762.
  15. Nibbering, D. & Paap, R., 2019. "Panel Forecasting with Asymmetric Grouping," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI-2019-30, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
  16. De Luca, Giuseppe & Magnus, Jan R. & Peracchi, Franco, 2018. "Weighted-average least squares estimation of generalized linear models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 1-17.
  17. Mur, Jesús & Angulo, Ana, 2009. "Model selection strategies in a spatial setting: Some additional results," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 200-213, March.
  18. Dardanoni, Valentino & Modica, Salvatore & Peracchi, Franco, 2011. "Regression with imputed covariates: A generalized missing-indicator approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 362-368, June.
  19. Berger, Michael & Pock, Markus & Reiss, Miriam & Röhrling, Gerald & Czypionka, Thomas, 2023. "Exploring the effectiveness of demand-side retail pharmaceutical expenditure reforms: cross-country evidence from weighted-average least squares estimation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 116928, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  20. Vera-Gilces, Paul & Camino-Mogro, Segundo & Ordeñana-Rodríguez, Xavier & Cornejo-Marcos, Gino, 2020. "A look inside banking profitability: Evidence from a dollarized emerging country," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 147-166.
  21. Mullally, Conner & Chakravarty, Shourish, 2018. "Are matching funds for smallholder irrigation money well spent?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 70-80.
  22. Aedın Doris & Donal O’Neill & Olive Sweetman, 2011. "GMM estimation of the covariance structure of longitudinal data on earnings," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 11(3), pages 439-459, September.
  23. Giuseppe De Luca & Jan R. Magnus, 2011. "Bayesian model averaging and weighted-average least squares: Equivariance, stability, and numerical issues," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 11(4), pages 518-544, December.
  24. Magnus, J.R. & Powell, O.R. & Prüfer, P., 2008. "A Comparison of Two Averaging Techniques with an Application to Growth Empirics," Discussion Paper 2008-39, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  25. Poghosyan, K., 2012. "Structural and reduced-form modeling and forecasting with application to Armenia," Other publications TiSEM ad1a24c3-15e6-4f04-b338-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  26. End, Nicolas, 2023. "Big Brother is also being watched: Measuring fiscal credibility," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  27. Angulo, Ana M. & Mur, Jesús, 2011. "The Likelihood Ratio Test of Common Factors under Non-Ideal Conditions," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 21, pages 37-52.
  28. Xinyu Zhang & Alan T. K. Wan & Sherry Z. Zhou, 2011. "Focused Information Criteria, Model Selection, and Model Averaging in a Tobit Model With a Nonzero Threshold," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 132-142, June.
  29. Zhang, Xinyu & Wan, Alan T.K. & Zou, Guohua, 2013. "Model averaging by jackknife criterion in models with dependent data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 174(2), pages 82-94.
  30. Nicolas End, 2020. "Rousseau's social contract or Machiavelli's virtue? A measure of fiscal credibility," AMSE Working Papers 2042, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
  31. William E. Griffiths & Duangkamon Chotikapanich & D. S. Prasada Rao, 2005. "Averaging Income Distributions," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(4), pages 347-367, October.
  32. Ghosh, D. & Yuan, Z., 2009. "An improved model averaging scheme for logistic regression," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(8), pages 1670-1681, September.
  33. Aiyar, Shekhar & Duval, Romain & Puy, Damien & Wu, Yiqun & Zhang, Longmei, 2018. "Growth slowdowns and the middle-income trap," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 22-37.
  34. Michael Berger & Markus Pock & Miriam Reiss & Gerald Röhrling & Thomas Czypionka, 2023. "Exploring the effectiveness of demand-side retail pharmaceutical expenditure reforms," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 149-172, March.
  35. Magnus, Jan R. & Wan, Alan T.K. & Zhang, Xinyu, 2011. "Weighted average least squares estimation with nonspherical disturbances and an application to the Hong Kong housing market," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 1331-1341, March.
  36. repec:hal:journl:peer-00815561 is not listed on IDEAS
  37. Becker William & Paruolo Paolo & Saltelli Andrea, 2021. "Variable Selection in Regression Models Using Global Sensitivity Analysis," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(2), pages 187-233, July.
  38. Zhang, Xinyu & Yu, Jihai, 2018. "Spatial weights matrix selection and model averaging for spatial autoregressive models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(1), pages 1-18.
  39. Sivarajah Arumairajan & Pushpakanthie Wijekoon, 2017. "The generalized preliminary test estimator when different sets of stochastic restrictions are available," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 729-747, September.
  40. Rigdon, Edward E., 2023. "How improper dichotomization and the misrepresentation of uncertainty undermine social science research," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
  41. Jan R. Magnus & Dmitry Danilov, 2004. "Forecast accuracy after pretesting with an application to the stock market," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 251-274.
  42. Zou, Guohua & Wan, Alan T.K. & Wu, Xiaoyong & Chen, Ti, 2007. "Estimation of regression coefficients of interest when other regression coefficients are of no interest: The case of non-normal errors," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(8), pages 803-810, April.
  43. Reif, Jiri, 2007. "Asymptotic behaviour of regression pre-test estimators with minimal Bayes risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 413-424, October.
  44. Blommestein, Hans & Eijffinger, Sylvester & Qian, Zongxin, 2016. "Regime-dependent determinants of Euro area sovereign CDS spreads," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 10-21.
  45. Srdelic, Leonarda & Davila-Fernandez, Marwil J., 2022. "Demographic transition and economic growth in 6-EU member states," MPRA Paper 112188, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  46. David Slichter, 2023. "The employment effects of the minimum wage: A selection ratio approach to measuring treatment effects," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 334-357, April.
  47. Magnus, Jan R. & Powell, Owen & Prüfer, Patricia, 2010. "A comparison of two model averaging techniques with an application to growth empirics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(2), pages 139-153, February.
  48. Hirschauer Norbert & Grüner Sven & Mußhoff Oliver & Becker Claudia, 2019. "Twenty Steps Towards an Adequate Inferential Interpretation of p-Values in Econometrics," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(4), pages 703-721, August.
  49. Andrea C. Garcia‐Angulo & Gerda Claeskens, 2023. "Exact uniformly most powerful postselection confidence distributions," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 50(1), pages 358-382, March.
  50. Ali Charkhi & Gerda Claeskens, 2018. "Asymptotic post-selection inference for the Akaike information criterion," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 105(3), pages 645-664.
  51. Hai Wang & Xinjie Chen & Nancy Flournoy, 2016. "The focused information criterion for varying-coefficient partially linear measurement error models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 99-113, March.
  52. Qingfeng Liu & Andrey L. Vasnev, 2019. "A Combination Method for Averaging OLS and GLS Estimators," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-12, September.
  53. Ali Mehrabani & Aman Ullah, 2022. "Weighted Average Estimation in Panel Data," Working Papers 202209, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2022.
  54. Tumala, Mohammed M & Olubusoye, Olusanya E & Yaaba, Baba N & Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Akanbi, Olawale B, 2017. "Investigating Predictors of Inflation in Nigeria: BMA and WALS Techniques," MPRA Paper 88773, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Feb 2018.
  55. Valentino Dardanoni & Giuseppe De Luca & Salvatore Modica & Franco Peracchi, 2013. "Bayesian Model Averaging for Generalized Linear Models with Missing Covariates," EIEF Working Papers Series 1311, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised May 2013.
  56. Čížek, Pavel, 2004. "(Non) Linear Regression Modeling," Papers 2004,11, Humboldt University of Berlin, Center for Applied Statistics and Economics (CASE).
  57. Dardanoni, Valentino & De Luca, Giuseppe & Modica, Salvatore & Peracchi, Franco, 2015. "Model averaging estimation of generalized linear models with imputed covariates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 452-463.
  58. Judith Anne Clarke, 2017. "Model Averaging OLS and 2SLS: An Application of the WALS Procedure," Econometrics Working Papers 1701, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
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