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Conflict and Girl Child Marriage : Global Evidence

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  • Krafft,Caroline Gould
  • Arango,Diana Jimena
  • Rubin,Amalia Hadas
  • Jocelyn,Kelly

Abstract

Child marriage has lasting negative health, human capital, and welfare consequences. Conflictsettings are characterized by a number of complex changes that can potentially increase the risk of child marriage,but there has been limited population-based research directly estimating the relationship between conflict andchild marriage. Using Demographic and Health Survey data from 19 conflict-affected countries, this paper estimatesthe relationship between conflict and child marriage. It identifies the relationship based on variation over spaceand time in conflict intensity. The findings are mixed; in some countries conflict is associated with an increase inchild marriage, in others it is associated with a decrease in child marriage, and in some cases there is not astatistically significant relationship. This overall pattern is robust to a variety of approaches to measuring conflict.These findings underscore how efforts to reduce child marriage need to consider conflict as a potential riskfactor, but also one that is likely to interact with local economic, social, and demographic environments.

Suggested Citation

  • Krafft,Caroline Gould & Arango,Diana Jimena & Rubin,Amalia Hadas & Jocelyn,Kelly, 2022. "Conflict and Girl Child Marriage : Global Evidence," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10135, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:10135
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • J12 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination

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