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International Evidence on Long-Run Money Demand

Author

Listed:
  • Luca Benati
  • Robert E. Lucas Jr.
  • Juan Pablo Nicolini
  • Warren Weber

Abstract

We explore the long-run demand for M1 based on a dataset comprising 38 countries and relatively long sample periods, extending in some cases to over a century. The evidence supports the existence of a stable long-run relationship between the ratio of M1 to GDP and a short-term interest rate for a large majority of the countries. The log-log specification provides a good characterization of the data, with the exception of periods featuring very low interest rates. An extension of the theory that imposes limits on the amount households can borrow results in a truncated log-log specification, which is in line with what we observe in the data. We estimate the interest rate elasticity to be between 0.3 and 0.6

Suggested Citation

  • Luca Benati & Robert E. Lucas Jr. & Juan Pablo Nicolini & Warren Weber, 2020. "International Evidence on Long-Run Money Demand," Diskussionsschriften dp2021, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
  • Handle: RePEc:ube:dpvwib:dp2021
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Long-run money demand; Cointegration;

    JEL classification:

    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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