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The Job Ladder and its Implications for Earnings Risk

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  • Joachim Hubmer

    (Yale University)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the ability of a job ladder framework to explain recent evidence on earnings risk. Heterogeneous and risk averse workers search for job opportunities at heterogeneous firms. The resulting dynamics can successfully replicate several non-targeted key properties of the distribution of earnings changes that have been documented by Guvenen, Karahan, Ozkan and Song [2015]. These are most notably a large negative skewness and a high excess kurtosis, rejecting the frequently used log-normal framework. Moreover, the proposed model is to a certain extent successful in explaining variation in these moments as a function of age and the level of earnings.

Suggested Citation

  • Joachim Hubmer, 2016. "The Job Ladder and its Implications for Earnings Risk," 2016 Meeting Papers 162, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:sed016:162
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    File URL: https://economicdynamics.org/meetpapers/2016/paper_162.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fatih Guvenen & Fatih Karahan & Serdar Ozkan & Jae Song, 2015. "What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Reveal about Life-Cycle Earnings Risk?," NBER Working Papers 20913, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Fujita, Shigeru & Moscarini, Giuseppe & Postel-Vinay, Fabien, 2020. "Measuring Employer-to-Employer Reallocation," IZA Discussion Papers 13472, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Fatih Karahan & Serdar Ozkan & Jae Song, 2019. "Anatomy of Lifetime Earnings Inequality: Heterogeneity in Job Ladder Risk vs. Human Capital," Staff Reports 908, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    3. McKay, Alisdair, 2017. "Time-varying idiosyncratic risk and aggregate consumption dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-14.
    4. Hoffmann, Eran B. & Malacrino, Davide, 2019. "Employment time and the cyclicality of earnings growth," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 160-171.
    5. Hoffmann, Eran B. & Malacrino, Davide, 2019. "Employment time and the cyclicality of earnings growth," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 160-171.
    6. Niklas Engbom, 2018. "Firm and Worker Dynamics in an Aging Labor Market," 2018 Meeting Papers 1009, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Boyan Jovanovic & Julien Prat, 2018. "Reputation Cycles and Earnings Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 25252, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Moritz Kuhn & Gašper Ploj, 2020. "Job Stability, Earnings Dynamics, and Life-Cycle Savings," CESifo Working Paper Series 8710, CESifo.
    9. Kuhn, Moritz & Ploj, Gasper, 2020. "Job Stability, Earnings Dynamics, and Life-Cycle Savings," IZA Discussion Papers 13887, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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