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Return and Volatility Spillovers in the Moroccan Stock Market During The Financial Crisis

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  • El Ghini, Ahmed
  • Saidi, Youssef

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate the return and volatility linkages among Moroccan stock market with that of U.S. and three European countries (France, Germany and U.K.) before and during the financial crisis. More specifically, we use stock returns in MASI, CAC, DAX, FTSE and NASDAQ as representatives of Moroccan, French, German, British and U.S. markets respectively. The data sample frequency is daily and spans from January 2002 to December 2012 excluding holidays. Using the estimation results of bivariate VAR-BEKK GARCH model, we analyze the return and volatility spillover effects between the Moroccan market and the other considered markets. Moreover, the identification of break point due to the subprime crisis is made by Lee-Strazicich (2003,2004) and Bai-Perron (1998, 2003) structural break tests. The empirical findings provide clear evidence of stronger linkages between the Moroccan market and the four other considered stock markets have been created during the subprime financial crisis period.

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  • El Ghini, Ahmed & Saidi, Youssef, 2014. "Return and Volatility Spillovers in the Moroccan Stock Market During The Financial Crisis," MPRA Paper 53439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:53439
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhong, Yi & Liu, Jiapeng, 2021. "Correlations and volatility spillovers between China and Southeast Asian stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 57-69.
    2. Rahim, Adam Mohamed & Masih, Mansur, 2014. "Effects of Political Turmoil (Arab Spring) on Portfolio Diversification Benefits: Perspectives of the Moroccan Islamic Stock investors," MPRA Paper 58832, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Urom, Christian & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Del Lo, Gaye & Yuni, Denis, 2023. "Global commodity and equity markets spillovers to Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    4. Yao, Yuan & Zhao, Yang & Li, Yan, 2022. "A volatility model based on adaptive expectations: An improvement on the rational expectations model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    5. Eric Martial Etoundi Atenga & Mbodja Mougoué, 2021. "Return and volatility spillovers to African equity markets and their determinants," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 883-918, August.
    6. Ahmed El Ghini & Youssef Saidi, 2015. "Financial market contagion during the global financial crisis: evidence from the Moroccan stock market," International Journal of Financial Markets and Derivatives, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(1), pages 78-95.
    7. Kai Shi, 2021. "Spillovers of Stock Markets among the BRICS: New Evidence in Time and Frequency Domains before the Outbreak of COVID-19 Pandemic," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-37, March.
    8. Dimitrios Vortelinos & Konstantinos Gkillas (Gillas) & Costas Syriopoulos & Argyro Svingou, 2017. "Asymmetric and nonlinear inter-relations of US stock indices," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(1), pages 78-129, December.
    9. Belcaid, Karim & El Ghini, Ahmed, 2019. "U.S., European, Chinese economic policy uncertainty and Moroccan stock market volatility," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    10. Nguyen, Dat Thanh & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Anglingkusumo, Reza & Sasongko, Aryo, 2021. "US government shutdowns and Indonesian stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Return and volatility spillovers; multivariate GARCH model; financial crisis; stock markets; break identification; conditional correlation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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