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Upward pressure on wages and the interregional trade spillover effects under demand-side shocks

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Abstract

The paper illustrates the effect of a permanent demand-side shock in the perturbed regions and the associated spillover effects in the non-perturbed regions using the RHOMOLO spatial-numerical general equilibrium model of the EU economy. We test to what extent gradual upward pressure on wages generated by a domestic increase in demand alters the magnitude of the economic impacts in the long-run and the degree to which this could result in changes in trade patterns. We also assess the size and the direction of the effects with varying trade substitution elasticities and under both perfectly and imperfectly competitive product markets.

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  • Patrizio Lecca & Martin Christensen & Andrea Conte & Giovanni Mandras & Simone Salotti, 2019. "Upward pressure on wages and the interregional trade spillover effects under demand-side shocks," JRC Working Papers on Territorial Modelling and Analysis 2019-03, Joint Research Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipt:termod:201903
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    2. Barbero, Javier & Diukanova, Olga & Gianelle, Carlo & Salotti, Simone & Santoalha, Artur, 2024. "Technologically related diversification: One size does not fit all European regions," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(3).
    3. Javier Barberoa & Olga Diukanovaa & Carlo Gianellea & Simone Salottia & Artur Santoalha, 2020. "Economic modelling to evaluate Smart Specialisation: an analysis on research and innovation targets in Southern Europe," Working Papers on Innovation Studies 20200525, Centre for Technology, Innovation and Culture, University of Oslo.
    4. Lecca, Patrizio & Persyn, Damiaan & Sakkas, Stelios, 2023. "Capital-skill complementarity and regional inequality: A spatial general equilibrium analysis," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    5. Javier Barbero & Olga Diukanova & Carlo Gianelle & Simone Salotti & Artur Santoalha, 2022. "Economic modelling to evaluate Smart Specialisation: an analysis of research and innovation targets in Southern Europe," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(9), pages 1496-1509, September.
    6. Crucitti, Francesca & Lazarou, Nicholas-Joseph & Monfort, Philippe & Salotti, Simone, 2023. "Where does the EU cohesion policy produce its benefits? A model analysis of the international spillovers generated by the policy," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(3).
    7. Filippo Di Pietro & Patrizio Lecca & Simone Salotti, 2021. "Regional economic resilience in the European Union: a numerical general equilibrium analysis," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 287-312, July.
    8. Patrizio Lecca & Simone Salotti & Andrea Conte, 2020. "The importance of studying inter-regional spillover effects of European policies: application of the RHOMOLO model for Poland," JRC Working Papers on Territorial Modelling and Analysis 2020-04, Joint Research Centre.
    9. Carlo Gianelle & Fabrizio Guzzo & Javier Barbero & Simone Salotti, 2022. "The economic implications of Smart Specialisation governance: a general equilibrium analysis for Italy 2014-2020," JRC Working Papers on Territorial Modelling and Analysis 2022-05, Joint Research Centre.
    10. Casas, Pablo & Christou, Tryfonas & García Rodríguez, Abián & Heidelk, Tillmann & Lazarou, Nicholas Joseph & Monfort, Philippe & Salotti, Simone, 2024. "The updated RHOMOLO impact assessment of the 2014-2020 European cohesion policy (including REACT-EU)," MPRA Paper 122873, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Christensen, Martin & Weiers, Georg & Wolski, Marcin, 2019. "The 2019 assessment of the macroeconomic effects of the European Fund for Strategic Investments with the RHOMOLO-EIB model," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 45, pages 5-15.
    12. Mattia Cai, 2021. "Doubly constrained gravity models for interregional trade estimation," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 100(2), pages 455-474, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    rhomolo; region; growth; regional development policies; Regional policy spillovers; spatial general equilibrium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy

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