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Upward pressure on wages and the interregional trade spillover effects under demand-side shocks

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Abstract

The paper illustrates the effect of a permanent demand-side shock in the perturbed regions and the associated spillover effects in the non-perturbed regions using the RHOMOLO spatial-numerical general equilibrium model of the EU economy. We test to what extent gradual upward pressure on wages generated by a domestic increase in demand alters the magnitude of the economic impacts in the long-run and the degree to which this could result in changes in trade patterns. We also assess the size and the direction of the effects with varying trade substitution elasticities and under both perfectly and imperfectly competitive product markets.

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  • Patrizio Lecca & Martin Christensen & Andrea Conte & Giovanni Mandras & Simone Salotti, 2019. "Upward pressure on wages and the interregional trade spillover effects under demand-side shocks," JRC Working Papers on Territorial Modelling and Analysis 2019-03, Joint Research Centre (Seville site).
    • Handle: RePEc:ipt:termod:201903
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    Cited by:

    1. Christensen, Martin & Weiers, Georg & Wolski, Marcin, 2019. "The 2019 assessment of the macroeconomic effects of the European Fund for Strategic Investments with the RHOMOLO-EIB model," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 45, pages 5-15.
    2. Patrizio Lecca & Simone Salotti & Andrea Conte, 2020. "The importance of studying inter-regional spillover effects of European policies: application of the RHOMOLO model for Poland," JRC Working Papers on Territorial Modelling and Analysis 2020-04, Joint Research Centre (Seville site).
    3. Javier Barbero & Olga Diukanova & Carlo Gianelle & Simone Salotti & Artur Santoalha, 2020. "Economic modelling to evaluate Smart Specialisation: an analysis on research and innovation targets in Southern Europe," JRC Working Papers on Territorial Modelling and Analysis 2020-01, Joint Research Centre (Seville site).
    4. Javier Barberoa & Olga Diukanovaa & Carlo Gianellea & Simone Salottia & Artur Santoalha, 2020. "Economic modelling to evaluate Smart Specialisation: an analysis on research and innovation targets in Southern Europe," Working Papers on Innovation Studies 20200525, Centre for Technology, Innovation and Culture, University of Oslo.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    rhomolo; region; growth; regional development policies; Regional policy spillovers; spatial general equilibrium;

    JEL classification:

    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy

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