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Short-Term Capital Flows and Growth in Developed and Emerging Markets Pavlos

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A lot of attention has been directed towards recent financial crises around the world. It seems that financial markets are prone to herding, panics, contagion and boom-bust cycles. Empirical studies have found that short-term flows increase financial fragility and also increase the probability of financial crises. This study takes a macro-oriented approach and shows that large and volatile short-term flows may be growth inhibiting for emerging markets. This is not the case though for rich countries, where short-term capital flows have no effect on growth. The results in this study indicate that opening up emerging markets capital accounts, which imply increased short-term capital flows, is not a clear-cut way to prosperity.

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File URL: http://www2.ne.su.se/paper/wp04_04.pdf
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Paper provided by Stockholm University, Department of Economics in its series Research Papers in Economics with number 2004:4.

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Length: 31 pages
Date of creation: 24 May 2004
Handle: RePEc:hhs:sunrpe:2004_0004
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Department of Economics, Stockholm, S-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden

Phone: +46 8 16 20 00
Fax: +46 8 16 14 25
Web page: http://www.ne.su.se/
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