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Default Recovery Rates and Aggregate Fluctuations

Author

Listed:
  • Giacomo Candian

    () (HEC Montreal)

  • Mikhail Dmitriev

    () (Department of Economics, Florida State University)

Abstract

Default recovery rates in the US are highly volatile and pro-cyclical. We show that state-of-the-art models with a Bernanke-Gertler-Gilchrist financial accelerator mechanism imply that recovery rates are flat over the cycle. We propose a model where financially constrained entrepreneurs face an idiosyncratic cost of redeploying liquidated capital. The resulting endogenous liquidation costs magnify the effect of the financial accelerator. We fit the model to US data and find that it explains a substantial amount of variation in recovery rates. Our mechanism alters the transmission of structural disturbances and leads to novel policy implications about the effectiveness of subsidies for liquidated assets.

Suggested Citation

  • Giacomo Candian & Mikhail Dmitriev, 2019. "Default Recovery Rates and Aggregate Fluctuations," Working Papers wp2019_09_01, Department of Economics, Florida State University.
  • Handle: RePEc:fsu:wpaper:wp2019_09_01
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    File URL: https://coss.fsu.edu/econpapers/wpaper/wp2019_09_01.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial accelerator; financial frictions; recovery rates; liquidation costs;

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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