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Incorporating Financial Sector Risk into Monetary Policy Models: Application to Chile

Author

Listed:
  • Dale Gray
  • Carlos García
  • Leonardo Luna
  • Jorge E. Restrepo

Abstract

This paper presents a model for the financial sector’s vulnerability and integrates it into a macroeconomic framework commonly used in monetary policymaking. The main question to answer with the integrated model is whether central banks should explicitly include the financial stability indicator in the reaction function of the monetary policy interest rate. Our results show that, in general, including the banking industry’s distance to default (dtd) in the central bank’s reaction function reduces both inflation and output volatility. In addition, the results are robust to different calibrations of the model. Actually, there is gained efficiency from including the dtd variable in the reaction function whenever the pass-through coefficient of the exchange rate is higher and when financial vulnerability has a greater effect on the exchange rate and GDP (or, conversely, a higher effect of GDP in banking sector capital, which is here called endogeneity).

Suggested Citation

  • Dale Gray & Carlos García & Leonardo Luna & Jorge E. Restrepo, 2009. "Incorporating Financial Sector Risk into Monetary Policy Models: Application to Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 553, Central Bank of Chile.
  • Handle: RePEc:chb:bcchwp:553
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cúrdia, Vasco & Woodford, Michael, 2016. "Credit Frictions and Optimal Monetary Policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 30-65.
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:jes:wpaper:y:2013:v:5:p:535-547 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Renata Karkowska, 2013. "Instability In The Cee Banking System. Evidence From The Recent Financial Crisis," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 5(4), pages 535-547, December.
    3. repec:bla:pacecr:v:21:y:2016:i:5:p:541-559 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Francis Leni Anguyo & Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2017. "Monetary Policy and Financial Frictions in a Small Open-Economy Model for Uganda," School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series 2017-01, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.
    5. Shigeto Kitano & Kenya Takaku, 2016. "External Debt and Taylor Rules in a Small Open Economy," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(5), pages 541-559, December.
    6. Karkowska, Renata, 2014. "Is the Central and Eastern European banking systems stable? Evidence from the recent financial crisis," MPRA Paper 58803, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Burcu Aydin & Myeongsuk Kim & Ho-Seong Moon, 2011. "Financial Linkages Across Korean Banks," IMF Working Papers 11/201, International Monetary Fund.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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