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Liquidity at risk: Joint stress testing of solvency and liquidity

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  • Rama Cont
  • Artur Kotlicki
  • Laura Valderrama

Abstract

The traditional approach to the stress testing of financial institutions focuses on capital adequacy and solvency. Liquidity stress tests are often applied in parallel to solvency stress tests, based on scenarios which may not be consistent with those used in solvency stress tests. We propose a structural framework for the joint stress testing of solvency and liquidity: our approach exploits the mechanisms underlying the solvency-liquidity nexus to derive relations between solvency shocks and liquidity shocks. These relations are then used to model liquidity and solvency risk in a coherent framework, involving external shocks to solvency and endogenous liquidity shocks. We introduce solvency-liquidity diagrams as a method for analysing the resilience of a balance sheet to the resulting combination of solvency shocks and endogenous liquidity shocks. Finally, we define the concept of 'Liquidity at Risk' which quantifies the liquidity resources required for a financial institution facing a stress scenario.

Suggested Citation

  • Rama Cont & Artur Kotlicki & Laura Valderrama, 2019. "Liquidity at risk: Joint stress testing of solvency and liquidity," Working Paper 2019/11, Norges Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:bno:worpap:2019_11
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    2. Saroyan, Susanna, 2024. "Counterparty choice, maturity shifts and market freezes: Lessons from the European interbank market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    3. Katherin Carrera-Silva & Olga Maritza Rodríguez Ulcuango & Paula Abdo-Peralta & Ángel Gerardo Castelo Salazar & Carmen Amelia Samaniego Erazo & Diego Haro Ávalos, 2024. "Beyond the Financial Horizon: A Critical Review of Social Responsibility in Latin American Credit Unions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-23, September.
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    13. Bruneau, Gabriel & Ojea-Ferreiro, Javier & Plummer, Andrew & Tremblay, Marie-Christine & Witts, Aidan, 2025. "The interdependencies of Canadian financial institutions: An application to climate transition shocks," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 6(3).
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    16. Xiaole Wan & Zhengwei Teng & Zhen Zhang & Xiangtong Liu & Zhuoqian Du, 2024. "Equity financing risk assessment based on PLTS-ER approach in marine ranching from the ecological and circular economy perspectives," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 342(1), pages 875-920, November.
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    24. Wiersema, Garbrand & Kemp, Esti & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2026. "Liquidity spirals," Working Paper Series 3169, European Central Bank.
    25. Bassa, Karolina & Cont, Rama, 2025. "Dynamics of sovereign debt: credit risk and sustainability analysis," INET Oxford Working Papers 2025-24, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.

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