IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bca/bocatr/111.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The MacroFinancial Risk Assessment Framework (MFRAF), Version 2.0

Author

Listed:
  • Jose Fique

Abstract

This report provides a detailed technical description of the updated MacroFinancial Risk Assessment Framework (MFRAF), which replaces the version described in Gauthier, Souissi and Liu (2014) as the Bank of Canada’s stress-testing model for banks with a focus on domestic systemically important banks (D-SIBs). This new version incorporates the characteristics of the previous model and also includes fire-sale effects resulting from the regulatory leverage constraints faced by banks, as well as an enhanced treatment of feedback-loop effects between solvency and liquidity risks through both the pricing and costly asset-liquidation channels. These new features improve the model’s ability to capture the non-linear effects of risk scenarios on D-SIBs’ capital positions and shed light on the importance of additional channels of stress propagation. The model is also subject to a comprehensive sensitivity analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Jose Fique, 2017. "The MacroFinancial Risk Assessment Framework (MFRAF), Version 2.0," Technical Reports 111, Bank of Canada.
  • Handle: RePEc:bca:bocatr:111
    DOI: 10.34989/tr-111
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.34989/tr-111
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/tr111.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.34989/tr-111?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jean-Charles Rochet & Xavier Vives, 2004. "Coordination Failures and the Lender of Last Resort: Was Bagehot Right After All?," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 2(6), pages 1116-1147, December.
    2. Covas, Francisco B. & Rump, Ben & Zakrajšek, Egon, 2014. "Stress-testing US bank holding companies: A dynamic panel quantile regression approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 691-713.
    3. Chevalier, Judith & Ellison, Glenn, 1997. "Risk Taking by Mutual Funds as a Response to Incentives," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 105(6), pages 1167-1200, December.
    4. Céline Gauthier & Zhongfang He & Moez Souissi, 2010. "Understanding Systemic Risk: The Trade-Offs between Capital, Short-Term Funding and Liquid Asset Holdings," Staff Working Papers 10-29, Bank of Canada.
    5. Ahnert, Toni & Anand, Kartik & Gai, Prasanna & Chapman, James, 2015. "Safe, or not safe? Covered bonds and Bank Fragility," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112875, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    6. Henry, Jérôme & Zimmermann, Maik & Leber, Miha & Kolb, Markus & Grodzicki, Maciej & Amzallag, Adrien & Vouldis, Angelos & Hałaj, Grzegorz & Pancaro, Cosimo & Gross, Marco & Baudino, Patrizia & Sydow, , 2013. "A macro stress testing framework for assessing systemic risks in the banking sector," Occasional Paper Series 152, European Central Bank.
    7. Rhys M. Bidder & Raffaella Giacomini & Andrew McKenna, 2016. "Stress Testing with Misspecified Models," Working Paper Series 2016-26, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    8. Vayanos, Dimitri, 2004. "Flight to quality, flight to liquidity, and the pricing of risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 456, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    9. Neville Arjani & Graydon Paulin, 2013. "Lessons from the Financial Crisis: Bank Performance and Regulatory Reform," Discussion Papers 13-4, Bank of Canada.
    10. Kartik Anand & Céline Gauthier & Moez Souissi, 2015. "Quantifying Contagion Risk in Funding Markets: A Model-Based Stress-Testing Approach," Staff Working Papers 15-32, Bank of Canada.
    11. Angbazo, Lazarus, 1997. "Commercial bank net interest margins, default risk, interest-rate risk, and off-balance sheet banking," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 55-87, January.
    12. Céline Gauthier & Moez Souissi & Xuezhi Liu, 2014. "Introducing Funding Liquidity Risk in a Macro Stress-Testing Framework," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(4), pages 105-142, December.
    13. Ho, Thomas S. Y. & Saunders, Anthony, 1981. "The Determinants of Bank Interest Margins: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(4), pages 581-600, November.
    14. Francis A. Longstaff, 2004. "The Flight-to-Liquidity Premium in U.S. Treasury Bond Prices," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 77(3), pages 511-526, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Grzegorz Halaj & Sofia Priazhkina, 2021. "Stressed but not Helpless: Strategic Behaviour of Banks Under Adverse Market Conditions," Staff Working Papers 21-35, Bank of Canada.
    2. Kupiec, Paul H., 2020. "Policy uncertainty and bank stress testing," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    3. J Doyne Farmer & Alissa M Kleinnijenhuis & Paul Nahai-Williamson & Thom Wetzer, 2020. "Foundations of system-wide financial stress testing with heterogeneous institutions," Bank of England working papers 861, Bank of England.
    4. Budnik, Katarzyna & Balatti, Mirco & Dimitrov, Ivan & Groß, Johannes & Kleemann, Michael & Reichenbachas, Tomas & Sanna, Francesco & Sarychev, Andrei & Siņenko, Nadežda & Volk, Matjaz, 2020. "Banking euro area stress test model," Working Paper Series 2469, European Central Bank.
    5. David Longworth & Frank Milne, 2021. "Parallels Between Financial Regulation Prior to the Global Financial Crisis and Lack of Public Health Preparation Prior to Covid-19," Working Paper 1455, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    6. Cameron MacDonald & Virginie Traclet, 2018. "The Framework for Risk Identification and Assessment," Technical Reports 113, Bank of Canada.
    7. Cont, Rama & Kotlicki, Artur & Valderrama, Laura, 2020. "Liquidity at risk: Joint stress testing of solvency and liquidity," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    8. Michel Baes & Eric Schaanning, 2023. "Reverse stress testing: Scenario design for macroprudential stress tests," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 209-256, April.
    9. Mrs. Jana Bricco & Ms. TengTeng Xu, 2019. "Interconnectedness and Contagion Analysis: A Practical Framework," IMF Working Papers 2019/220, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Ikeda, Daisuke, 2024. "Bank runs, prudential tools and social welfare in a global game general equilibrium model," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    11. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Patrick Cheridito, 2019. "Measuring and Allocating Systemic Risk," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-19, April.
    12. Hałaj, Grzegorz, 2020. "Resilience of Canadian banks to funding liquidity shocks," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 1(1).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marcin Borsuk, 2019. "Forecasting the Net Interest Margin and Loan Loss Provision Ratio of Banks in Various Economic Scenarios: Evidence from Poland," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(1), pages 89-106, March.
    2. Nicholas Fritsch, 2025. "Tail Sensitivity of US Bank Net Interest Margins: A Bayesian Penalized Quantile Regression Approach," Working Papers 25-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    3. Busch, Ramona & Koziol, Philipp & Mitrovic, Marc, 2018. "Many a little makes a mickle: Stress testing small and medium-sized German banks," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 237-253.
    4. Amvella Motaze, Serge Patrick, 2022. "The determinants of the lending interest rate in a cost-based approach: Theoretical model and empirical analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 36-51.
    5. Albertazzi, Ugo & Gambacorta, Leonardo, 2009. "Bank profitability and the business cycle," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 393-409, December.
    6. Chen, Qi & Goldstein, Itay & Jiang, Wei, 2010. "Payoff complementarities and financial fragility: Evidence from mutual fund outflows," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 239-262, August.
    7. Lucas Avezum, 2023. "To use or not to use? Capital buffers and lending during a crisis," Working Papers w202308, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    8. Toni Ahnert & Kartik Anand & Philipp Johann König, 2024. "Real Interest Rates, Bank Borrowing, and Fragility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(6), pages 1545-1571, September.
    9. Akın Taylan Alkan & Hicabi Ersoy & Mefule Fındıkçı Erdoğan, 2022. "The Effect of Maturity Structures of Bank Assets and Liabilities on Performance: An Empirical Implementation on Deposit Banks in Turkey," Journal of Finance Letters (Maliye ve Finans Yazıları), Maliye ve Finans Yazıları Yayıncılık Ltd. Şti., vol. 37(117), pages 233-246, April.
    10. Raja Almarzoqi & Sami Ben Naceur, 2015. "Determinants of Bank Interest Margins in the Caucasus and Central Asia," IMF Working Papers 2015/087, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Haber, Stephen & Musacchio, Aldo, 2012. "Foreign entry and the Mexican banking system, 1997–2007," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123321, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. Dimitri Vayanos & Paul Woolley, 2013. "An Institutional Theory of Momentum and Reversal," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(5), pages 1087-1145.
    13. Busch, Ramona & Koziol, Philipp & Mitrovic, Marc, 2015. "Many a little makes a mickle: Macro portfolio stress test for small and medium-sized German banks," Discussion Papers 23/2015, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    14. Albert DePrince & Pamela Morris, 2007. "A longitudinal study of net interest margin by bank asset size: 1992–2005," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 31(1), pages 20-32, March.
    15. Pierluigi Bologna, 2017. "Banks’ maturity transformation: risk, reward, and policy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1159, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    16. Dimitrios P. Louzis & Angelos T. Vouldis, 2015. "Profitability in the Greek Banking System: a Dual Investigation of Net Interest and Non-Interest Income," Working Papers 191, Bank of Greece.
    17. Tarsila Segalla Afanasieff & Priscilla Maria Villa Lhacer & Márcio I. Nakane, 2002. "The Determinants of Bank Interest Spread in Brazil," Money Affairs, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 183-207, July-Dece.
    18. Yanikkaya, Halit & Gumus, Nihat & Pabuccu, Yasar Ugur, 2018. "How profitability differs between conventional and Islamic banks: A dynamic panel data approach," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 99-111.
    19. Bismark Addai & Wenjin Tang & Adjei Gyamfi Gyimah & Kingsley Opoku Appiah, 2023. "Bank intermediation margins in transition banking domains: panel evidence from Africa," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 2129-2167, August.
    20. Camba-Mendez, Gonzalo & Mongelli, Francesco Paolo, 2021. "Risk aversion and bank loan pricing," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bca:bocatr:111. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bocgvca.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.