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A Multiperiod Bank Run Model for Liquidity Risk

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  • Gechun Liang
  • Eva Lütkebohmert
  • Yajun Xiao

Abstract

We present a new dynamic bank run model for liquidity risk where a financial institution finances its risky assets by a mixture of short- and long-term debt. The financial institution is exposed to insolvency risk at any time until maturity and to illiquidity risk at a finite number of rollover dates. We compute both insolvency and illiquidity default probabilities in this multiperiod setting using a structural credit risk model approach. Firesale rates can be determined endogenously as expected debt value over current asset value. Numerical results illustrate the impact of various input parameters on the default probabilities.

Suggested Citation

  • Gechun Liang & Eva Lütkebohmert & Yajun Xiao, 2014. "A Multiperiod Bank Run Model for Liquidity Risk," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(2), pages 803-842.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:revfin:v:18:y:2014:i:2:p:803-842.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rof/rft016
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Andrey Krishenik & Andreea Minca & Johannes Wissel, 2015. "When do creditors with heterogeneous beliefs agree to run?," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 233-259, April.
    2. Xue-Zhong He & Eva Lütkebohmert & Yajun Xiao, 2017. "Rollover risk and credit risk under time-varying margin," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 455-469, March.
    3. Ion Lapteacru, 2019. "Do bank activities and funding strategies of foreign and state‐owned banks have a differential effect on risk‐taking in Central and Eastern Europe?," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 27(2), pages 541-576, February.
    4. Cont, Rama & Kotlicki, Artur & Valderrama, Laura, 2020. "Liquidity at risk: Joint stress testing of solvency and liquidity," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    5. Gechun Liang & Eva Lutkebohmert & Wei Wei, 2012. "Funding Liquidity, Debt Tenor Structure, and Creditor's Belief: An Exogenous Dynamic Debt Run Model," Papers 1209.3513, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2015.
    6. Eva Lütkebohmert & Daniel Oeltz & Yajun Xiao, 2017. "Endogenous Credit Spreads and Optimal Debt Financing Structure in the Presence of Liquidity Risk," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 23(1), pages 55-86, January.
    7. Klimenko, Nataliya & Moreno-Bromberg, Santiago, 2016. "The shadow costs of repos and bank liability structure," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 1-29.

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