Andrey Korotayev

Personal Details

First Name:	Andrey
Middle Name:
Last Name:	Korotayev
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:	pko540
	[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
	http://cliodynamics.ru

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:

1. Andrey Korotayev & Artemy Malkov, 2012. "A Compact Mathematical Model of the World System Economic and Demographic Growth, 1 CE - 1973 CE," Papers 1206.0496, arXiv.org.

   Mentioned in:

   1. Two millenia of growth in a couple of equations
      by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2012-07-02 19:54:00

Working papers

1. Turchin, Peter & Korotayev, Andrey, 2020. "The 2010 Structural-Demographic Forecast for the 2010–2020 Decade: A Retrospective Assessment," SocArXiv 7ahqn, Center for Open Science.
   • Peter Turchin & Andrey Korotayev, 2020. "The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010–2020 decade: A retrospective assessment," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(8), pages 1-14, August.

   Cited by:

   1. Kavanagh, Donncha & Lightfoot, Geoff & Lilley, Simon, 2021. "Are we living in a time of particularly rapid social change? And how might we know?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).

2. Korotaev, Andrey (Коротаев, Андрей) & Shulgin, Sergey (Шульгин, Сергей) & Zinkina, Yulia (Зинькина, Юлия), 2017. "Country Risk Analysis Based on Demographic and Socio-Economic Data [Анализ Страновых Рисков С Использованием Демографических И Социально-Экономических Данных]," Working Papers 031715, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.

   Cited by:

   1. Hasan Dinçer & Serhat Yüksel & Seçil Şenel, 2018. "Analyzing the Global Risks for the Financial Crisis after the Great Depression Using Comparative Hybrid Hesitant Fuzzy Decision-Making Models: Policy Recommendations for Sustainable Economic Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-15, September.

3. Alexey Fomin & Andrey Korotayev & Julia Zinkina, 2016. "Negative oil price bubble is likely to burst in March - May 2016. A forecast on the basis of the law of log-periodical dynamics," Papers 1601.04341, arXiv.org.

   Cited by:

   1. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Pawe{l} O'swic{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2018. "Multifractal cross-correlations between the World Oil and other Financial Markets in 2012-2017," Papers 1812.08548, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
   2. Sabri Boubaker & Zhenya Liu & Yaosong Zhan, 2022. "Risk management for crude oil futures: an optimal stopping-timing approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 9-27, June.
      • S. Boubaker & Liu, Z. & Zhan, Y., 2021. "Risk management for crude oil futures: an optimal stopping-timing approach," Post-Print hal-03323674, HAL.
      • S. Boubaker & Zhenya Liu & Yaosong Zhan, 2022. "Risk Management for Crude Oil Futures: An Optimal Stopping-Timing Approach," Post-Print hal-04452669, HAL.

4. Andrey Korotayev & Julia Zinkina, 2015. "East africa in the Malthusian trap? A statistical analysis of financial, economic, and demographic indicators," Papers 1503.08441, arXiv.org.

   Cited by:

   1. da Silva Francisco, António A., 2017. "‘Gerontogrowth’ and population ageing in Africa and the Global AgeWatch Index," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 78-89.

5. Korotayev Andrey & Grinin Leonid, 2013. "Kondratieff Waves in the World System Perspective," Macroeconomics emanova_elena.12760-kondr, Socionet.

   Cited by:

   1. Andrey Korotayev & Leonid Grinin & Leonid Issaev & Alisa Shishkina & Evgeny Ivanov & Kira Meshcherina, 2017. "World Order Transformation and Sociopolitical Destabilization," HSE Working papers WP BRP 29/IR/2017, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
   2. Askar Akaev & Andrey Korotayev, 2016. "Global economic dynamics of the forthcoming years. A forecast," Papers 1612.09189, arXiv.org.
   3. Akaev, Askar A. (Акаев, Аскар А.) & Korotayev, Andrey V (Коротаев, Андрей В.), 2017. "Toward Forecasting Global Economic Dynamics of the Forthcoming Years [К Прогнозированию Глобальной Экономической Динамики Ближайших Лет]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 1, pages 8-39, February.
   4. Zemtsov, S., 2021. "New technologies and regional development in the modern period," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 51(3), pages 196-207.
   5. Tausch, Arno, 2013. "The hallmarks of crisis. A new center-periphery perspective on long cycles," MPRA Paper 48356, University Library of Munich, Germany.

6. Grinin Leonid & Korotayev Andrey, 2013. "Kondratieff's Mystery," Method and History of Economic Thought emanova_elena.12760-kondr, Socionet.

   Cited by:

   1. Natalia G. Vovchenko & Olga B. Ivanova & Elena D. Kostoglodova & Marina O. Otrishko & Olga S. Dzhu, 2016. "Innovations and Fighting Global Economic Problems," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 10(4), December.
   2. Tausch, Arno, 2013. "The hallmarks of crisis. A new center-periphery perspective on long cycles," MPRA Paper 48356, University Library of Munich, Germany.
   3. Georgios I. Farantos & Nikitas Spiros Koutsoukis, 2016. "Efficiency Study of Greek Health Units of the Public Sector using Data Envelopment Analysis Method, before and during the start of the Economic Crisis," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), International Hellenic University (IHU), Kavala Campus, Greece (formerly Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology - EMaTTech), vol. 9(2), pages 19-31, June.

7. Andrey Korotayev & Artemy Malkov, 2012. "A Compact Mathematical Model of the World System Economic and Demographic Growth, 1 CE - 1973 CE," Papers 1206.0496, arXiv.org.

   Cited by:

   1. Ron W. NIELSEN, 2016. "Interpretations of Hyperbolic Growth," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, KSP Journals, vol. 3(4), pages 594-626, December.

8. Sergey V. Tsirel & Askar Akaev & Alexey Fomin & Andrey V. Korotayev, 2010. "Log-Periodic Oscillation Analysis and Possible Burst of the "Gold Bubble" in April - June 2011," Papers 1012.4118, arXiv.org.

   Cited by:

   1. Bayari, Celal, 2015. "Economic Geography of the Australian Mining Industry," MPRA Paper 102831, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 Jul 2015.
      • Celal Bayari, 2016. "Economic Geography of the Australian Mining Industry," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 107(5), pages 552-566, December.
   2. Alexey Fomin & Andrey Korotayev & Julia Zinkina, 2016. "Negative oil price bubble is likely to burst in March - May 2016. A forecast on the basis of the law of log-periodical dynamics," Papers 1601.04341, arXiv.org.
   3. Askar Akaev & Andrey Korotayev, 2016. "Global economic dynamics of the forthcoming years. A forecast," Papers 1612.09189, arXiv.org.
   4. Akaev, Askar A. (Акаев, Аскар А.) & Korotayev, Andrey V (Коротаев, Андрей В.), 2017. "Toward Forecasting Global Economic Dynamics of the Forthcoming Years [К Прогнозированию Глобальной Экономической Динамики Ближайших Лет]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 1, pages 8-39, February.
   5. Askar Akaev & Alexei Fomin & Andrey Korotayev, 2011. "The Second Wave of the Global Crisis? A Log-Periodic Oscillation Analysis of Commodity Price Series," Papers 1107.0480, arXiv.org.

Articles

1. Grinin, Leonid & Grinin, Anton & Korotayev, Andrey, 2022. "COVID-19 pandemic as a trigger for the acceleration of the cybernetic revolution, transition from e-government to e-state, and change in social relations," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).

   Cited by:

   1. Marta Borowska-Stefańska & Maxim A. Dulebenets & Michał Kowalski & Filip Turoboś & Szymon Wiśniewski, 2023. "Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Daily Mobility of the Elderly Living in Small Cities in Lodz Province," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(9), pages 1-23, May.
   2. Tofail Alam & Muhammad Aftab & Zaheer Abbas & Kamoliddin Mannonov Murodjon Ugli & Syed Asad Abbas Bokhari, 2023. "Impact of E-Government Initiatives to Combat Corruption Mediating by Behavioral Intention: A Quantitative Analysis from Emerging Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-18, February.
   3. Vitaly Kaftan & Wadim Kandalov & Igor Molodtsov & Anna Sherstobitova & Wadim Strielkowski, 2023. "Socio-Economic Stability and Sustainable Development in the Post-COVID Era: Lessons for the Business and Economic Leaders," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-18, February.

2. Maxim Slav & Elena Smyslovskikh & Vladimir Novikov & Igor Kolesnikov & Andrey Korotayev, 2021. "Deprivation, instability, and propensity to attack: how urbanization influences terrorism," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 1100-1130, November.

   Cited by:

   1. Adam, Antonis & Tsavou, Evi, 2022. "Do natural disasters fuel terrorism? The role of state capacity," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).

3. Grinin, Leonid & Grinin, Anton & Korotayev, Andrey, 2020. "A quantitative analysis of worldwide long-term technology growth: From 40,000 BCE to the early 22nd century," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).

   Cited by:

   1. Grinin, Leonid & Grinin, Anton & Korotayev, Andrey, 2022. "COVID-19 pandemic as a trigger for the acceleration of the cybernetic revolution, transition from e-government to e-state, and change in social relations," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
   2. de Groot, E.A. & Segers, R. & Prins, D., 2021. "Disentangling the enigma of multi-structured economic cycles - A new appearance of the golden ratio," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).

4. Peter Turchin & Andrey Korotayev, 2020. "The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010–2020 decade: A retrospective assessment," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(8), pages 1-14, August.
   • Turchin, Peter & Korotayev, Andrey, 2020. "The 2010 Structural-Demographic Forecast for the 2010–2020 Decade: A Retrospective Assessment," SocArXiv 7ahqn, Center for Open Science.
   See citations under working paper version above.
5. Korotayev, Andrey & Bilyuga, Stanislav & Belalov, Ilya & Goldstone, Jack, 2018. "Oil prices, socio-political destabilization risks, and future energy technologies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 304-310.

   Cited by:

   1. Quentin Plantec & Pascal Le Masson & Benoit Weil, 2020. "Impact of knowledge search practices on the originality of inventions: a study in the oil & gas industry," Post-Print hal-02613665, HAL.
   2. Angelidou, M. & Politis, C. & Panori, A. & Bakratsas, T. & Fellnhofer, K., 2022. "Emerging smart city, transport and energy trends in urban settings: Results of a pan-European foresight exercise with 120 experts," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
   3. Pavleska, Marija & Kerr, William A., 2020. "Linking investment decisions and future food security to the regulation of genetic-based technologies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
   4. Gong, Xiao-Li & Feng, Yong-Kang & Liu, Jian-Min & Xiong, Xiong, 2023. "Study on international energy market and geopolitical risk contagion based on complex network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
   5. Walter Leal Filho & Richard Kotter & Pinar Gökçin Özuyar & Ismaila Rimi Abubakar & João Henrique Paulino Pires Eustachio & Newton R. Matandirotya, 2023. "Understanding Rare Earth Elements as Critical Raw Materials," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-18, January.
   6. Plantec, Quentin & Le Masson, Pascal & Weil, Benoît, 2021. "Impact of knowledge search practices on the originality of inventions: A study in the oil & gas industry through dynamic patent analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
   7. Wang, Jun-Zhuo & Feng, Gen-Fu & Yin, Hua-Tang & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2023. "Toward sustainable development: Does the rising oil price stimulate innovation in climate change mitigation technologies?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 569-583.
   8. Ivanovski, Kris & Hailemariam, Abebe, 2022. "Time-varying geopolitical risk and oil prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 206-221.
   9. Hu, Jinyan & Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi Wei & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Oil price, green innovation and institutional pressure: A China's perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

6. Shulgin, Sergey & Zinkina, Julia & Korotayev, Andrey, 2017. "“Neighbors in values”: A new dataset of cultural distances between countries based on individuals’ values, and its application to the study of global trade," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 966-985.

   Cited by:

   1. Francesco Marchionne & Evelina Lazareva, 2019. "The limits to integration before and after the great financial crisis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(2), pages 838-844.
   2. Ouyang, Shanshan & Li, Yanxi & Wu, Haowen & Zhao, Heng & Xu, Runxiang, 2023. "Structure and evolution of the greenfield FDI network along the belt and road," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
   3. Liu, Ailan & Lu, Cuicui & Wang, Zhixuan, 2021. "Does cultural distance hinder exports?: A comparative study of China and the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).

7. Grinin, Leonid E. & Grinin, Anton L. & Korotayev, Andrey, 2017. "Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 52-68.

   Cited by:

   1. Snellman, Kirsi & Fink, Matthias & Hakala, Henri & Bor, Sanne, 2023. "The creation of desirable futures: A call for supererogatory management to foster sustainability transitions," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
   2. Reischauer, Georg, 2018. "Industry 4.0 as policy-driven discourse to institutionalize innovation systems in manufacturing," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 26-33.
   3. Dmitriy Aleksandrovich Endovitskiy & Nikolay Petrovich Lyubushin & Nadezhda Evaldovna Babicheva & Tatyana Alekseevna Pozhidaeva, 2017. "The Quantitative Assessment of the Cyclical Development in Modern Conditions," Montenegrin Journal of Economics, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research (ELIT), vol. 13(4), pages 109-119.
   4. Grinin, Leonid & Grinin, Anton & Korotayev, Andrey, 2022. "COVID-19 pandemic as a trigger for the acceleration of the cybernetic revolution, transition from e-government to e-state, and change in social relations," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
   5. Ávila-Robinson, Alfonso & Islam, Nazrul & Sengoku, Shintaro, 2019. "Co-evolutionary and systemic study on the evolution of emerging stem cell-based therapies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 324-339.
   6. Gruetzemacher, Ross & Paradice, David & Lee, Kang Bok, 2020. "Forecasting extreme labor displacement: A survey of AI practitioners," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
   7. Coccia, Mario, 2018. "A Theory of the General Causes of Long Waves: War, General Purpose Technologies, and Economic Change," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 287-295.
   8. Răducu Roberta, 2023. "Narrative of Technology Use from Older Media Generations in Romania," Culture. Society. Economy. Politics, Sciendo, vol. 3(1), pages 50-64, June.
   9. de Groot, E.A. & Segers, R. & Prins, D., 2022. "Non-resonating cycles in a dynamic model for investment behavior," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
   10. Grinin, Leonid & Grinin, Anton & Korotayev, Andrey, 2020. "A quantitative analysis of worldwide long-term technology growth: From 40,000 BCE to the early 22nd century," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
   11. António Mateus & Luís Martins, 2021. "Building a mineral-based value chain in Europe: the balance between social acceptance and secure supply," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 34(2), pages 239-261, July.
   12. de Groot, E.A. & Segers, R. & Prins, D., 2021. "Disentangling the enigma of multi-structured economic cycles - A new appearance of the golden ratio," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
   13. Alvarez-Ramirez, J. & Rodriguez, E. & Ibarra-Valdez, C., 2020. "Medium-term cycles in the dynamics of the Dow Jones Index for the period 1985–2019," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 546(C).
   14. Wendy Wuyts & Raphael Sedlitzky & Masato Morita & Hiroki Tanikawa, 2020. "Understanding and Managing Vacant Houses in Support of a Material Stock-Type Society—The Case of Kitakyushu, Japan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-23, July.

8. Andrey Korotayev & Julia Zinkina, 2015. "East Africa in the Malthusian Trap?," Journal of Developing Societies, , vol. 31(3), pages 385-420, September.

   Cited by:

   1. Cellarier, Laurent L., 2021. "Is landownership a ladder out of poverty?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
   2. Korotaev, Andrey (Коротаев, Андрей) & Shulgin, Sergey (Шульгин, Сергей) & Zinkina, Yulia (Зинькина, Юлия), 2017. "Country Risk Analysis Based on Demographic and Socio-Economic Data [Анализ Страновых Рисков С Использованием Демографических И Социально-Экономических Данных]," Working Papers 031715, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
   3. Grinin, Leonid & Grinin, Anton & Korotayev, Andrey, 2020. "A quantitative analysis of worldwide long-term technology growth: From 40,000 BCE to the early 22nd century," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
   4. da Silva Francisco, António A., 2017. "‘Gerontogrowth’ and population ageing in Africa and the Global AgeWatch Index," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 78-89.

9. Malkov, Artemy & Zinkina, Julia & Korotayev, Andrey, 2012. "The origins of dragon-kings and their occurrence in society," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(21), pages 5215-5229.

   Cited by:

   1. Sergey Bredikhin & Jonathan Linton & Thais Matoszko, 2017. "Why and How the Value of Science-Based Firms Violates Financial Theory: Implications for Policy and Governance," Foresight-Russia Форсайт, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики», vol. 11(1 (eng)), pages 24-30.
      • Sergey Bredikhin & Jonathan Linton & Thais Matoszko, 2017. "Why and How the Value of Science-Based Firms Violates Financial Theory: Implications for Policy and Governance," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 24-30.

Chapters

1. Leonid Grinin & Anton Grinin & Andrey Korotayev, 2017. "The MANBRIC-Technologies in the Forthcoming Technological Revolution," Studies on Entrepreneurship, Structural Change and Industrial Dynamics, in: Tessaleno Devezas & João Leitão & Askar Sarygulov (ed.), Industry 4.0, pages 243-261, Springer.

   Cited by:

   1. Grinin, Leonid & Grinin, Anton & Korotayev, Andrey, 2022. "COVID-19 pandemic as a trigger for the acceleration of the cybernetic revolution, transition from e-government to e-state, and change in social relations," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
   2. Grinin, Leonid & Grinin, Anton & Korotayev, Andrey, 2020. "A quantitative analysis of worldwide long-term technology growth: From 40,000 BCE to the early 22nd century," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).

Books

1. Jack A. Goldstone & Leonid Grinin & Andrey Korotayev (ed.), 2022. "Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century," Societies and Political Orders in Transition, Springer, number 978-3-030-86468-2, March.

   Cited by:

   1. Popov, Vladimir & Konchakov, Roman & Didenko, Dmitry, 2023. "Factors of social tension in the provinces of the Russian Empire in the late 19th and early 20th centuries," MPRA Paper 118464, University Library of Munich, Germany.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

Access and download statistics for all items

Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 13 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.

1. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic and Financial History (3) 2013-06-09 2017-04-16 2021-11-01
2. NEP-POL: Positive Political Economics (3) 2015-07-25 2016-09-11 2019-03-18
3. NEP-AGE: Economics of Ageing (2) 2016-09-11 2016-09-11
4. NEP-CIS: Confederation of Independent States (2) 2015-07-25 2019-03-18
5. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (2) 2013-06-09 2020-02-10
6. NEP-AFR: Africa (1) 2015-04-02
7. NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (1) 2020-02-10
8. NEP-DCM: Discrete Choice Models (1) 2017-06-04
9. NEP-EEC: European Economics (1) 2020-02-10
10. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (1) 2016-01-29
11. NEP-GEN: Gender (1) 2020-05-11
12. NEP-HPE: History and Philosophy of Economics (1) 2013-06-09
13. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (1) 2012-07-23
14. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (1) 2017-06-04
15. NEP-TRA: Transition Economics (1) 2015-07-25

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