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The Arab Spring. A Quantitative Analysis

In: Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century

Author

Listed:
  • Andrey Korotayev

    (HSE University
    Lomonosov Moscow State University
    Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • Leonid Issaev

    (HSE University
    Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • Sergey Malkov

    (HSE University)

  • Alisa Shishkina

    (HSE University
    Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

Research by A. Korotayev et al. finds that the most significant factors that tended to increase the scale of sociopolitical destabilization during the Arab Spring have turned out to be the following: presence of intra-elite conflict, inter-religious and intertribal heterogeneity, particular types of political regimes (especially, “imitation democracies”), the absence of effective power transfer tools, the absence of “immunity” to internal conflicts (including the absence of the legal basis for the functioning of Islamist-oriented opposition); some role was also played by certain structural-demographic factors associated with youth bulges, education, and unemployment, as well as external influences.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrey Korotayev & Leonid Issaev & Sergey Malkov & Alisa Shishkina, 2022. "The Arab Spring. A Quantitative Analysis," Societies and Political Orders in Transition, in: Jack A. Goldstone & Leonid Grinin & Andrey Korotayev (ed.), Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century, pages 781-810, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:socchp:978-3-030-86468-2_30
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-86468-2_30
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