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Publications

by alumni of

Mississippi State University → Department of Agricultural Economics

These are publications listed in RePEc written by alumni of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service and listed in the RePEc Genealogy. List of alumni. For a list of publications by current members of the department, see here. Register yourself.

This page is updated in the first days of each month.

| Working papers | Journal articles |

Working papers

2025

  1. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2025, "Cognitive Biases in Industry Forecasts: Implications for Market Reactions to USDA Reports," 2025 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2025, Denver, CO, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 360691, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.360691.

2024

  1. Karali, Berna & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2024, "Is Being Bold Better? Industry Expectations of USDA Corn and Soybean Production Estimates," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 343640, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.343640.
  2. McWilliams, William N. & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Stewart, Shamar L., 2024, "Annual Food Price Inflation Forecasting: A Macroeconomic Random Forest Approach," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 343923, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.343923.
  3. Stewart, Shamar L. & Isengildina Massa, Olga, 2024, "Food & Oil Price Volatility Dynamics: Insights from a TVP-SVAR-DCC-MIDAS Model," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 343936, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.343936.

2023

  1. Collins, Wilson & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Boys, Kathryn A., 2023, "Incorporating Uncertainty Into Usda Farm Income Forecasts," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 335968.

2021

  1. Wang, Yangchuan & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Stewart, Shamar, 2021, "Impact of Animal Disease Outbreaks on the U.S. Meat Demand," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 312836, Aug, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.312836.
  2. Poghosyan, Armine & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Stewart, Shamar, 2021, "Futures-Based Forecasts Of Us Crop Prices," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 312904, Aug, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.312904.
  3. Wang, Yangchuan & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Stewart, Shamar, 2021, "Decomposing Grass-fed Beef Premiums," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 313377, Aug, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.313377.
  4. Isengildina Massa, Olga & Stewart, Shamar & Hassman, Colburn H., 2021, "RETURN DIVERGENCE IN COMMODITY ETFs: NATURE AND CAUSES," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 313896, Aug, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.313896.
  5. Hassman, Colburn & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Stewart, Shamar, 2021, "A Comprehensive Evaluation of Commodity Tracking Divergence," 2021 Conference, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management, number 316398, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.316398.

2016

  1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H., 2016, "Market Reaction to Inefficiencies in USDA Crop Production Forecasts," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 235507, May, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.235507.
  2. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K., 2016, "Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 235580, May, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.235580.

2014

  1. Xie, Ran & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Sharp, Julia, 2014, "Are Revisions of USDA’s Commodity Forecasts Efficient?," 2014 Annual Meeting, February 1-4, 2014, Dallas, Texas, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, number 162547, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.162547.

2013

  1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Zapata, Samuel D. & Carpio, Carlos E. & Lamie, R. David, 2013, "Does E-Commerce Help Farmers’ Markets? Measuring the Impact of MarketMaker," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 149831, Aug, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.149831.
  2. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Sharp, Julia L., 2013, "Interval Forecast Comparison," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 150791, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.150791.
  3. Zapata, Samuel D. & Carpio, Carlos E. & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Lamie, R. David, 2013, "Producer Willingness to Pay for the Services Provided by an Electronic Trade Platform: The Case of MarketMaker," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, number 143070, Feb, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.143070.

2012

  1. Xie, Ran & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Carpio, Carlos E., 2012, "How Do Restaurants Benefit from Various Components of a Regional Promotion Campaign?," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 123921, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.123921.
  2. MacDonald, Stephen & Isengildina-Massa, Olga, 2012, "Information Rigidity and Correcting Inefficiency in USDA’s Commodity Forecasts," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 124890, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.124890.

2011

  1. Fischer, Matthew J. & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Curtis, Charles E., Jr. & Boys, Kathryn A., 2011, "Back To The Basics: What Does The Market Tell Us About Basis?," 2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 103943, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.103943.
  2. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Tysinger, David & Gerard, Patrick & MacDonald, Stephen, 2011, "What Can we Learn from our Mistakes? Evaluating the Benefits of Correcting Inefficiencies in USDA Cotton Forecasts," 2011 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2011, Corpus Christi, Texas, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, number 98811, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.98811.

2010

  1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Sharp, Julia L. & Zhang, Jing & Campbell, Wallace A., 2010, "Accuracy and Asymmetry of Corn, Soybean and Wheat Interval Forecasts," 2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 61731, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.61731.

2009

  1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & MacDonald, Stephen, 2009, "U.S. Cotton Prices and the World Cotton Market: Forecasting and Structural Change," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 49324, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.49324.
  2. Carpio, Carlos E. & Isengildina-Massa, Olga, 2009, "Measuring the Potential Economic Impact of a Regional Agricultural Promotion Campaign: The Case of South Carolina," 2009 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2009, Atlanta, Georgia, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, number 46729, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.46729.
  3. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009, "Empirical Confidence Intervals for WASDE Forecasts of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, number 183474, Jan, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.183474.

2008

  1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2008, "Quantile Regression Methods of Estimating Confidence Intervals for WASDE Price Forecasts," 2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association), number 6409, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.6409.
  2. Carpio, Carlos E. & Isengildina-Massa, Olga, 2008, "Consumer Willingness to Pay for Locally Grown Products: The Case of South Carolina," 2008 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2008, Dallas, Texas, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, number 6815, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.6815.

2007

  1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2007, "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management, number 37563, Apr, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.37563.
  2. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Curtis, Charles E., Jr. & Bridges, William & Nian, Minhuan, 2007, "Accuracy of Implied Volatility Approximations Using "Nearest-to-the-Money" Option Premiums," 2007 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2007, Mobile, Alabama, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, number 34927, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.34927.
  3. Curtis, Charles E., Jr. & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Hummel, Andrew, 2007, "Is there a "Right" Time to Buy Options Pre-Harvest?," 2007 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2007, Mobile, Alabama, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, number 34941, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.34941.

Undated

  1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H., undated, "When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes?," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 124759, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.124759.
  2. Carpio, Carlos E. & Isengildina-Massa, Olga, undated, "Does Government Sponsored Advertising Increase Social Welfare? A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 149835, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.149835.
  3. Karali, Berna & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., undated, "Does Noise in Market Expectations Dilute Price Reactions to USDA Reports?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 273973, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.273973.
  4. Shi, Ruoding & Isengildina Massa, Olga, undated, "Double-Edged Sword: Liquidity Implications of Futures Hedging," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 274106, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.274106.

Journal articles

2024

  1. Olga Isengildina Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin, 2024, "What do we know about the value and market impact of the US Department of Agriculture reports?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, volume 46, issue 2, pages 698-736, June, DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13409.
  2. Yangchuan Wang & Olga Isengildina Massa & Shamar L. Stewart, 2024, "Time‐varying reaction of U.S. meat demand to animal disease outbreaks," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, volume 46, issue 3, pages 983-1009, September, DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13431.

2022

  1. Shi, Ruoding & Isengildina Massa, Olga, 2022, "Costs of Futures Hedging in Corn and Soybean Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, volume 47, issue 2, May, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.313311.

2021

  1. Ramsey, A. Ford & Isengildina-Massa, Olga, 2021, "Evaluation of Learning Outcomes from Participation in a Student-Managed Commodity Investment Fund," Applied Economics Teaching Resources (AETR), Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, volume 2, issue 6, January, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.308492.
  2. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Cao, Xiang & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael & Johansson, Robert C., 2021, "When does USDA information have the most impact on crop and livestock markets?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, volume 22, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2020.100137.

2020

  1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H., 2020, "Can Private Forecasters Beat the USDA? Analysis of Relative Accuracy of Crop Acreage and Production Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, volume 52, issue 4, pages 545-561, November.

2019

  1. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2019, "The Changing Role of USDA Inventory Reports in Livestock Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, volume 44, issue 3, September, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.292333.
  2. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K. & Johansson, Robert, 2019, "Are USDA reports still news to changing crop markets?," Food Policy, Elsevier, volume 84, issue C, pages 66-76, DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2019.02.005.

2017

  1. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H Irwin, 2017, "Do Markets Correct for Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts? Evidence from Private Analysts and Futures Prices," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, volume 39, issue 4, pages 559-583.

2016

  1. Zapata, Samuel D. & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Carpio, Carlos E. & Lamie, R. David, 2016, "Does E-Commerce Help Farmers’ Markets? Measuring the Impact of MarketMaker," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, volume 47, issue 2, pages 1-18, July, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.240766.
  2. Carlos E. Carpio & Olga Isengildina-Massa, 2016, "Does Government-sponsored Advertising Increase Social Welfare? A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, volume 38, issue 2, pages 239-259.
  3. R. Xie & O. Isengildina-Massa & G. P. Dwyer & J. L. Sharp, 2016, "The impact of public and semi-public information on cotton futures market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 48, issue 36, pages 3416-3431, August, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1139677.

2015

  1. Hughes, David W. & Isengildina-Massa, Olga, 2015, "The economic impact of farmers’ markets and a state level locally grown campaign," Food Policy, Elsevier, volume 54, issue C, pages 78-84, DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2015.05.001.

2013

  1. Carpio, Carlos E. & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Lamie, R. David & Zapata, Samuel D., 2013, "Does E-Commerce Help Agricultural Markets? The Case of MarketMaker," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, volume 28, issue 4, pages 1-7, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.161456.
  2. Zapata, Samuel D. & Carpio, Carlos E. & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Lamie, R. David, 2013, "The Economic Impact of Services Provided by an Electronic Trade Platform: The Case of MarketMaker," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, volume 38, issue 3, pages 1-20, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.165933.
  3. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin, 2013, "When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 45, issue 36, pages 5086-5103, December, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.818213.

2012

  1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & MacDonald, Stephen & Xie, Ran, 2012, "A Comprehensive Evaluation of USDA Cotton Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, volume 37, issue 01, pages 1-16, April, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.122314.

2011

  1. Zapata, Samuel D. & Carpio, Carlos E. & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Lamie, R. Dave, 2011, "Do Internet-Based Promotion Efforts Work? Evaluating MarketMaker," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, volume 29, issue 01, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.260166.
  2. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott Irwin & Darrel Good & Luca Massa, 2011, "Empirical confidence intervals for USDA commodity price forecasts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 43, issue 26, pages 3789-3803, DOI: 10.1080/00036841003724429.

2010

  1. Carpio, Carlos E. & Isengildina-Massa, Olga, 2010, "To Fund or Not to Fund: Assessment of the Potential Impact of a Regional Promotion Campaign," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, volume 35, issue 2, pages 1-16, August, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.93214.
  2. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2010, "Quantile Regression Estimates of Confidence Intervals for WASDE Price Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, volume 35, issue 3, pages 1-23, December, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.99120.
  3. Zapata, Samuel D. & Lamie, R. David & Carpio, Carlos E. & Isengildina-Massa, Olga, 2010, "Evaluating the Impact of an Electronic Food-Marketing Network," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, volume 41, issue 01, pages 1-1, March, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.162225.

2009

  1. Carlos E. Carpio & Olga Isengildina-Massa, 2009, "Consumer willingness to pay for locally grown products: the case of South Carolina," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 25, issue 3, pages 412-426, DOI: 10.1002/agr.20210.

2008

  1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Gomez, Jennifer K., 2008, "The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, volume 40, issue 01, pages 1-15, April, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.45048.
  2. Joost M.E. Pennings & Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia & Darrel L. Good, 2008, "Producers' complex risk management choices," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 24, issue 1, pages 31-54, DOI: 10.1002/agr.20145.
  3. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & Jennifer K. Gomez, 2008, "Impact of WASDE reports on implied volatility in corn and soybean markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 24, issue 4, pages 473-490, DOI: 10.1002/agr.20174.

Undated

  1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga, undated, "What to expect from the next USDA Prospective Plantings Report?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, volume 7, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.282618.
  2. Isengildina-Massa, Olga, undated, "What Do Prospective Plantings Tell Us About Planted Acreage?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, volume 6, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.283241.
  3. Xie, Ran & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Carpio, Carlos E., undated, "The Biggest Bang for the Buck: Valuation of Various Components of a Regional Promotion Campaign by Participating Restaurants," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, volume 46, issue 2, pages 1-16, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.169050.

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