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Is there a "Right" Time to Buy Options Pre-Harvest?

Author

Listed:
  • Curtis, Charles E., Jr.
  • Isengildina-Massa, Olga
  • Hummel, Andrew

Abstract

This study analyses the variables that affect the option premium levels in an attempt to identify a period in time that would be considered "preferred" for the purchase of a December put option contract for corn and cotton. The daily futures and options data from January 1990 to October 2005 revealed that average prices of December cotton and corn futures tended to be higher in the month of March. The early months of the year also demonstrated low implied volatility levels while offering larger time to maturity. The analysis suggests that March may be a preferred time to purchase December cotton and corn put options.

Suggested Citation

  • Curtis, Charles E., Jr. & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Hummel, Andrew, 2007. "Is there a "Right" Time to Buy Options Pre-Harvest?," 2007 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2007, Mobile, Alabama 34941, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:saeasm:34941
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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/34941
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hansen, Bruce E., 2000. "Testing for structural change in conditional models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 93-115, July.
    2. Andrews, Donald W K, 1993. "Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change with Unknown Change Point," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 821-856, July.
    3. Andrews, Donald W K & Ploberger, Werner, 1994. "Optimal Tests When a Nuisance Parameter Is Present Only under the Alternative," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 62(6), pages 1383-1414, November.
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    Keywords

    Marketing;

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