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The effect of pandemic crises on fertility

Author

Listed:
  • Davide Furceri

    (RCEA
    University of Palermo)

  • Pietro Pizzuto

    (University of Palermo)

  • Khatereh Yarveisi

    (University of Palermo)

Abstract

This paper examines the dynamic effects of pandemic crises on fertility rates for a large, unbalanced sample of 182 developed and developing countries during the period 1996–2019. We find that major pandemics are associated with significant and persistent declines in fertility rates of about 2%, on average. These effects are significantly larger for pandemics characterized by a very large number of confirmed cases relative to the population (up to 6½%) and by deep recessions (up to 5%). In addition, the effects are larger in advanced economies (up to 5%) and for younger women, on average.

Suggested Citation

  • Davide Furceri & Pietro Pizzuto & Khatereh Yarveisi, 2024. "The effect of pandemic crises on fertility," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 37(1), pages 1-30, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:37:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s00148-024-00983-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s00148-024-00983-3
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; Pandemics; Crises; Fertility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General

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