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State-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Author

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  • Carriere-Swallow, Yan
  • Firat, Melih
  • Furceri, Davide
  • Jiménez, Daniel

Abstract

We estimate how the rate of pass-through from the exchange rate to domestic prices varies across states of the economy and depending on the shocks that drive fluctuations in the exchange rate. We confirm several results from the literature and uncover new facts. Drawing on the experience of a large sample of advanced and emerging market economies over the past 30 years, we document that exchange rate pass-through is significantly larger during periods of elevated uncertainty and when inflation is high. Using a novel identification strategy, we also show that pass-through is higher when exchange rate fluctuations are driven by U.S. monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Carriere-Swallow, Yan & Firat, Melih & Furceri, Davide & Jiménez, Daniel, 2024. "State-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through," CEPR Discussion Papers 19325, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:19325
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    Cited by:

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    2. Canales, Mario & Lopez-Martin, Bernabe, 2024. "Exchange rates, uncertainty, and price-setting: Evidence from CPI microdata," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    3. Kwon, Janghan & Shin, Woongjae, 2023. "Nonlinear exchange rate pass-through and monetary policy credibility: Evidence from Korea," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    4. Lama, Anil & Budha, Birendra Bahadur & Prabhesh, K.P. & Rana, Sona, 2025. "Exchange rate pass-through in Nepal," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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