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Fixed on Flexible: Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes after the Great Recession

Author

Listed:
  • Giancarlo Corsetti

    (Cambridge University
    CEPR)

  • Keith Kuester

    (CEPR
    University of Bonn)

  • Gernot J. Müller

    (CEPR
    University of Tübingen)

Abstract

The zero lower bound problem during the Great Recession has exposed the limits of monetary autonomy, prompting a re-evaluation of the relative benefits of currency pegs and monetary unions (see, e.g., Cook and Devereux in Journal of International Economics 101:52–69, 2016). We revisit this issue from the perspective of a small open economy. While a peg can be beneficial when the recession originates domestically, we show that a float dominates in the face of deflationary demand shocks abroad. When the rest of the world is in a liquidity trap, the domestic currency depreciates in nominal and real terms even in the absence of domestic monetary stimulus (if domestic rates are also at the zero lower bound)—enhancing the country’s competitiveness and insulating to some extent the domestic economy from foreign deflationary pressure.

Suggested Citation

  • Giancarlo Corsetti & Keith Kuester & Gernot J. Müller, 2017. "Fixed on Flexible: Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes after the Great Recession," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 65(3), pages 586-632, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:imfecr:v:65:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1057_s41308-017-0038-0
    DOI: 10.1057/s41308-017-0038-0
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    Cited by:

    1. Terrones, Marco E., 2020. "Do fixers perform worse than non-fixers during global recessions and recoveries?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    2. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Mavroeidi, Eleonora & Thwaites, Gregory & Wolf, Martin, 2019. "Step away from the zero lower bound: Small open economies in a world of secular stagnation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 88-102.
    3. Ali, Syed Zahid & Anwar, Sajid, 2022. "Risk-premium shocks and the prudent exchange rate policy," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 97-122.
    4. Alex Haberis & Anna Lipińska, 2020. "A Welfare‐Based Analysis of International Monetary Policy Spillovers at the Zero Lower Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(5), pages 1107-1145, August.
    5. Hettig, Thomas & Müller, Gernot J., 2018. "Fiscal policy coordination in currency unions at the effective lower bound," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 80-98.
    6. Victor Shevchuk & Roman Kopych, 2021. "Exchange Rate Volatility, Currency Misalignment, and Risk of Recession in the Central and Eastern European Countries," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-19, May.
    7. Maurice Obstfeld, 2020. "Harry Johnson's “Case for flexible exchange rates”—50 years later," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 88(S1), pages 86-113, September.
    8. Schmidt, Sebastian, 2018. "Time-consistent monetary policy, terms of trade manipulation and welfare in open economies," Working Paper Series 2128, European Central Bank.
    9. Giancarlo Corsetti & Keith Kuester & Gernot J. Müller & Sebastian Schmidt, 2021. "The Exchange Rate Insulation Puzzle," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 060, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    10. Brueckner, Markus & Pappa, Evi & Valentinyi, Akos, 2019. "Local Autonomy and Government Spending Multipliers: Evidence from European Regions," CEPR Discussion Papers 14106, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Tarashev, Nikola & Zabai, Anna, 2019. "When pegging is a commitment device: Revisiting conventional wisdom about currency crises," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 233-247.
    12. Rohit, Abhishek Kumar & Dash, Pradyumna, 2019. "Dynamics of monetary policy spillover: The role of exchange rate regimes," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 276-288.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    F41; F42; E31;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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