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Financial Crisis and the Co-movements of Housing Sub-markets: Do relationships change after a crisis?

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  • Charles Ka Yui Leung

    () (Associate Professor, Department of Economics and Finance, City University of Hong Kong; Address: 83 Tat Chee Avenue, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong; Phone: (852) 3442-9604; Fax: (852) 3442-0284)

  • Patrick Wai Yin Cheung

    () (Research Associate, Department of Economics and Finance, City University of Hong Kong; Address: 83 Tat Chee Avenue, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong)

  • Edward Chi Ho Tang

    () (PhD Candidate, Department of Economics and Finance, City University of Hong Kong; Address: 83 Tat Chee Avenue, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong)

Abstract

This study of the co-movements of transaction prices and trading volumes reveals that the mean correlation of prices and trading volumes alike, among different housing sub-markets, increase during the market boom. After a financial crisis, the correlations dramatically drop and stay low. The distribution of the correlations changes from skewed to symmetric. All these coincide with the increase in the total variance of prices, as well as the share of the idiosyncratic component in the total variance after the crisis. These findings are consistent with a family of theories that emphasize on the ¡§regime switch¡¨ in expectations.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles Ka Yui Leung & Patrick Wai Yin Cheung & Edward Chi Ho Tang, 2013. "Financial Crisis and the Co-movements of Housing Sub-markets: Do relationships change after a crisis?," International Real Estate Review, Asian Real Estate Society, vol. 16(1), pages 68-118.
  • Handle: RePEc:ire:issued:v:16:n:01:2013:p:68-118
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    Cited by:

    1. Leung, Charles Ka Yui & Tang, Edward Chi Ho, 2013. "Speculating China economic growth through Hong Kong? Evidence from the stock market IPO and real estate markets," MPRA Paper 46346, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Charles Ka Yui LEUNG & Wai Yip MA & Jun ZHANG, 2014. "The Market Valuation of Interior Design and Developer Strategies: A Simple Theory and Some Evidence," International Real Estate Review, Asian Real Estate Society, vol. 17(1), pages 63-107.
    3. Kuang-Liang Chang & Nan-Kuang Chen & Charles Ka Yui Leung, 2013. "In the Shadow of the U nited S tates: The International Transmission Effect of Asset Returns," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(1), pages 1-40, February.
    4. Paulina Etxeberria-Garaigorta & Amaia Iza, 2015. "The Role of Productivity and Financial Frictions in the Business Cycles of a Small Open Economy: Hong Kong 1984–2011," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 400-414, May.
    5. Eric Wong & Andrew Tsang & Steven Kong, 2014. "How Does Loan-To-Value Policy Strengthen Banks' Resilience to Property Price Shocks - Evidence from Hong Kong," Working Papers 032014, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    6. Charles Ka Yui Leung & Tin Cheuk Leung & Kwok Ping Tsang, 2015. "Tax-driven Bunching of Housing Market Transactions: The Case of Hong Kong," International Real Estate Review, Asian Real Estate Society, vol. 18(4), pages 473-501.
    7. Leung, Charles Ka Yui & Tang, Edward Chi Ho, 2014. "Availability, Affordability and Volatility: the case of Hong Kong Housing Market," MPRA Paper 58770, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Charles Ka Yui Leung, 2015. "Availability, Affordability and Volatility: The Case of the Hong Kong Housing Market," International Real Estate Review, Asian Real Estate Society, vol. 18(3), pages 383-428.
    9. repec:bla:pacecr:v:22:y:2017:i:3:p:312-331 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial Crisis; Hedonic Pricing; Structural Break; Evolution of Valuation; Rolling Regression;

    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

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