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Is the stock market impervious to monetary policy announcements: Evidence from emerging India

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  • Prabu A, Edwin
  • Bhattacharyya, Indranil
  • Ray, Partha

Abstract

This study uses “event study” and “identification through heteroscedasticity” methodology to study the impact of Indian monetary policy announcements on stock indices during 2004–14. Although stock indices decline after announcement of policy tightening, the results are statistically insignificant. Unanticipated policy announcements have weakly significant impact, particularly on banking stocks. Dominance of the banking channel and ineffectiveness of the asset price channel in monetary transmission could have contributed to this non-confirmative result. Finally, UMP announcements of the US Fed also do not impact Indian stock returns except for a few events of LSAP in 2008 and Operation Twist in 2011.

Suggested Citation

  • Prabu A, Edwin & Bhattacharyya, Indranil & Ray, Partha, 2016. "Is the stock market impervious to monetary policy announcements: Evidence from emerging India," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 166-179.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:46:y:2016:i:c:p:166-179
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2016.09.007
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    3. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in an Emerging Country: The Case of India," Working Papers 202305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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    9. Aeimit Lakdawala & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2021. "Measuring monetary policy shocks in India," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2021-021, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    10. Sashikanta Khuntia & Gourishankar S. Hiremath, 2019. "Monetary Policy Announcements and Stock Returns: Some Further Evidence from India," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(4), pages 801-827, December.
    11. Narayan Parab & Ramashanti Naik & Y. V. Reddy, 2020. "The Impact of Economic Events on Stock Market Returns: Evidence from India," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(11), pages 1232-1247, November.
    12. Hassan, M. Kabir & Alshater, Muneer M. & Atayah, Osama F., 2021. "Twenty-nine years of the Journal of International Review of Economics and Finance: A scientometric overview (1992–2020)," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1106-1125.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    India; Stock market; Monetary policy announcements; Event Study; Identification through Heteroscedasticity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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